(Washington News) The U.S. government's assessment believes that although the Ukrainian army can still resist the invasion of the Russian army, the battle may change in the next few months, because the Russian army has changed its strategy, converted into defense, strengthened defense,More soldiers to the front line, it is difficult for the Ukraine to recover more lost land.
This war has continued to this day, with the support of Western countries, the Ukrainian army frequently frustrated the Russian army, blocking Russia's continued Ukrainian territory advance, and recovering a large area of land.
The New York Times reported on Wednesday (December 21) that although the Russian army continued to attack civilian power facilities, the Ukraine was still imposing on the front line since September.However, in the next few months, the battle may change.
According to the official American assessment, the Russian army adjusted its offensive and defensive strategy and focused its focus on holding the occupation site, instead of continuing to advance offensive to occupy more land;Falling into a fierce battle, but could not take more land from the opponent's hands.
Anonymous U.S. officials said that there is evidence that the Kremlin began to learn from the errors, such as appointing the new commander Surovin to command the operation to perform complex military operations.In recent weeks, the Russian army has also strengthened the air strikes on the U -Wiring line, and in the construction of defense positions and trenches, giving up the areas that need more soldiers to be stationed, and transfer to more easily defensive positions.
In the past six months, the Ukraine Army slowed down the Russian army's advancement in Donbas in the Udong area and recovered the large area of the northeast and Hulson in the southern town; however, the Ukraine also paid forA big price.In addition to the heavy casualties, the arms used, especially the shells, were huge.The number of shells fired in the Ukraine in a week is far more than one month's production capacity in the United States.
The Ukrainian army should avoid sending troops to cut off the Russian supply line by air strikes
Ukraine's counterattack plan is in the south, and Ukraine's political forces leaders believe that they must recapture the key southern territory.
However, U.S. officials said that Ukraine should avoid directly sending troops to Crimea, but cut off the Russian supply pulse like attacking the Red Strait Bridge, as well as the Russian base of Crimea.
They pointed out that it is important to restrain the Russian army in Crimea, so that it can make it difficult for the Russian side to dispatch the army or equipment to other parts of Ukraine.
Ukraine has always relied on US intelligence to determine where the Russian army is weak.One of the reasons for the Ukraine's counterattack outside the city of Halkov in September was to learn that the Russian army was weak and unprepared to learn from American intelligence.U.S. officials said that the Russian command itself may not know how vulnerable these troops are.
However, although the Ukraine can effectively crack down on some strongholds and supply lines of the Russian army, in many regions where the Russian army is concentrated in the territory, the Russian army is still unable to retreat.
U.S. officials therefore believes that in the past few months, even if the Ukraine has achieved some small breakthroughs, it cannot cause the Russian army to defeat; similarly, the Russian army is unlikely to win.
