Recently, a series of significant changes in the British government's cabinet have changed. The Minister of the Interior Bredman was fired by Prime Minister Sonak for demonstration. Former Prime Minister Cameron was appointed as Foreign Minister and attracted much attention.This marks the national election that Sunak is preparing at the latest after 13 months, and is trying to attract more support from intermediate voters.
However, in the current situation, Sunak not only faces multiple challenges, but the government also seems to be trapped in the dilemma of continuous decline in polls.For a long time, north of Kenilworth is a traditional ticket warehouse of the Conservative Party.Essence
During the Brexit referendum in 2016, voters in the north of Keniel Worth voted to support Brexit, which made them more inclined to support the Conservative Party because the Conservative Party played an important role in the process of Brexit.However, they are also worried, especially the economic impact on the Brexit.This may prompt some voters to consider other options and seek policies that can alleviate these concerns.
In addition, in the northern region, economic conditions have an important impact on voters' tendency to vote.Some northern regions are facing decline and high business.Therefore, voters often pay attention to economic policy and political party commitments, and are more likely to support policies and candidates that provide economic development and employment opportunities.
Sunak has been focusing on restoring the unity within the party since he was appointed.Vodors are tired of quarrels within the Conservative Party, and he needs to ease the tension.To some extent he succeeded, and the internal civil strife within the conservative party had stopped.But he also paid the price, which failed to make himself significantly different from other factions in the party.At this year's party congress, he tried to declare that he was a candidate for change and the right decision, but this decision came too late.
Of course, the problem faced by the Conservative Party is not only the problem of Sunak.The ruling party of almost every developed country faces the challenge of rising interest rates and economic tightening. Sunak reasonably believes that the Conservative's support rate has declined sharply when he came to power.
Compared with the election of the conservative party in 2019, the Conservative Party has lost some Johnson supporters and the salary -stroke voters who are keen on Brexit, as well as some of the Labor leaders who do not support BrexitCorbin's middle -class city voters.For these two major voters, the government can obviously start in some aspects, such as reducing inflation rates and reducing national health insurance waiting list.However, on many other issues, the government lacks a clear theme, not to mention the preferred order of the consistent voters.Sometimes Sunak supports net zero emissions targets and criticizes awakening culture, which makes it difficult for him to win support like Johnson supporters.
In the government's legislative plan, you can see this chaotic response.For example, the tenant (reform) bill aims to solve the consequences of the housing crisis and provide tenants with some sense of security.However, the bill also expands state power, unilaterally changes the existing contract between the landlord and the tenant, and greatly reduces the control of the landlord's property by the landlord's control by the lease contract indefinitely.This may lead to more housing withdrawing from the market and pushing rent.The formulation of this bill reflects the government's challenges facing different interests, trying to meet the expectations of diversified voters.
In terms of economy, British inflation fell to 4.7%in October, and Sunak claimed that he had achieved a promise of halving inflation before the end of the year.The public fiscal situation has improved, which seems exciting.However, the tax burden is heavy and too high.The prediction of the British Institute of Finance shows that by the next election, taxation will account for 37%of the GDP, which is the highest level since the 1940s, an increase of 4 percentage points from 2019.Although it lags behind polls, from the perspective of principles and possible policies, it is important to formulate a plan to reduce tax burden.To achieve this goal, government expenditure may be reduced.
The Sunak government has worked hard to prepare for the election. However, the government faces multiple challenges in terms of policy differences, challenges and votes in the party, and must find a balance in these aspects.At this critical moment, the government needs to formulate a clear policy and direction to cope with the changing political environment.The Conservative Party will never forget the national election in 1997. The reason for the Labor Party's victory is not only 10%of voters voting, but also 20%of voters choose not to vote.
The author is Malaysian data engineer, former media person
