Source: Zhongshi Electronic News

Author: Tang Shaocheng

The leader Cai Yingwen passed the United States, which was originally considered by the outside world to fight with former President Ma Ying -jeou to fight for Lu. However, it seems that the adjustment of the itinerary and the release of the post -adjustment appear to be very low -key.There are some scruples in Beijing.While crossing the country in New York, the American anti -Central General Pompeo did not appear as an awards ceremony as expected. At the time of return, whether the meeting of McCarthy and Tsai Ing -wen of the US House of Representatives would also be fine -tuned, so as not to cause the Taiwan Strait, which will be the focus of attention from the outside world.Essence

The United States has passed the Taiwan Travel Law. President Tsai is now only transit, and even to avoid Washington. Recently, the White House also temporarily canceled the briefing of Cai Yingwen's transit, showing the conservative attitude of the United States.The highlight of President Tsai's transit New York was to accept the awards in the U.S. Think Tank's "Hudson Institute".The firm is headquartered in Washington, but is specially selected in a hotel in New York to hold an awards ceremony, which is a gap with the previous Republican party's strong practices in the Taiwan system.Because the institute is a Republican think tank, and the party members of the party also hope that Cai can step into Washington this time. It is reported that the Taiwanese side intends to avoid stimulating the other side, and eventually replaced Washington with New York.Moreover, the former Secretary of State Pompeo, who is regarded as the Chinese Eagle School and currently serving as the chairman of the "China Center" consulting committee, did not attend the ceremony.Some possibilities.

It is reported that Tsai Ing -wen has met with the minority leaders of the United States House of Representatives and the leader of the Democratic Party group in New York.Be careful.As for the highlight of this trip, when Tsai Ing -wen crossed Los Angeles, the speech originally planned to go to the Leigan Library may be canceled; as for the itinerary of the American House of Representatives McCato and more than 20 members of Congress to meet with Tsai Ing -wen, would there be adjustments to the itinerary of Tsai Ing -wen., Still have to be observed.

In fact, Tsai Ing -wen's transit in the United States, it seems that the Republican Party is more active than the Democratic Party of the Lord, because the Hudson Research Institute and the Reagan Library are closely related to the Republican Party.Can avoid Beijing's protests.

The DPP is good at exporting to domestic sales, but after the defeat of the nine -in -one election last year, the DPP intentionally reduced the resistance of the anti -China -China. Especially, before Cai's departure, Beijing had been unplugged to Hongdulas in our diplomatic relations.The next is probably Paraguay, South America. This is a warning to look at the actions of Cai Yingwen's transit in the United States and the United States, and then take a response. The possibility of China ’s military exercise will still exist again.

So far, the United States has continued to support Taiwan, but after studying in Russia, it seems that the Sino -US confrontation seems to have changed. The Russian cards are on the Taiwan card, and the United States seems to be more cautious to play the Taiwanese card.Recently, the US Treasury Secretary, Minister of Commerce, and even the Secretary of State have a planned visit. Therefore, the United States intends to reduce the bad consequences of Cai Yingwen's transit, which can be understood.When Meitai held a high -level dialogue between AIT headquarters before, the United States reminded Taiwan to resolve the expected crisis, which was the tacit understanding of both sides.If this is true, this time the Taiwan Strait may avoid turbulence again.

The author is a professor of the National University of Political Science