A folk survey shows that due to the interference caused by the epidemic, the Chinese manufacturing, service industry and real estate industries have weakened significantly in the fourth quarter, and the economy may fall into atrophy several months at the end of the year.
According to Bloomberg, China Blood Book International (CBBI) shows on Monday (January 2) that the index that measures the profit, sales and employment of manufacturing and service companies in the last three months of 2022 comparedThe previous quarter and a year ago, they declined.This result was reached after investigating 4,354 companies in the previous quarter.CBBI introduced that the real estate industry indicators, including transaction volume and price, fell near the historical low.
Independent economic data provider CBBI wrote in its report that these data show that the actual domestic GDP (GDP) may shrink year -on -year in the fourth quarter, only 2%in 2022.
Economists who received Bloomberg survey predicted that the economic growth rate was slowed to 2.9%in the fourth quarter, and the annual annual expected was 3%in 2022.CBBI chief economist Derek Scissors said: "As the wave of epidemic continues, the investment falls to 10 quarterly lows, the new orders continue to be impacted, and the substantial recovery in the first quarter becomes increasingly increasingReality. "
CBBI survey shows that companies still face pressure in the fourth quarter.In the quarter, 46%of the loans of enterprises came from non -bank loan institutions, higher than 33%of the third quarter.
The report pointed out that the rising so -called shadow bank loan implies that it is difficult for enterprises to meet bank financing conditions, and the cost of borrowing has risen to the highest level for more than 10 years.
