(Beijing Composite Electric) The London Health Data Company Airfinity is estimated on Thursday (December 29) that about 9,000 people may die of crown disease every day, which is nearly double the number of appraisers a week ago.The number of infections in a single -day crown disease is about 1.8 million.
Airfinity issued a statement that night, saying that the number of deaths caused by crown diseases may reach the peak of 25,000 people around the second day of the first month of January 23rd.shadow.
New cases in a single day after two weeks or 3.7 million at a peak
Since there will be a large number of personnel flowing during the Spring Festival, the epidemic may spread and spread, and the newly added infection cases in a single day may be 10 days in advance, that is, the peak of about 3.7 million on January 13.
Airfinity said that it is estimated to be data based on local provinces in China. The number of infected diseases reported by these data is much higher than the official national data, and the trend of the emergence of strict control restrictions in Hong Kong, Japan and other countries and regions.
Statement said: "According to the trend of regional data, the team of our epidemiologists predicts that the first peak will appear in the area where the crown disease is currently rising, and the second peak will surge in other provinces in China.Promote appearing. "
It said that since December 1, China may have a cumulative number of deaths of 100,000, and the total number of infections is 18.6 million.By January 23 next year, the cumulative number of deaths will reach 584,000.It is expected that by the end of April, the number of deaths will reach 1.7 million.
Chinese health officials have recently said that they define the death of crown disease as a person who died of respiratory failure caused by crown disease, excluding people who died of other diseases and diseases, even if their virus testing was positive.Since the outbreak of the crown disease in 2020, as of December 28, the number of crown diseases officially announced by China was 5,246.
As far as the outside world questioned the number of deaths of Chinese crown disease, Wu Zunyou, chief expert of the China Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said at a press conference on Thursday that the China Centers for Disease Control team plans to evaluate the number of deaths in different ways.Wu Zunyou said that the team will measure the number of deaths of the current infection and the expected death person who has not occurred.He said that by calculating the so -called excess death, China will be able to calculate the situation that may be underestimated.
The surge in cases caused by global concerns that new types of coronary diseases will occur. These variable strains may be more contagious, fatal or both.Many countries such as the United States have adopted compulsory testing and entry restrictions on tourists from China.
In addition, Zeng Guang, a former chief scientist in the disease control epidemiology, was judged at the 2022 Phoenix Network Finance Summit on Thursday that the epidemic was aggressive, and Beijing's crown disease infection rate may have exceeded 80 %.He said the increase rate of the infection rate of the coronary disease exceeded expectations.Zeng Guang believes that this epidemic makes people feel particularly violent, mainly based on the strong transmission of strains and the high incidence of respiratory diseases in winter.However, Zeng Guang said that the first wave of epidemic storms in Beijing was relatively large, indicating that the second wave was very low, "because dry firewood was almost burned."
