Professor Ma Zhenkun, a Taiwanese military expert, believes that after the Vice President of Taiwan and the DPP presidential candidate Lai Qingde visited the United States, the Chinese main military performance was "thunderous heavy rain point", mainly because Lai Qingde maintained a low -key restraint, and the Chinese Communist Party was internal and external internal and external.Undertaking pressure, facing the situation of tight Taiwan Straits, avoiding the triggering war in the adoption of the war.
Lai Qingde ended on Friday (August 18) to return to Taiwan for seven days and six nights that visited Paraguay and the United States.On the day of his departure (12th), the mainland military launched a three -day military exercise at the east of Zhejiang Zhoushan Islands about 500 kilometers away from Taiwan.The next day (19th), the Eastern theater of the PLA organized joint training in Taiwan to organize marine and air combined warning police patrols, and held joint training for soldiers and air.
The Ministry of National Defense of Taiwan reported that as of the 24 hours of Sunday (20th), 45 sub -military aircraft and nine mainland warships had been discovered in the Taiwan Strait within 24 hours.End within one day.According to the Taiwan Ministry of Defense, within 24 hours before 6 am on Monday, only two sub -military aircraft and six sub -mainland warships were found in the Taiwan Strait.
Professor Zhang Deng and Professor Zhang Deng and Professor Zhang Deng interpreted in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post earlier. If the military exercise is only one day, it shows that the mainland will choose to set off at Lai Qingde and return to Taiwan.One paragraph.
In response to the scale and significance of this military exercise, Ma Zhenkun, a professor at the Institute of Military Affairs of the Communist Party of China CPC Military Affairs of the Taiwan National Defense University on Monday (August 21) at the Symposium on the National Policy Research Institute in Taipei that compared with April this yearAfter the return of Taiwan Cai Yingwen's transit in the United States, the military exercise of the "Tourism Reserve Police Police and United Sword Exercise" in Taiwan.
He said that on August 19th, the Communist Party of China strongly condemned Lai Qingde Tian in the name of the Central Taiwan Work Office.The Eastern theater of the command agency also issued political criticism during the military exercise, saying that this was a serious warning of the provocation of the split forces of Taiwan independence and external forces.
Ma Zhenkun pointed out that the training content announced by the military exercise is similar to April, but the actual military exercise intensity cannot be proportional to the strength of political criticism, including the number of military planes in the Taiwan Strait to cross the middle of the Taiwan Strait.On the 8th, the 91st and 54s of the new highs were less than half of the Taiwan Strait. The oppression of Taiwan was far lower than that of the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Pelosi in August last year.
He summarized the reason why the main military played the outside world into two points.On the one hand, Lai Qingde's visit to maintain low -key restraint and consume the consideration of the United States to avoid raising the situation, so that the CCP could not find an excuse for high -intensity military instability.He believes that Lai Qingde's performance takes into account the "adherence to national dignity" and avoiding the situation of the Taiwan Straits.
On the other hand, the Chinese Communist Party has undergone pressure inside and outside, consolidating the security mechanism of East Asia on the US, Japan and South Korea summit outside the United States and Japan, and knows that the situation in the Taiwan Strait and the regional situation is tight;, Worsening the financial crisis and local debt of the real estate group.If you adopt the movement of raising the situation in the Taiwan Strait, it may cause military chain reactions in the two sides of the strait, the China and the United States, the Korean Peninsula, and the South China Sea, which eventually leads to war.
Ma Zhenkun believes that Beijing officials have long been "dead" and declared that there must be action before Lai Qingde's visit.Just accept it, and point until the end.
The Symposium and the DPP legislator Luo Zhizheng, a DPP legislator who were discussed and a political scholar, said that the performance of Lai Qingde's visit was pragmatic and concentrated on diplomacy without fighting for the election., Not to be a blockbuster for Sino -US relations. "He also ridiculed Lai Qingde by ridicule the mainland to describe Lai Qingde with the gray rhino (a crisis that may occur), and perhaps he was also optimistic that he would be elected president.
