After the election of Taiwan's 2024 election determined the three -legged stand, the latest polls showed that it was nominated for "Hou Kangbing" in the wild Kuomintang, which made the party's army vibrate, and the support of the DPP "Lai Xiao Bao", which was close to ruling.The Democratic Progressive Party stated that the "Hou Kang Bai" was fighting with the people's party "Ke Yingbing" and took the advantage of the fisherman.
Scholars interviewees analyzed that unless the Kuomintang (blue) presidential candidate Hou Youyi and vice presidential candidate Zhao Shaokang can "fight (Qingde) to press Ke (Wenzhe)", and the mayor of Taipei Jiang Wanan helped to fight for youngTickets, in 20 days, managed to win the people's party (white) presidential candidate Ke Wenzhe 10%to 15%, otherwise the possibility of wanting to defeat the DPP (green) presidential candidate Lai Qingde is still not high.
"Blue and White" broke the game last week. Hou Youyi quickly looked for "Leader, Zhao Shaokang, chairman of China and Guangxi as the deputy, coupled with the former mayor of Kaohsiung Mayor South Korea Yu as the chief dispute legislator candidate to boost the morale, which is the same as Hou Youyi plugged in double wings and played a sharp offensive against Lai Qingde."Ke Wenzhe's support plummeted.
Zhongshi News Network's polls show that "Hou Kangding" rushed to catch up, with a support rate of 28.2%, 28.3%of the "Lai Xiao Bai" at 0.1 percentage point, and the support rate of "Ke Ying Piao" was 24.3%.EssenceLocate the third child.
Mirror News polls also show a similar situation. "Lai Xiao Biao" supports 30.5%, "Hou Kang Bi" rises to 28.7%, and "Ke Ying Pixing" ranks third with 22.1%.
The result of theTVBS poll center, "Lai Xiao Bao" supports 34%, leading 31%of the "Hou Kangbing", compared with the polls announced on October 24, the former is flatThe percentage point jumped from the third to the second, and the "Ke Ying match" was 23%, a decrease of six percentage points.
It can be seen from the above polls that "Lai Xiao Bao" is still better than "Hou Kang Bao", but it has been within the scope of statistical errors;Let voters abandon the latter.
Lai Qingde's campaign headquarters, Yao Liming and Zhao Shaokang, are both new parties, and they know each other.Yao Liming analyzed that Zhao Shaokang and South Korea Yu let deep blue and Korean fans return to the team. Hou Youyi supported the support, and Ke Wenzhe naturally lost 10 % of the Blue Camp supporters.
Yao Liming pointed out that the contradiction of blue and white is to grab the flags of anti -green, so let the blue and white play well. "At the end, I hope they will be separated from 25%and 25%.Others are not important. "
The Kuomintang originally had to clear the blue and white boundaries, but Zhao Shaokang advocated that the election strategy "ignored Ko", that is, Ke Ke could not completely collapse, stabilize Ke's green camp votes, and let these ticket sources flow to Lai Qingde.
Ke Wenzhe does not think that polls will change so much in a few days, and feel that you have to observe another two weeks.
Ke Wenzhe said that it is too difficult to call young people under 40 years of age to vote for the Kuomintang. Blue will vote for white, not like white, but afraid of green election;The two poles confront, only the possibility of not voting and voting to Lai Qingde.
The director of the Department of Advertising Science of Culture University analyzed to Lianhe Zaobao that from the above polls, it is seen that Zhao Shaokang and South Korea Yu are the strongest "plug -in" of Hou Youyi.Essence
However, Niu Zexun believes that if the Kuomintang wants to break out, Zhao Shaokang must suppress Ke Wenzhe. Hou Youyi must also strengthen the firepower to fight for the lack of Qingde's governance.Ke Wenzhe 10%to 15%.
He reminded that the Kuomintang wanted to "ignore Ko". It was not enough. Ke Wenzhe had basic votes and young votes, not Guo Taiming, the founder of Hon Hai Group.Ke is a person with political energy. In the short term, the Kuomintang must be able to win "the first brave in the wild" in the short term to win.