The new prime minister in Japan, Shi Po Mao, proposed to establish the "Asian NATO" to strengthen the deterrent of China and visit Taiwan before. In addition, his long -term deep cultivation of security defense policies.Time challenge is great.The author believes that the biggest challenge of the Sino -Japanese relations in the Shipo era may not be on political relations, but how to solve the "social cognitive deficit" in China and Japan.
First of all, as a conservative politician, Shi Po will inevitably show a tough posture on some issues and words and deeds, but he is also a realist.One of the important reasons for the Early Early Selection of the Gao City is exactly that the ideology is too strong, both in the Liberal Democratic Party and the people.
From the Liberal Democratic Party, Moriyama Yu, the chairman of the No. 2 person, has recently visited China twice, and is also a honorary citizen in Changsha, China.During his visit to China, China and Japan recently reached a consensus and made progress on the treatment of water problems with Fukushima Nuclear Power Station and China.As the second -order Junbo of the Democratic Party and China has long maintained high -level communication channels for a long time, Moriyama is likely to be a new key figure in the Liberal Democratic Party's high -level contacts in China.
At the same time, the former Prime Minister Kishita Tiansheng met with Chinese leaders in the past two years.EssenceThe requirements of the new era are China's strategic positioning of Sino -Japanese relations. The Japanese side proposed stable and constructive Sino -Japanese relations. The above statements show that both parties recognize the strategic positioning of Sino -Japanese relations.
This time, the Chinese leader's congratulations to Shi Po were elected as the 102nd Prime Minister of Japan, and it also reiterated the above statement again.Strategic positioning mutual acceptance means that the increase in the strategic cognition of Sino -Japanese relations has increased. This has an important leading role in the management and control of China and Japan in specific dispute issues and more additional methods in the areas of cooperation.In November, the Asia -Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit and the 20th State (G20) summit will be held one after another. At that time, if the summit of the Sino -Japanese leaders can be held, it will help this momentum to further consolidate.
In terms of security policies, although Shi Po Mao's "Asian NATO" realized during the campaign is very low, he will seek the current security policy and the "intermediate state" between the Asian NATO. The strategic direction is to be inEast Asia (especially at sea) strives to achieve a new security structure of "the United States and Japan -Double -axis Heart -Wheel Spoke", which will constitute a lot of challenges to Sino -Japanese relations.But whether it can be achieved depends on the political and social conditions of Japan, as well as various constraints in the world including China, the United States, and Asians.
The biggest challenge for Sino -Japanese relations is "social cognitive deficit".From 2010 to 2012, Sino -Japanese relations experienced the "collision" and "buying island storm" that caused diplomatic relations to fall into the trough. From the official level, they were looking for a path of stable bilateral relations.From 2018 to 19, Sino -Japanese relations have recovered in Xiaoyangchun, and once discussed the Chinese leaders' national visits to Japan.Despite the decline in Sino -Japanese relations in the future, the total tone of the leaders' two meetings was still positive.
Social favorability is lingering for a long time
In contrast to this, the favorability between China and Japan has been hovering at a low position for a long time, especially the proportion of the Japanese people's favorability of China is as high as 90 %.If social cognition is in a negative low for a long time, this will improve and develop political relations, resulting in great approximately or restrictions, and any decision cannot be made in public opinion.
Negative social cognition is a fragile manifestation of social bonds. Some impacts between China and Japan may also make negative cognition worsening a confrontation cognition.How to alleviate the social cognitive deficit in Sino -Japanese relations, we need to give full play to their imagination and innovation.For example, China is starting the new journey of Chinese -style modernization. This is that Chinese society has become not only richer, but also comprehensive high -quality modernization in people's livelihood agenda such as social welfare, pension medical care, health care, and environment.In the process of modernization, Japan has a lot of good experience and many lessons. On the issue of focusing on people's livelihood, China and Japan can thoroughly tap the potential and learn from each other to learn from each other.Japan's ultra -aging society has continued for many years, and the scale and quality of pension services have accumulated a lot. China is entering the aging society, and the space for China -Japan cooperation is quite large.
From the perspective of local revitalization, the problems of Tokyo in the process of modernization in Japan are becoming more and more serious, and the "counterpart support" practice implemented by China has proved that it is valid.Shi Po Mao is a member of the smaller Bird Prefecture in Japan and has also served as the local revitalization minister. He also puts this as an important policy goal in the campaign.In the process of modernization, there are many opportunities to explore in China and Japan.
To improve the cognition of Sino -Japanese society, let ordinary people feel the actual interests brought by the improvement of Sino -Japanese relations in order to create a rich mass foundation that supports improvement of Sino -Japanese relations.In the past, Chinese and Japanese personnel were mainly the Japanese people came to China. As China developed a large number of middle class, it has completely possessed economic ability to travel, study and work in Japan.The modernization process of China will also provide various opportunities for employment and entrepreneurship for Japanese society.The direct interaction between the society between the two sides will bring the diversification and intuitiveness of social cognition, and it will also have effective immunity to the extreme cognition on the Internet.
In the history of Sino -Japanese relations, there have been excellent traditions of folk diplomacy. However, under the hard environment of the Cold War Iron Curse and the political confrontation between the two sides, Sino -Japanese social communication creates conditions to promote the breakthrough of political relations and create conditions.
The normalization of China -Japan diplomatic relations has been more than 50 years. Although there are still various difficulties in bilateral relations, it is much better than 50 years ago. There is no reason to pessimistic about Sino -Japanese relations.The people of the two countries want to live a better life and have the desire to expect peace and prosperity in common.Japan has long been sluggish after the bubble economic collapse, the aging of society, and the prominent problems of late marriage, but Japanese society also pursues faster and stronger from the bubble economy era, and turns to stable and comfortable.Beginning with medium speed development, people's demands are more comfortable, healthier, and more at ease.The commonality of Sino -Japanese society means that the improvement of social cognition is possible.Sino -Japanese relations are not abstract political relations, nor is it exclusive to be limited to the economic relations between enterprises with economic and trade exchanges. Instead, it is necessary to build a social relationship network that covers all levels of the society between the two countries and enables the people.
The author is an associate professor at the National Niigata University of Japan
