Various problems faced by European and American countries are complicated causes, light symptoms, and no simple and effective solutions. It is by no means that the power of political strong people can solve it.The problem is that these populist politicians have strong motivation, know the weaknesses of human nature, and understand how to incite the emotions of the people.
What should I do if the international competitiveness of American products is not strong and the manufacturing industry is shrinking?Trump: Comprehensively sacrificed 10%to 20%tariffs on most imported goods.How to deal with the Russian and Ukraine War?Trump: I settled 24 hours of office. I and Putin and I were good friends.Mainland China may invade Taiwan, will the United States use force to deal with?Trump: Xi Jinping and I have a very reliable relationship. He respects me, and he knows that I am crazy.What if they really invade?150%to 200%tariffs are levied.How to suppress inflation?Trump: Increase the mining of oil and coal to reduce energy costs.Immigration in the United States has increased greatly, what should I do?Trump: Forced deportation.
Former US President Trump's polls have recently risen, caught up with Harris, vice president of opponent, and increased the possibility of returning to the White House.Compared with the president eight years ago, his right -wing populist is stronger, and the problem solving plan proposed is simpler and fierce.All complicated problems have been solved in his hands. Many problems will not happen at all, because people are afraid of him, and knowing that he is crazy, he will sacrifice tough countermeasures.These simple disposal schemes are not used.In the past four years, he has not resolved major problems facing the United States, but many people believe in him, the main reason is that he shows the strength and domineering of the leader, and the powerful handling of the problem in the face of the problem.This is the common characteristic of the right -wing populist leaders in Europe and the United States.
The French National Alliance, the German alternative selection of the party and the British Reform Party, also take anti -immigrant as the main demands to obtain the majority of support.They are both simple and tough for immigration issues, advocate stricter control of immigrants, reduce the number of legal and illegal immigrants, and emphasize the necessity of national sovereignty and cultural protection.
In the countermeasures of economic issues, their claims are equally concise and powerful, and generally emphasize economic protectionism. They believe that higher tariffs are levied in imported goods, prioritize the economic benefits of the country and the people, and alleviate the response to globalization and immigration.Challenge to the country's economy.Italy has been governed by the right -wing populist siblings. The Austrian right -wing populist party Liberal Party has recently become the largest party in the parliamentary election. Hungarian Prime Minister Olba ’s right -wing population route for many years.The United States, France, Germany and other countries, the middle school and liberals are aggressive, and they are all in panic.The British Right Reform Party made a first trial cry in the recent election of the House of Commons.
Right -wing populist nationism is now in the ascendant. It seems that it is not the temporary abnormal phenomenon of European and American countries, but the more and more normal believers.The 20th -century politics of these strong powers, with left -wing socialism and right -wing conservatives, have now given their positions to the separation between liberal internationalism and populist nationists.On both sides of the Atlantic Ocean, the right -wing populist party and politicians have advocated similar policies on issues such as immigration, international trade, climate change, "declared war" and the Russian and Ukraine War.
They all anti -globalism, emphasize their priority, advocate protectionism, anti -construction, anti -elite, anti -aggressive left, but supporters are older and their education level is relatively low.They did not condemn Putin's invasion of Ukraine and even had a relationship with him. They all believed that NATO countries supported Ukraine was a waste of resources and should end the war at a time.The "green transformation" of climate change, in their opinion, is to raise people's living expenses, and they must be disregarded.
They simplify the problem, deliberately use sharp language to stimulate the people's anger, and do not want to carefully analyze the complicated formation factors of the problem, and they are not willing to discuss the advantages and disadvantages of various solutions.What they want is to find an enemy, not to find a solution; their countermeasures are leaked, which is neither fulfilling nor effective execution.
In terms of immigration, the factors formed are mainly there is a huge economic gap between developing countries and developed countries, driving many people to find better life and work opportunities and immigrate.In the past 10 years, there have been many factors such as many war, political turmoil and climate change, which has led to the emergence of refugee and immigration pressure.On the other hand, the population ages for developed countries, there are shortages of labor in some industries, and also attract immigration to fill the vacancies.Due to the different cultural backgrounds, these immigrants may face obstacles such as language and customs, and a large number of immigrants put pressure on the social welfare and order of the receiving countries, and even aggravate security concerns.There are many factors that are intertwined with immigration issues. It is not solved by restrictions and deportation, and it is difficult to crack down on illegal immigrants and population trafficking. It must be through international coordination and cooperation to promote political stability and economic development, training, and employment of moving abroad.Counseling and other measures can be effectively relieved.
Tariffs are not increased, which can solve problems such as trade deficit and product competitiveness.In terms of limitedness, increasing tariffs help temporarily protect the local industry from foreign competition, especially emerging or arduous industries. At the same time, it may protect local employment opportunities in the short term and can also strive for time for local industries to improve competitiveness.
Tariffs can of course bring additional taxes to the government, but may also push up prices and exacerbate inflation.There are many potential disadvantages of tariffs, especially for the increase in the prices of imported goods, increased consumer costs, and reduced choices; reducing competition may lead to insufficient innovation power of local enterprises. Global supply chain interruptions may affect the local industries that depend on imported parts.In addition, reduction in trade may trigger trade revenge and may lead to slowing overall economic growth.Overall, protectionism may bring some benefits in the short term, but long -term may hinder economic efficiency and innovation.Experience proves that opening trade is more conducive to economic development.
European and American right -wing populist politicians also have a common short -sighted proposition, thinking that as long as the NATO countries stop supporting Ukraine, they acknowledge the status quo and end the war through negotiations.This is an underestimation of negotiations to solve the difficulties facing the war, mainly because of the strategic goal conflict between the two parties. Russia hopes to control some Ukrainian territory and control its alliance; and Ukraine adheres to the maintenance of territorial integrity and sovereignty independence.There are persistence on the issue of sovereign ownership in the Donbas region and become the main obstacles to negotiations.
In addition, the situation of the battlefield is constantly changing, and both Russia and Ukraine want to obtain advantages through military operations to strengthen negotiation chips; Ukraine is worried about future security guarantee issues, and Russia expressed concerns about NATO East Expansion.Besides, leaders of the two countries are facing domestic political pressure, and it is difficult to make major concessions.The international factors also restrict the negotiations, because this conflict is considered a significant impact on the future international order; and the lack of a third -party mediation person who has the common trust of the two countries, and lacks trust in each other, and accusing each other in the past failing to be effectively implemented effectively., Increase the complexity of negotiations.With the limited compromise space between the two sides, how can they quickly reach a peace agreement unless Ukraine surrender?
Like countries around the world, the various problems faced by European and American countries are complicated causes, light symptoms, and no simple and effective solutions. It is by no means that the power of political strong people can solve it.The problem is that these populist politicians have strong motivation, know the weaknesses of human nature, and understand how to incite the emotions of the people.Many Western countries are resentful and eager for fierce medicine, thinking that strong people can take medicine to get sick.How can there be such a cheap thing in the world?If voters make the incitement easily succeed, the quality of democracy and the appropriateness of democracy will become sinners of democracy.
The author is the former chairman and senior media person of Taiwan Central News Agency
