Taiwan media: The unbearable weight of the dispute between China and the United States

Zhongshi Society

US President Trump announced that he would withdraw from the medium -range missile treaty (INF) signed with Russia, and many people worried that it was the beginning of the New Cold War.Without doubt, the Cold War 2.0 has appeared, but the former Cold War was a bipolar confrontation, and the new Cold War 2.0 version was a triten confrontation.Moreover, the focus of the United States is in mainland China, and Russia is still second.

The medium -range missile treaty can be regarded as the end of the Cold War. The Soviet economy was trapped due to the inadequate system and the military reserve competition. President Reagan's Star Wars plan forced Gobagov to make concessions.It is forbidden to hold a range of 500 to 5,500 kilometers and can be equipped with nuclear warheads and traditional warheads. The two countries destroy nearly 2,700 short -range missiles in accordance with the treaty.Why does Trump exit now?Because the world has changed.

As far as the medium -range missile treaties itself, the United States has accused Russia's active development and deployment of new patrol missiles in the past four years, threatening Europe and the former Soviet Union, which has formed an alliance with the West, and has violated the treaty.Russian President Trump said recently that Russia is preparing to deploy new supersonic missiles, which avoids the constraints of the medium -range missile treaty and even dissatisfied the United States.

However, more importantly, Trump is determined to suppress mainland China, and he is unwilling to see China that is not regulated by the medium -range missile.Trump is very clear that unless China does not develop medium -range nuclear martial arts missiles, the United States will not comply with the treaty, and it is aimed at China.

If the United States and China can reach a martial arts restriction agreement, can things be successfully solved?Of course, this is very good, but it may not be realized, because the contradiction between the United States and China is a structural conflict between the great powers, that is, the so -called Xiu Xidide trap. It is not tolerant of two tigers in Chinese, but the real problems between the two parties are far from big.It's much more.

The World Bureau has changed. From the previous US monocular domination, it has gradually developed in DPRK, China, and Russia.The strong rising mainland China has grown strong muscles in all aspects, and then pushes to the scope of the United States.In terms of economics and trade, the mainland has become the world's second largest economy, and it is estimated that it will surpass the United States in 2025 to become the largest economy.In terms of regional strategy, the mainland is in the South China Sea Reef, the aircraft carrier enters and exits the Pacific Ocean, the ship is around Diaoyutai and Taiwan, breaking the United States to block the island chain of the mainland, and change the power map of the East Asia and the South China Sea.In diplomacy, the Belt and Road Initiative has caused the influence of mainland China to extend its influence, which has caused the United States to quit.

In particular, the rise of China's rise is as prosperous as the Western democratic system, breaking the pride and confidence of Western countries.As a western ideological benchmark, the United States has made the communist system unable to make a army in the past. Now it has once again encountered challenges of ideological and system models. It is not only a substantial benefit with China, but also the right party for history.

Nowadays, more and more people in the United States think that they have been raising tigers for a long time, and indulge in China to profit from the United States by unfair trade means, and this view is cross -party officials and citizens, because Americans have actually felt the rise of China's rise in China.Threat.Therefore, Trump's anti -China offensive continued, and the trade war was unscrupulous. The ships entered and exited the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait to refute China's claims.At the beginning of the year, his National Security Report positioned China and Russia as strategic competitors. Recently, Vice President Pence publicly criticized China, and it was also reported that the United States would perform in the Taiwan navy.

The contradiction between the United States and the middle, just like all the great power, is a sharp adjustment of each other's position. It takes a period of tug -of -rush to compete to re -obtain power.In this process, the world must experience a turbulent impact.The power consumption of the United States will be quite difficult for the United States to confront countries, but in Trump's view, the focus is on the rise of China's rise as much as possible to allow the United States to drive a leading gap.Both sides will be damaged, and the difference is only thicker.In this confrontation, China really has to face it very carefully.

For Taiwan, the new change bureau is short -term beneficial on the surface, because as a strategic base, as a tool to add to mainland China, the United States will be more willing to express the posture of supporting Taiwan.It is impossible to change the international pattern of Taiwan ’s diplomatic isolation, nor can it not be replaced by an invitation letter from the WHO. Taiwan can only get more psychological comfort, and the essential benefits are limited.