Source: Bloomberg
Author: Kim Chipman, Miranda Davis, ISIS Almeida
The struggle for rural votes is becoming increasingly fierce.
For the past decades, the Democratic Party has defeated in the heart of the United States and has been losing to the Republican Party. Now Kamara Harris is trying to seize some basic rural markets of Donald Trump.The Democratic Party's strategy includes appointing a new rural contact supervisor, and a series of advertisements to promote farmers' commitments to vote to support Harris in the Swing State Wisconsinity State and Pennsylvania.
Most of the swing states still have a relatively large rural population, so it will be the key to gaining support from the agricultural community.Harris and her campaign partner, Minnesota Governor Tim Waltz have recently spoke around in these regions to promote the rural medical care plan, as well as the Federal Federal Federation of President Joe Bedden to reduce the inflation method and other federals designed to return the manufacturing industry to return.The plan promised one billion US dollars.
"They all understand that rural voters are the foundation of our country, and they hope that rural voters know that they will have their place in the campaign," said Matt Hildreth, who joined the Harris campaign to contact rural voters last month."We have selected organizers in these areas and set up offices. It has been for more than half a year."
However, it is not easy to fight for rural voters. According to Nicholas Jacobs and Daniel Shea The Rural Voter, the overall support rate of the Democratic Party in rural areas in local, state and federal elections has continued to decline since 1980.Although Trump's trade war with China hurting farmers, he provided $ 28 billion to reduce the impact of farmers' affected. In 2020, his leading advantage in rural areas further expanded.
"Trump bravely faced China, reached a fair trade agreement to support the construction of rural infrastructure," said Anna Kelly, spokesman for the Republican National Committee."Rural voters are tired of the Democratic Party to disappoint them. They are lining up to support President Trump."
Progress
But Democrats think they can make some progress.Since becoming a Democratic presidential candidate, Harris has been rising in several swing states.Waltz can also help. After all, he grew up in rural Braska. He is currently the governor of Minnesota, while Minnesota is the largest state of sugar beets and the second largest states of pigs.
"Vice President Harris is very attractive to urban residents," said the mayor Cavalier Johnson, Milwaukee, said, "So I think the choice of Governor Waltz as a partner is very strategic, and pays great attention to the balance in the place like Wisconsin."
In order to win rural votes, Harris is spending huge sums of money.As part of the US $ 370 million media offensive, her campaign team launched a series of advertisements last week. Some of them will have the highest ratings such as "Dance with Star" and "National Music Awards" in ABC.Broadcasting will also be played on TV networks including Fox News Channel.
One of the advertisements is Tina Hinchley, a Wisconsin dairy farmer Tina Hintley, telling that if it was not a milematic medical care method passed during his term of Democratic President Obama, she may have died of recurrent brain tumors.Another advertisement is Bob and Kristina Lange in Pennsylvania. They told them that they had previously voted to Trump, but now they will support Harris.They mentioned that the policies of Congress and Trump splitting policies on January 6, 2021 prompted them to change their ideas.
Pennsylvania is a must -have. There are nearly 400 staff members in the state in the state, and 16 offices in the local rural counties with a double -digit advantage in Trustch in 2020.Harris and Waltz have also visited several counties such as Luzerne, Cambria, Lancaster, and Fayette in recent weeks.
Trump held a round table of farmers and manufacturers at the state of Pennsylvania last month. Wednesday will visit Scraton and Reading.
"If there is no competitiveness in the rural community, you cannot win Pennsylvania," the state governor Josh Shapiro said in a gap between the National Congress of the Democratic Party held in Chicago in August."They must continue to make progress there."
According to the average polls of RealclearPolitics as of Tuesday, Harris is evenly matched with Trump in Pennsylvania and has less than a percentage advantage in Wisconsin.
But Trump is also striving for support.The former president and his campaign partner, JD Wanus, have recently gone to Prairie Du Chien, Wisconsin, and Valda in Georgia to meet with rural voters.
China
People are also worried about how Trump will treat China.The former president has accused Chinese President Xi Jinping failed to fulfill the first phase of trade agreement and promised to use tariff weapons to use the world's largest imported country in the world.
"Republican Party is tougher to China, at least from the statement of Trump and Wans, it may impose tariffs on China, which is definitely not conduciveOfficial Cannon Michael said.The company grows cotton and tomatoes in Los Banos, California.
Last sprint
Before November 5, the Democratic Party needed to make hard work to fight for support from rural voters.Data from Petou Research Center showed that Trump won 59%of rural votes in 2016, further rising to 65%in 2020.Nevertheless, Trump eventually lost his 2020 election due to Bayeon's advantages in cities and suburbs.
During the 2020 election, John Anzalone, a poll expert of the Biden camp, said in a podcast last month that the Democratic Party has a real problem in rural areas in the United States.In this way, we will not fall behind 75%-25%.