During World War II Austrian writer Stefan Zweig fled to the German Nazis after he controlled the Rio Ningjing Mountains. In 1941, he published a hot global Brazil.Play an important role in development.The 2010 New York Times Senior Journalist in Brazil, published by Larry Rohter, a future country of the Fifth largest economic forces in the world in the future of the country and the fantasy carnival.The country has become the highest level of living in the world.In 2011, the Chinese translation of the book published in Taiwan was still Brazil, a future country.
On October 28th, Jair Bolsonaro, a candidate for the Social Liberal Party, nicknamed Trump on October 28, received 55.1%of the votes in the second round of elections to be elected president.The three levels of analysis are as follows.
From the perspective of the domestic level, Brazil may be difficult to escape the fate of the people.Brazil is the fifth largest country and the world's largest country and the world's largest country. After the Luolla of the left-wing Labor Party in early 2003, Brazil was regarded as a model of a dictatorship (1976-85) in the darkness.At the end of 2011, Brazil's domestic production surpassed the United Kingdom to become the sixth largest economy in the world.The economic deterioration after the ebb of raw materials could not be blocked, and it was impeached and stepped down in Brazil's state -owned oil Petrobras and Obrecht Corporation.The disintegration of the Brazilian version of the card house provides the opportunity to rise in Posonallo.But the political and academic circles are also concerned that Posonalo terror will lead Brazil's next wave of populism.
From the perspective of Latin America, the pink wave will end.Anthony Pereira, director of the Brazilian Institute of King London, believes that the scale and diversity of Brazil make it a perfect laboratory for testing certain ideas.Popularity.The Financial Times even pointed out that his election marked a tremendous change in Brazil and even Latin America, and also represents LSQuo, a leftist leader in Brazil and Latin America in recent years.At the same time, after 30 years of democracy, Chile and Argentina were separated from the left, but did not become a fascist country.
As for Posonaro's economic policy, Paulo Roberto Nunes Guedes, who graduated from the University of Chicago, is considered a pioneer in the Chicago Economics School to return to Latin America.Taking Brazil's co -market in the Southern Market as an example, although Venezuela was eligible for the suspension of member states in August 2017, due to the small impact of the economic scale, Posonalo would violate the codes of the South China in the future.The market may disintegrate.
From the perspective of cross -strait relations, the value of economic and trade strength is the value of democracy.In early March this year, Posonalo led a group to visit Taiwan during his tenure in Pakistan Federal MPs to inspect the current development of economic, trade, science and technology, and education on the spot.And communication.Since he was the first Brazilian presidential candidate to visit Taiwan after the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Brazil in 1974, the Chinese Embassy in Brazil sent a letter to condemn Posonolo to visit Taiwan to offend China's sovereignty and territorial integrity.However, the Tsai government believes that the establishment of the Democratic Value Alliance is therefore may have become a wishful thinking. Taking the recent relationship between China leaders and Abe as an example, it is mainly due to its own national interests and the needs of the competition situation of the United States and China.
What is really worthwhile in mainland China is that Posonalo has repeatedly warned China not to purchase in Brazil. They are purchasing Brazil. He even described China as a predator and attempts to dominate the Brazilian economy.Despite this, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Lu Kan immediately congratulated Posonalo elected the Brazilian president at the press conference after confirming the election results, and once again emphasized that China and Pakistan were comprehensive strategic partners.The reason is very simple. The US -China trade war has led Latin America to become the goal of trade transfer. Taking soybean as an example, the production of the United States, Brazil, and Argentina accounted for about 90%of the world.The types of export soybeans are not welcomed by China, so Brazil has become the main source of replacement.For China, how to reverse Posonalo's position on China is the primary task, otherwise it is difficult to last for the US trade war.
Luo Weilin in Brazil, the preface written by the translation of the future middle school to Taiwanese is the end: I often asked how to prove that I would not be forced to write the decline of Brazil within 10 years in my interview.My answer is always the same: there is no proof, because the future of Brazil is in the hands of you, depending on your Brazilian decision; but there is no sign of foreseeing such a catastrophic destiny.It seems that he can start collecting information.
(The author is Professor of Zhili University of Science and Technology and director of the Latin America Economic and Trade Research Center)
