The presidential election seems to have an additional value and system foundation dimension, that is, whether the candidate has the belief and commitment to defend the values of democracy and the rule of law and the social system.This is indeed unprecedented.Harris is more obvious compared to Trump's advantages.
At present, the popular prediction of American politics is who will win this round of presidential election in less than a month?The author believes that it has been clear in the chaos of the war. It is better to say which candidate may win.This may be the greatest benefit and gospel.
The overall election is still stalemate.Democratic candidate Harris seems to be in a relatively obvious advantage at the level of voting of the whole people, but the final decision mechanism of the US presidential election is the election group system, that is, regardless of how much each state's votes, in the total number of votes of 538 election group groups, Can only represent a established quantity.In the end, the candidate must be more than half of the votes of the election group, that is, more than 270 votes.
In other words, the more the U.S. presidential election does not get one person and one vote, the larger the winning face, but the larger the winner of the Grand Washington Special Economic Zone, more than the state (especially the so -called six or seven key swing states.) Winning in the winner, the larger the winning noodles.At present, the polls in several swing states show that Harris's confrontation with Trump is still difficult to distinguish.This also led to the overall election.
But a significant change is that the democracy in the United States is reborn. From the ups and downs of the crown disease in 2020, and the shadow of the two major vicious incidents of Congress Mountain on January 6, 2021, the MountainThe vitality and tension of democratic politics began to play a decisive role in the national system.When the epidemic outbreak in early 2020, the United States seemed to be slow and caught off guard. It seemed that the strong democratic and advanced United States was vulnerable under the virus.Democratic society's institutional advantages and ability to respond to crisis have been seriously questioned.
On January 6, 2021, then President Trump refused to admit defeat after failure. He tried unprecedentedly to subvert the tradition of democratic systems, forcibly inciting some supporters to violently impact Congress, forcing Congress and Vice President Pence to overthrow the election electionThe voting results of the group.The core principles of democratic politics are the recognition of, maintenance and obeying a common constitution and related rational rules for the parties participating in politics.At the beginning of the end of the election, Trump had doubts about the fairness and accuracy of some states' voting process. Of course, he could legally propose a request for review.However, under the circumstances of several investigations, there was no substantial evidence of cheating in elections, but he did not hesitate to trample on the principles of constitutional and democratic rules, and destroy the US foundation line and the rule of law thinking.For a while, the bright torch of the world in the hands of Liberty also became dull.
After the calamity, the US reorganization, quickly developed an effective crown vaccine and provided free injections to the country to curb the fierce momentum of the spread of plague, so that the entire society was adjusted, and the immunity of the community gradually increased.Since the summer of the summer, the trend stabilizes and has begun to support the world to get rid of disasters.
In national politics, the US Congress and the state system are at the most test of the trial, and adhere to the bottom line of justice and the rule of law. Trump has no choice but to let the throne go to the wild.After the Bayeng government came to power, he restored the normal stability of the situation, promoted the society to get out of the epidemic, recover the economy, and traced traceability and liquidation to the illegal impact on January 6 to restore the dignity and strength of the rule of law.
The rule of law stands in a major case of trial
As the economy and society returned to normal after the end of the epidemic, the US Federal and State judicial departments began to investigate Trump's personal crimes. To this day, Trump is still in a lawsuit and has been together in New York StateThe case was judged to be guilty.Everyone was equal in front of the law, and the son of President Biden was also prosecuted and tried for illegal issues; the US judicial department also cleared the disciples of those who had both politics and economic dual -sided pits such as Guo Wengui.The U.S. rule of law reappears in the process of trialing these major cases.
At the same time, the Bayeng government corrected the tendency of isolationism on the international stage, restored the role and role of the leaders of the American democratic camp, and competition for non -democratic and anti -democratic forces and the country.During this period, although it happened in Afghanistan, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Hamas suddenly attacked major events such as Israel, the overall international situation still developed positively.Japan, Australia, South Korea, India and other countries in the Tai region work closely to maintain regional order and security.
In the United States, this year may repeat Biden and Trump's two veterans, so that the public's enthusiasm for the participation of the election is greatly reduced. This is also a democratic crisis in a sense.The summoning force became unprecedentedly low.At this critical moment, the US democratic error correction and adjustment mechanism again became powerful.The Democratic Party decisively replaced in early July and worshiped Biden with the young Zhuang Harris.This not only made the Democratic Party's morale, but also reinstated the people's confidence and hope for democratic politics, which led to an unprecedented high of participation and citizen voting rate this year.
This election seems to have one more voting dimension than before.In the past, the elections mainly depended on the two major dimensions: the policies and policies, and personal leadership and execution.The former is to tell voters clearly that in the face of difficult problems such as the country and the world, how can the presidential candidate cognitize and judge, and what strategies and means to deal with it?The latter is the highest commander of the president and armed forces. Whether the presidential candidate has a strong and wise personality, fully complete experience, and the ability to control the overall change to complete the highest mission given by the people and the country?
But this time seems to have another dimension of value and system foundation, that is, whether candidates have the beliefs and commitments to defend the values of democracy and the rule of law and the social system.This is indeed unprecedented, because this has never been a problem in the past. There is no major controversy and differences between candidates and between competitive parties.
But this time Trump not only did not recognize the results of the 2020 election, but also had no regrets to encourage illegal impact on the Capitol. Instead, he announced publicly that once he came to power, he would have to turn over the incident.In terms of worldview and values, Trump has repeatedly made public praise to opponents and enemies of democracy and freedom of rule of law. It also advocates that lies can be accepted by the people.This is equivalent to picking up the teeth of the Nazi German Propaganda Minister Gobel.
Can we maintain rationality and peace and cannot be determined after being selected?
Bynden recently received questions from reporters in the White House, saying that the results of this round of elections must be transparent and fair, but whether the process of accepting the results of the election can maintain rationality and peace. Considering that Trump's violent incitement tendency, he cannot yet haveconfirm.Trump himself has also encountered two attempted assassinations to make a shadow for the election.
Observing the current election from the above three dimensions, it is not difficult to find that, as far as the policies are concerned, the two sides have their own advantages.Trump's immigration policy, social security policy, and free economic strategy have characteristics and highlights, which will at least win the support of large enterprises and many middle and lower rural voters; Harris can be fully treated in the US economy and employment, andThe stock market has scored high progress, emerging technology is booming; the economic support and welfare policies advocated by the Democratic Party will also be supported by the middle -class and urban young generations.
In terms of personal leadership and execution, Trump is an entrepreneur and has also been a president; Harris is a prosecutor and also a vice president; Trump is a white man but an age but an ageIt is too big, Harris is a minority woman, and is a political and strong faction.In summary, the two are basically divided into autumn in this dimension.
In the end, it depends on the basic dimensions of value and principles. This round of elections is likely to divide the victory here because it is related to the foundation of the United States.The above -mentioned statement of democratic vitality and righteousness in the United States is rising. From the recent vice presidential television debate, both sides of the television debate can be proven by gentlemen and tolerance.Under such a big background and trend, Harris is more obvious in this comparison of Trump's advantages.Federal prosecutors have recently announced more inside story and evidence of illegal impact on the Mountains of Congress. Trump's Waterloo may be fixed in that cold and violent winter.
(The author is an expert in international cultural strategy in the United States)
