Society: ＂Three 40 Years＂ touched the US -China and Taiwan Change Bureau

Economic Daily News

At the end of this year, it was the time for the three 40 -year fighters in mainland China: 1. At the end of December 1978, Deng Xiaoping decided to take the route of reform and opening up; 2. On January 1, 1979, the People's Republic of China established diplomatic relations with the Republic of the United States, and the latter was with the Republic of China.Broken diplomatic relations; 3. On January 1, 1979, the mainland Chinese authorities issued a compatriots in Taiwan, announcing the abandonment of military means and in a peaceful way to deal with cross -strait relations, and proposed the three -link initiative.The three things are related, but the main axis is based on reform and opening up.Today, 40 years later, the main variables are still based on the development of mainland China, which affects the development of Sino -US relations and cross -strait relations and even ultimately affect the development of Taiwan -US relations.

Back to 40 years ago.At that time, I finally realized that the reform and opening up must be reform and opening up, but the reform and opening up must have an external environment that is conducive to peaceful development. This is first to improve Sino -US relations and turn the United States to friends as friends. This further touches the US -Taiwan relations.So while being forced to break diplomatic relations with the United States, it was announced that the policy and cross -strait relations also entered a new era. At that time, Taiwan had no signs of Taiwan independence and the US Chinese policy commitment.Solving the issue of Taiwan.As for the United States, it is a big background for the establishment of diplomatic relations between the Soviet Union to deal with the Soviet Union. The mainland is determined to change the system and move to the public to the public.As long as the mainland's default Taiwan relations law and continue to fight against Taiwan, maintaining the current situation of the Taiwan Strait is in line with the largest interests of the United States.In the entire triangle relations, the situation at that time was the initiative of mainland China, the United States took the initiative, and Taiwan was passive.

In the next 40 years, the biggest main variable is still mainland China.First look at the Taiwan Strait.At the beginning, the mainland had land, labor, and policy concessions, but lack of capital and lack of technology and lack of international networks. At this time, Taiwan made great contributions and reciprocated on both sides of the strait.With the strong economic strength of mainland China, the mainland's more and more talents and middle classes of Taiwan's magnetic suction, and Taiwan's internal internal consumption is continuously fermented due to the continuous fermentation of the unified and independent contradictions caused by cross -strait relations.A group of elite officials and experts who created the Taiwan miracle and the four small dragon signboards have gradually withered. Under the three factors, Taiwan ’s kinetic vitality has weakened rapidly.The United States and Chinese games.

See Sino -US relations.From the evolution of the honeymoon relationship in the early stages of the establishment of diplomatic relations to the current obvious contradiction, the main variables also came from the tremendous changes in mainland China's development to the relationship between the two countries.In 1978, the GDP of Mainland China ranked 15th in the world. In 2010, it surpassed Japan to become the second place. Not only that, there is also a high probability that mainland GDP surpasses the United States around 2030, replacing the United States who has been sitting for more than a century.seat.What we must see and understand is that the changes in mainland China in the past 40 years are not only a simple rise, but also a essential revival.Therefore, the big game of China and the United States will also be a relatively long -term process.It's just the beginning.

The determination of the United States Baoba cannot be doubted. Mainland China's determination to pursue the great rejuvenation must not be doubted. The two must not doubt that the two stronger China and the United States will have a contention in the first half of this century.Forces (5G and AI), strategic power (one Belt and Road and Indo -Pacific strategies), the first island chain of the Western Pacific in the ground game of the ground -the United States must be sealed, and mainland China wants to rush.Taiwan is a key place for both parties to block and rush on the first island chain.

This is the US relationship.For a long time, maintaining the current status of the Taiwan Strait is the most in line with the interests of the United States.Nowadays, the situation has changed dramatically. The United States' policy on Taiwan must be prepared for two hands. One is to strengthen Taiwan's role and role as a chess piece to deal with mainland China.Prepare.

Three 40 years have passed, and the development of mainland China, Sino -US relations, cross -strait relations, and Taiwan -American relations have also changed significantly in three 40 years.For Taiwan, this is a critical moment of prosperity and blessing.