A few days ago, Lai Qingde, deputy leader of Taiwan, served as Tsai Ing -wen's special envoy to visit "AIA" Paraguay, and "transit" the United States twice during the trip and return journey.At present, Lai Qingde has returned to Taiwan, but the DPP seems to be quite low -key, and has not held a conference to explain the results of the visit.However, the achievements of Lai Qingde's "transition" in the United States have already been shown in the polls. I am afraid that Lai Qingde himself did not expect that he encountered "surprise" as soon as he returned to Taiwan.
According to the polls provided by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, Lai Qingde received 56.6%of the support rate, sitting in the first place, while Ke Wenzhe's support rate fell by 20%, only 19.6%, and Hou Youyi used 12.4%support.The rate is at the end. If this situation continues, Lai Qingde is elected as the leader of the Taiwan region, which is almost a matter of iron plate.
The Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation analyzed that the survey selected samples from different regions and ages, but the respondents almost showed Lai Qingde as soon as they fell to the ground, showing the collective political judgment of Taiwanese voters on elections in Taiwan, which also reflected the current currentThe "political reality" is that the split camp is in the wild camp and cannot defeat a united Democratic Progressive Party.
From the perspective of the support of polls, 93%of the DPP supporters hope that Lai Qingde can be elected.Among the people's party holders, 54%are optimistic about Ke Wenzhe, but only 46%of the Kuomintang supporters support Hou Youyi, not even half.Among the neutral voters, Lai Qingde also has 42%support, while Hou Youyi does not even 10%.At present, although Lai Qingde's "transition" in the United States is not high, it has also aroused strong protests from mainland and diaspora, which directly exacerbates the tension of the Taiwan Strait.But judging from the data of the island's polls, Lai Qingde did not lose points because of this, but received more support.
Lai Qingde's poll data is far ahead, which is the result of the common role of various factors.Beginning in May this year, the environment on the island has benefited from the Democratic Progressive Party's election campaign. In order to obtain more support, Lai Qingde deliberately diluted the label of his "Taiwan independence" elements and won the favor of some middle voters.In contrast, Hou Youyi has been escaping the key issues of response, and the deep blue people in the Kuomintang have opinions on him.
Second, the Democratic Progressive Party selected candidates very early. Lai Qingde cleared the opposition within the party step by step.However, the Kuomintang was severely divided. Guo Taiming repeatedly hinted that he would take an independent election. In addition, the supporters of South Korea ’s Yu had been dissatisfied with Hou Youyi, causing the Kuomintang votes to scattered, and it was naturally difficult to match.After Ke Wenzhe's popularity faded, the support rate also decreased a lot. If he wants to compete against the DPP, the non -green camp must be united, but in the current situation, this possibility is not great.
Under the long -term publicity of the Democratic Progressive Party, the people on the island have misunderstood the mainland. Lai Qingde "transit" the United States and was packaged by the Taiwan authorities into "foreign exchanges", trying to increase Taiwan's visibility in the international community.Zhuang Ruixiong, the "legislator" of the DPP, claimed that Taiwan's in -depth exchanges with other countries are "the expectations of the people in Taiwan."This time Lai Qingde went to the United States, in fact, it was a large inner publicity, claiming that he did not support "Taiwan independence", but also emphasized that Taiwan is a "sovereign independent country."The island believes that Lai Qingde's show is to make the United States think that he is a reliable partner.
Because Lai Qingde has always been a "Taiwan independence" faction, the United States is very uneasy about it, and the Taiwanese people are also very uneasy about him.However, after this "transit", some concerns in the United States have been cut slightly. For the Taiwanese people, it is also a result of acceptable.But in any case, Lai Qingde will not really think about strengthening communication with the mainland. The "Taiwan independence" gene in his bones cannot be changed.
