(Paris Comprehensive) After a slight thrilling battle, Macron has become the only president of France in the past 20 years, but he will not have a honeymoon period.With the growth of the opposition and the boils of society, his second term may be more difficult.
Reuters analyzed that Macron's first challenge was the Parliament election in June. He must win enough seats to eliminate legislative obstacles for his reform plan.According to the French system, the parliamentary elections are followed by the presidential election, and the newly elected president can often lead the party to win a majority of seats, because the willingness of the supporters of the candidate to vote is generally low.
However, Le Pen, a river who lost to Macron in the decision selection to establish a powerful opposition alliance in Parliament.Mei Langxiong, the third highest left candidate in the first round of voting in the presidential election, also hopes to lead the left -wing party to win the majority of the parliament, thereby serving as the prime minister, forming a co -governance pattern of the president and the prime minister.
Even though the Macron camp can win enough seats to avoid the deadlock brought by co -governance, his reform plan will continue to face the resistance of street protests.
Macron's voting rate in this election was lower than 2017. Many voters barely chose him because they did not want the right -right Le Pen, which will weaken his ability to implement reform.Dengbik, an economist of SAXO Bank, pointed out: "If you seek sensitive reforms such as pension, strong social dissatisfaction may make him a lame duck."
In France, pension reform has always been very controversial, and Macron hopes to postpone the legal retirement age from 62 to 65.Faced with a voter rebound, he stood softly during the campaign and stated that he would consider setting the retirement age at 64 years.
The soaring energy price is another important issue that Macron must respond immediately after the election.The Macron government has limited electricity prices and provided gasoline subsidies, but these high -cost measures obviously cannot be implemented for a long time.At the same time, the French people have also become increasingly dissatisfied with basic food prices such as oil, rice and bread.
In 2018, the rise in fuel prices caused a fierce anti -government demonstration "yellow vest movement" in France. If you do not want to explode a new round of demonstration, Macron must be cautious and try to get rid of the proud image to avoid the image of arrogance and avoid the image of arrogance.Repeatedly repeated the mistakes of the public relations disaster during the first term.
Macron's political allies pointed out that he must change the gesture of highness and communicate more with members, trade unions and civic society."Macron already understood that Macron could not decide everything on the ground. He is not the owner of a company. He must accept negotiation and negotiation with others."
Le Pen's voting rate increases the alarm clock
According to the analysis of the United States CNN (CNN), although Macron's re -election has made Western countries relieved, Le Pen's voting rate is higher than the previous election, and he also sounded a alarm.This election shows that the anti -European EU and anti -Western mood in France cannot be underestimated. If the right wing continues to rise, the election may have a completely different result after five years.
CNN pointed out that nearly 42%of voters have selected Laorong, anti -European Union and anti -NATO. It is expected that she will still be an influential politician in France, and may exacerbate the division of France at home and abroad.
