At the beginning of the President of the United States, many people from the National Security Council gathered together to read intelligence and came to a key conclusion that this century will be the decisive decisive decisive decisive in the United States and China.
Discussioners believe that China is trying to replace the United States' global leadership and is a powerful challenger.China's GDP has surpassed 70%and industrial capacity in the United States, more than the United States, in multiple technological fields such as the United States, in electric vehicles, hypersonic weapons and nuclear energy technology. The United States is still the first time in the face of such geopolitical opponents.If you do not make adjustments, the United States may be technically lagging behind China, which is economically relying on China more and more, and may even be defeated by the Chinese army in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea.How the next US president spent this decisive ten years of remaining time will have a profound impact on the United States and other parts of the world.
Despite the profound differences in the political existence of the United States, the U.S. Democratic Party and the Republican Party have reached a wide consensus on the necessity of defeating China.They have formulated legislation to enhance US technical leadership positions, revitalize domestic manufacturing, promote human rights from all over the world, strengthen the deterrent power of the United States in the Taiwan Strait, and consolidate the Asia -Pacific region.
If Trump is elected again, this unified front will be destroyed.Ironically, although during the presidency, he had long -term emphasis on contact rather than competitive China policy to help catalyze the current way of cooperation between the United States in China, but he has never fully accepted a new consensus.Outside the new consensus.On the Chinese issue, he often has his predecessor, the current consultant, the nationalist school of the party, and even the vice president's opinion he chose.EssenceIf Trump wants to do whatever he wants, he is likely to lose this decisive ten years for the United States.
No one knows this better than China.They believe that Trump's term has accelerated the decline of the United States, which is not unreasonable.Trump is concerned about the export of commodities in the United States, not long -term manufacturing strength.He alienated allies and partners, responding to great popularity, and repeatedly showing behaviors that ignore democratic norms.In terms of policies against China, he often places his personal interests above the interests of the United States and destroys important measures to compete with Beijing by his staff.As a result, Trump was widely ridiculed by the Chinese, and they gave him a nicknamed Sichuan Mdash; mdash; the country here refers to China.His governance prompted many China to believe that with the decline of the United States from the dominant position, the world is undergoing great changes in a century.
There is no reason to believe that Trump will change the practice of weakening the US status during his last term during his second term.
Take technical policies as an example.When Trump took office, his government implemented export control over Huawei and ZTE. The intelligence community warned that the two telecommunications companies might be a carrier for spy and cyber attacks.But Trump put his own interests first.According to reports, he promised to China to cancel the control (in the end he disregarded the opposition of the two parties and canceled the control of ZTE in exchange for China to purchase American agriculture and energy commodities. He believed that this would help his re -election prospect.
Today, Trump opposes a legislation widely supported by the two parties. The law requires Tiktok's Chinese owner to sell the app, otherwise it will be banned.The purpose is to prevent the news of the 170 million TIKTOK US users' news push to affect public opinion that affects the United States or obtain sensitive user data.He had previously supported the legislation, but after meeting with a top donor holding about $ 30 billion in a top donor, he seemed to change his position.
U.S. President Biden has taken important measures to prevent other countries from gaining a leading position in the field of artificial intelligence and the advanced semiconductor required to improve military weapons.Destroy key infrastructure (such as water, natural gas, telecommunications and transportation).If Trump once again places his personal interests on the national technical competition policy, then these vital efforts will face risks.
The situation of the manufacturing industry is similar.As a senator Marco Middot; a recent report of Rubio clearly states that China is a leading position in many industries that determine geopolitical advantages.Both parties have realized that as another wave of China's exports threatened the key industries of the United States, emergency actions need to be used to realize the industrialization of the United States.
Trump's idea of Taiwan is a blueprint for disaster.For decades, Washington has adopted a strategic blurred two -party policy on whether Washington will defend Taiwan in the United States to deter the Taiwan Strait.Trump threatened to weaken this deterrence.He recently said that Taiwan should pay for the United States to defend the island of democratic rule, while at the same time carelessly shows doubts about whether the United States has the ability to achieve this.
This is very dangerous.Driving signals that the United States lacks determination may encourage the determination to seize the Taiwan Strait one day, which may trigger a conflict that destroys the global economy.The Western diplomatic and academic circles are becoming more and more aware that Chinese think tank experts are quietly discussing that if Trump is elected again, will he acquiesce in China's military operations against the Taiwan Strait.
Both American Democrats and Republicans believe that strengthening the United States' global alliance is one of the best ways to fight against China.But Trump has shown that he still does not pay attention to the US international friendship.He once again threatened to raise tariffs on allies, let them pay more fees for collective defense, and violate US defense commitments.
China is the most powerful geopolitical opponent in the United States for a century. In Trump's last term, China has already understood what kind of people he is and how to cope with him.They believe that China is rising and the United States is declining.Next month, once Trump is elected, it may prove that they are right.
Source: New York Times Review
