There are several noteworthy places in this military exercise: First of all, this is not only a military war preview, but also a preview of blocking war. It is also a legal war.Secondly, Liaoning participated in military exercises for the first time. The main goal should be the combat power preservation area of the Eastern Fighter.
Since the end of September, the financial policy of Mainland China has turned into the focus of global attention. This is the greatest change in economic policy since Xi Jinping, a mainland leader Xi Jinping in power.But just like the crown disease epidemic from zero to unblocking, it is beyond external rational expectations, and many people worry about how long this financial and educated tie can last.After the eleventh holiday, the Shanghai stock market continued to rise in just one day, indicating that the outside world still lacks confidence in the economic policy of mainland China, especially the financial ammunition provided by the central government.EssenceThe concerns of the outside world also increased with the PLA's one -day "Union Sword -20124B" (United Ling Sword B) for military exercises on October 14.
According to the Wall Street Journal, the board of directors of major corporate groups in the world has often discussed a topic: whether mainland China will scattered the internal concern to economic difficulties through martial arts in mainland China.They are worried that once the mainland moves against Taiwan, the United States and some allies will be involved in conflict.The presidents of major companies in the world must consider this when making decisions.
Some financial and financial advisors and market analysts believe that considering the martial arts of Taiwan is an important factor in conservative style of Beijing's economic decision -making style.This is because Xi Jinping has paid more attention to a topic in recent years: how to ensure that once China and the United States conflicts, it can be economically autonomous and produces sufficient resources to meet the needs of war.Because of this kind of "sorrow", Xi Jinping has never felt good about the growth of consumption -driven. He is also worried that too much social welfare guarantee will reduce the motivation to save people.This is the Chinese "Fortress Economy" strategy referred to as an expert in the development of Chinese science and technology development in the United States.The fortress economy is to enhance the national self -sufficiency ability and resist the toughness of external impact, and ultimately enables the country to respond to extreme situations including long -term armed conflicts.Xi Jinping emphasized that "we must adhere to the bottom line of thinking and extreme thinking, and prepare for the great test of the wind and waves and even the stormy waves."The PLA general also said that it is necessary to use bottom line thinking and extreme thinking to think about the impact of the Taiwan Strait.
Therefore, the security of the Taiwan Strait not only directly affects the semiconductor industry chain of the global economy, but also affects the internal economic policies of mainland China, and is concerned by important global executives.
Why did the PLA start this military exercise in October?The military exercise of Lianli Sword B is the PLA's military exercise that surrounds Taiwan after Plogsi, the President of the House of Representatives Perosi, who visited Taiwan in August 2022.The last time was the United Lingjian A military exercise held by Lai Qingde from May 23 to 24 of this year. After working in Taiwan, the exercise in May was two days. This time, it was shortened to one day.Earlier was in April 2023. At that time, Tsai Ing -wen, Taiwan visited the United States and visited the US House of Representatives McCarthy. The PLA first launched a special operation of joint cruise inspections in the northern part of the Taiwan Strait, and then conducted police patrols and joint sharp sword exercises around Taiwan.It was the first time that he used the united sword, which meant "Sword to wear the heart" and "sharp sword to seal the throat".The three -time joint sword exercises are named for Taiwan independence.This time, Wu Qian, a spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense of Mainland China, said: "We just use the language that Taiwan independences can understand to let them understand that the sharp sword is high and the road is solved."
Lianjian B military exercise comes on, but it is not surprised by Taiwan.On October 10th, the Taiwan Guo'an staff revealed to the media that they judged that the PLA might start 2024 United Lisao B in response to Lai Qing Germany's speech.The reason why the Guoan staff predicted in advance to predict that the Mainland China Association responded with military exercises because Lai Qingde had announced that "the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China did not affilize each other."Once again.Lai Qingde's speech repeatedly covered the "Republic of China" and mentioned eight times in total.
Lai Qingde persuaded some Blue Camp voters
Lai Qingde's speech, a group of people full of ideal ambitions in the 1911 Revolution 113 years ago, how to expose the uprising and overthrow the emperor's system, and then 75 years ago in the battle of Ginan Guonou, 66 years ago, 66 years ago.By 45 years ago, the Taiwan Beautiful Island Incident.In the end, "The Republic of China has taken root in Taiwan in Taiwan, and does not belong to the People's Republic of China ... The People's Republic of China has no right to represent Taiwan ..."
The object of Lai Qingde's speech is not the international or mainland China, but the Blue Camp supporters within Taiwan, that is, the speech in the title should "unite Taiwan".He repeatedly mentioned the "Republic of China" to win the favor of the blue camp voters.He also said at the National Day party two days before: "In terms of age, the People's Republic of China is absolutely impossible to become the motherland of the people of the Republic of China.Han Yu, the director of the Legislative Legislative President, also had to call him "good", saying that Lai Qingde's "motherland theory" made him "very brainburn".Obviously, Lai's words have persuaded some Blue Camp voters.
Even if the U.S. officially determined that Lai Qing and Germany's speech was "focusing on the internal affairs", overseas media and think tanks also evaluated the content of the speech mild, but the phrase "the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China are not affiliated with each other."Synonyms of the two countries.Beijing has become qualified for Lai Qingde, and Liang Jian has become a necessary move.
There are several noteworthy places in this military exercise of the PLA: First of all, this is not only a military preparation launched by Taiwan, but also a preview of the blockbuster war in Taiwan. It is also a legal war.
Earlier this year, an illegal speedboat drove by Fujian residents in mainland China was chased by Taiwan Sea Patrol in the Golden Gate Sea, trying to patrol the Fujian Maritime Police's law enforcement in the Jinxia waters.This is the sovereignty of the mainland's attempt to declare against the Golden Gate waters, and it is also a key step that will be adopted by Taiwan in the future.
In May's United Lingjian A exercise, the mainland maritime police ship entered the next 24 nautical miles of Taiwan. After the exercise, it continued to stay in the neighboring area for about two weeks after the exercise in an attempt to declare the Taiwan Strait as the China Sea.In October, the joint Sword B exercise, one of the main points is to exercise the "control control of Hong Kong and in order to be closed in Hong Kong".Ship military supplies and energy to Taiwan.
Secondly, the mainland aircraft carrier Liaoning participated in the military exercise of the Taiwan Taiwan for the first time. It was deployed in the southeast corner of Taiwan. Under the cover of fighter aircraft on the aircraft, multiple bombers-6K bombers against the military target of the port of TaiwanIt is the Eastern Fighter's combat power preservation area.
This military exercise must be regarded as a step in the PLA's continuous drill to attack Taiwan and block Taiwan's advancement.However, Taiwan society seems to be accustomed to military exercises, and the foreign exchange market and the stock market are basically stable.The media even said with a mockery: "The exercise stopped for a day!" This mentality was actually too negligent, so that Taiwan would make Taiwan a boiled frog.
But on the other hand, Xi Jinping's fortress economy built by the conflict of the Taiwan Strait is more likely to further worsen the housing and local debt storms and devour the Chinese economy.
The author is a columnist in Taiwan
