The latest polls of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation show that the support of Lai Qingde, the vice president of Taiwan and the President of the DPP, has exceeded 40 %, and wrote a new high in personal history.
According to the latest polls released on the official website on Monday (August 21), on Monday (August 21), for the 2024 Taiwan election, it seems that the DPP's Lai Qingde, the Kuomintang's Hou Youyi, and the People's Party willThe three of Ke Wenzhe compete, and you tend to support the questions. 43.4%of the respondents support Lai Qingde, 26.6%support Ke Wenzhe, 13.6%support Hou Youyi, 10.2%have not been able to decide, 6.1%have no opinion, do not know, and refuse to answer.
You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, pointed out that the discovery conveyed a clear and important message, that is, the selection of Taiwan in 2024 has changed greatly.In the same month, Tsai Ing -wen's support was more than two percentage points higher, and he was far ahead of Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi.This is not only an important milestone in Taiwan's election in 2024, but also a historic turning point.
You Yinglong said that compared with last month, the competition between Lai, Ke, and Hou has completely different. Lai has increased significantly seven percentage points.Settings; Ke Lue dropped 1.2 percentage points, continued to stabilize the second, not much damage, but farther and farther from the first; Hou dropped significantly by 6.6 percentage points, like a free fall to fall quickly.Win Situation) worsen.In August, the overall election situation seemed to have a nuclear explosion, and it exploded. In the past, the support of the three candidates that did not exceed 10 percentage points in each other had passed.
You Yinglong believes that this is the beginning of a new stage of a election campaign. When people realize that the 2024 presidential election has entered a brand new situation, the votes are pouring a large number of votes to Lai Qingde.The existing cognition of the "Triangle Governor" campaign has new imaginations for the development of the future election and its results.
You Yinglong analyzed. In fact, when Lai Qingde's public opinion support was soaring 43 %, Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi had only two seven % and one -four %, which had broken the triangle of "both sides and greater than the third side".principle.In a word, the "Triangle Governor" has become the past. The election situation is no longer a three -footed stand.Can such a structure continue until next year's election voting date?It is possible, but there are still variables.
The above -mentioned poll visits are from August 14th to 15th; the survey is adults over 20 years old in Taiwan; the sampling method is randomly sampled by the two -bottom volume of urban telephones and mobile phones (Dual FrameRandom Sampling), 70% of the urban telephones and 30% of mobile phones.There were 1081 people with valid samples, 756 people in the urban area, and 325 mobile phones; the sampling error was about 2.98 percentage points at the level of 95% confidence.
