Malaysia's current political territory is fragmented. It is no longer like before 2018. It is mainly the two major camps in the opposition and field. Instead, many political parties have their own seats in Congress, but no political parties are in power alone. They must be with other other.The party negotiated and organized the joint government.
In this way, the legitimacy and legitimacy of the Malaysian government, just depending on whether it can continue to obtain the continuous support of the members of the coalition government (currently known as the unity government), or even individual united government members,EssenceAs long as these support changes, the unity government may fall, so you must be careful and trembling to maintain support.
As for the opposition party, seeing the subtle and crumbling political situation at the moment, of course, it is also staring and waiting to go. He waits for the opportunity to attract individual members of the current support of the united government, or to pull a faction, a faction, etc., trying to reverse the disadvantages of a small number of seats.The aggressive momentum against the party has also led to the rumors that the government will change again from time to time in recent days. Based on the tradition of the gurgling of politics, the traditional rumors have not been completely denied.
Of course, this is not a unique political environment in Malaysia. Jun does not see the neighboring Thailand. After the latest election, although the main opposition parties have won many seats, more than the pro -military party who have held the regime for many years before.It was a lot, but no opposition party was in power alone.Coupled with the Thai military to preserve its own political participation, relying on the advantages of governance to lead the constitutional amendment, to make a house that is fully appointed by the military, the Prime Minister must be selected by the upper and lower courtyards, resulting in the aspirational appointment.Opposition leaders must be supported by more than three -quarters of the seats in the House of Commons.Therefore, unless the opposition party can fully put aside their disgust and cooperate sincerely, and push a total of a prime minister, the current seemingly split pro -military political forces may still attract some small opposition parties to continue the joint administration.Moreover, there is also a trump card that is ruthlessly thrown out from time to time in the Thai military, that is, even if the election of the government has high public opinion, as long as the military is getting more and more unpleasant, it will launch a coup, overthrow the election government, and come to the stage to engage in military governance.This is probably a political fate that Thailand is difficult to get rid of the future.
Turn the focus back to Malaysia. The age is high, and he is only admitted to the hospital at the beginning of the year. The former Prime Minister Mahathir, who caused a false alarm, was unbearable and had a lot of movements.Before, he and his son Mukley co -created the fighter parties to part ways, because Mukley wanted to bring the fighter to the Mission Party led by another former Prime Minister Muyudin.Mu Yuding combined with some governing leaders three years ago and launched a coup with some governors, and Mahathir was forced to step down.It seems that Mahathir's betrayal of him is still difficult to release, so regardless of his father -son relationship, he cuts with the fighter.Unexpectedly, the Qiu Bo released by the Fighter Party to the Turkish Party also lost his work and was not accepted to the National League.
But Mahathir has not been idle because of this. Instead, he is more active with the small party and organization that emphasizes Malay nationalism.Aired agenda.
Since Mahathir's politics, it has long been advocated to revitalize the fate of the Malay people, that is, the Malay as the main ethnic group of Malaysia to Malaysia must be taken for granted and absolutely dominated Malaysia's politics, economy, society, and cultureFields.Although he also realized that the Malaysian country is essentially a country of diversified ethnic groups and multiculturalism, he believes that other ethnic groups should still accept the absolute dominant position of the Malays, so that they can grow up for a long time.If all walks of life in Malaysia, on the basis of the Malaysians, they can imitate Mahathir's favorite Japanese culture, work hard and pay attention to details.The ambition of the country.This is his vision for many years.
But 2020 has passed. Instead of becoming an advanced country, Malaysia has plummeted in terms of socio -economy. High government bonds, corruption, and disparity between the rich and poor.EssenceMahathir does not regard these topics as typical developing countries. It is difficult to extricate the medium -income quagmire. Instead, it chooses to look at these socio -economic problems through racial colors.
He distorted that the economy of the Malaysian country is still controlled by non -Malaysians, and the latter has even begun to penetrate into the field of Malaysian politics and culture, which affects the core values of some MalaysRotten.Therefore, Mahathir's heart was very uncomfortable, thinking that it is necessary to unite other Malay elites to reshape the Malay's unique position in the Malaysian country, so there is the promotion of the Malay declaration.
Mahathir hates the two younger generations of political enemies, the former Prime Minister Najib and the current Prime Minister Anhua.Of course, Mahathir has always had a good opinion of the Islamic Party and thinks that he is too religious.In any case, Najib has been imprisoned because of the failure of corruption crimes, but Mahathir still does not let him go. In the Malay declaration, he emphasizes the scourge of corruption in the Malays Declaration.As for Anwar, Mahathir wants to unite all the power of unity like Najib and pull him down, otherwise he is unwilling.Therefore, maybe the enemy of the enemy is the principle of a friend, or there is no eternal enemy or friend in politics, only eternal political interests. Mahathir has recently met the Malaysian declaration.It seems that there is also room for cooperation.At this moment, a whirlwind was lifted, and many cross -party leaders came to sign declarations.Regardless of his suspicion with his father, even Mukley led the public to visit Mahathir and signed a declaration.
This kind of wild political cooperation has attracted great attention from all walks of life.Because Malaysia is about to hold the six states elections shortly after, the so -called green tide dominated by the Islamic Party seems to win the governing power of at least half of the state.If there is still a certain status in the minds of Malay people, the blessing of Mahathir, then the green tide sweeps the governing power of most states.
Of course, Anhua is not willing to show weakness. Recently, he ran to the core state of the green tide to hold an open event for the Eid, hoping to move these long -term support for the Iraqi party.Anwar also returned to teeth, and met the late Iraqi Party's enlightened and moderate leader Nie Az's relatively conservative son Nie Adu.This series of air -to -air politics between Mahathir and Anwar, which spans ideology, seems to have known each other, and dazzling. The political situation for the Malaysian country in the next few months is shuffling.Come to the beginning of loud waves.
The author is the Singapore International Affairs Society (Research Institute)
Senior Researcher
Chief Counselor of the Malaysian Pacific Research Center
