The "Lai Xiao Bao" composed of the DPP presidential candidate Lai Qingde and the representative of Xiao Meiqin in the United States, on Monday, was happy.However, Hou Youyi, a presidential candidate in the Nogaku Kuomintang (Blue) President, and Ke Wenzhe, the presidential party (white) presidential party (White) presidential party (White), is almost a cognitive difference in the scope of the scope of the polls.The Central Election Commission is running before the deadline for registration.
The Kuomintang and the People's Party are two completely different political parties. The words of Ke Wenzhe are completely different from the two parties, and cooperation is not easy.Earlier, in order to use how to determine the candidates of Zheng and Vice President, there were many grids. If the former President Ma Ying -jeou did not take care of his reputation, he would not be able to promote the "blue and white".
Under the witness of Ma Ying -jeou, Ke Wenzhe and the Kuomintang chairman Zhu Lilun and Hou Youyi signed a six -o'clock agreement last Wednesday (November 15) to confirm that the whole people decide "blue and white", which made many Kuomintang people inspiring and thought it was expected to be expected to be expectedThe rotation of political parties, the two -party legislators have a chance for more than half.
On the same day, Zhu Lilun and Hou Youyi were happy. Ke Wenzhe's expression was dignified, and the staff shed tears. The outside world had guessed that Ke Wenzhe made concessions.
Ke later explained his arbitrary considerations in the internal meeting of the People's Party, admitting that he had tried to take the election independently, but including the reality of being rejected by advertising, letting him know that there was no "blue and white harmony".Ke Wenzhe said that some supporters who appeared with him reported that if he was not selected, he would be cleared by the DPP in the future, especially the grassroots people were worried that Lai Qingde was elected to the cross -strait war, which was under great pressure to bear him.
Unexpectedly, on the eve of the results of the polls last Saturday (November 19), the two parties had completely different perception of the results of polls.
The people who have been forbearing for a long time have taken the lead in firing, accusing the Kuomintang of bullying too much. In the six polls, it is obviously 3: 3, the statistical error range is 3%, that is, the range of positive and negative is 1.5%.: 1, Hou Youyi won.Ke Wenzhe publicly said that Zhu Lilun "Do you want to talk about the people's party to let 6%of the people be?" Does he dare? "The people's party ridiculed that the Kuomintang claimed that Hou Youyi won Ke Wenzhe, but the internal references from the Kuomintang also lost Hou.
The Kuomintang countered that there were nine polls, and the people's party had an opinion on three of the polls that benefit Hou Youyi.A gap between 6%.The Kuomintang emphasized that the party originally had to calculate the strength of the party. Later, the concession was used to collect the whole polls and replaced it with an error range. Without the so -called concession, Ke Wenzhe had signed an agreement.
The controversy of the two parties is the third point of the negotiation consensus: "If the two sides agree, if the statistical error is exceeded, the winner will be a little; if the error scope, it will be a bit of Hou Ke."
In fact, when the agreement came out on the same day, many political people and media reporters joked that maybe their own Chinese level is not good. I really don't understand how the third point is to determine the victory.Sure enough, this point has become a controversy, and many people's opinions are speaking.
You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, believes that general polls usually complete 1068 valid samples. At the level of 95%of confidence, the error is 3 percentage points positively.The scope of errors will become smaller as the sample will be increased, or the sample will become larger.He judged that the result was 3: 3, not 5: 1, and the two sides tied their hands.
Zhu Lilun pointed out that the results of the "statistical error" identified by the experts of polls were 5: 1., and the "artificial error" result explained by the people's party was 3: 3.Fei Hongtai, a Kuomintang legislator with a doctorate in statistics, was determined that it was 3: 3 on the analysis of the Political Acts, and there was no fuzzy space.
The Kuomintang is now biting Ke Wenzhe's integrity, and Ke Wenzhe is unwilling to be "deceived."At the beginning, Guo Taiming, the founder of Ke Wenzhe Xiaohao Hunhai Group, did not even figure out the rules of the game, and went to the Kuomintang Presidential Primary Election. Now Guo Taiming laughed at Ke Wenzhe in turn, and "the same mistakes for the second time."
The cooperation between the Kuomintang and the People's Party was originally 1+1 less than 2. After these disputes and accordance, both party legislators candidates felt the strong opposition and anger of supporters.Although Zhu Lilun and Ke Wenzhe still retain the possibility of cooperation, even if they are "blue and white", I am afraid it is only a little larger than 1.There have been sarcastic pictures of the Kuomintang's "let monkey" (Minnan -language indecent homophonic) maps that have appeared in the workshop, which seriously affects the view of the middle voters.
The Kuomintang legislator Zheng Liwen pointed out that the six polls were 3%of Ke Jang 3%, and then it was difficult for "Hou Ke" to be accepted by middle voters.The former legislator of the Kuomintang also said that the heads of the Kuomintang county and city have received face to face the pile feet. When the vice president and Dongshan have the opportunity to resume, they will lose their face and lose their face.
There are not much time from the Kuomintang's ultimatum ultimatum, and experts pointed out that the problem lies in politics and is not statistics.If Lan Bai is not in line, it just proves that Lai Qingde's phrase "Blue and White? Empty!" Not only did the presidential failure, but the legislator will also decrease. The farce has become ugly.