Source: Taiwan China Times Society
Taiwan Tsai Ing -wen launched the "Democratic Partner Journey to the Gong" on the 29th, which led to the U.S. Biden government's busy risk control and diluted Tsai Ing -wen's political meaning in the United States, emphasizing the practice of Taiwan's transit.However, it is still impossible to calm down from all walks of life to worry about US -China relations.The Tsai government's irritability has not created diplomatic breakthroughs, but it has impacted the security situation of the Taiwan Strait, and may even affect the long -term mutual trust in the United States.
Excessive self -confidence from high -profile to low -key
The Financial Times first disclosed that McCarthy, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, will meet with Cai Yingwen in Los Angeles, instead of visiting Taiwan in person.The leader, deliberately created the image of Cai Yingwen's major diplomatic breakthrough.The Biden government is low -key to position Cai Yingwen "transit" and not "visit" the United States. It is "unofficial and private" nature. It is no different from her in the past six transit, but avoids the most critical "Cai Maihui".
The Cai government's diplomatic team is obviously over -confidence, overestimates its own operation capabilities, underestimates the will of the mainland government, and thinks that it is a clever arrangement to replace McCarthy's visit to Taiwan with the Los Angeles meeting.While showing supporting Taiwan, it was dissuaded in Beijing overdooring.And mainland China has always opposed any form of official exchanges between the United States and Taiwan, and it cannot tolerate the two sides to improve the target of contact and empty the policy of China.The three parties of the Meilu Taiwan confront the fever and brew a new diplomatic storm. If Cai Mai will appear next week as scheduled, the degree and scale of Beijing revenge will be the focus of attention from all walks of life.
Mainland China preemptive, dug away from Honduras, an important diplomatic relations between Taiwan before the visit of Tsai Ing -wen., Resolutely oppose the United States to violate the principles of the first China, to conduct any form of contact with the independence of the same Taiwan independence, as well as Cai Yingwenruo's contact with McCarthy.
Perosi, the Speaker of the House of Representatives before August last year, visited Taiwan. The large -scale real -scale military exercise in the mainland caused the fourth Taiwan Strait crisis. In order to avoid the crisis repeat, the Bayeng government launched risk control, the White House national security adviser Su Liwen and the mainland governmentWang Yi, director of the Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Committee, talked about the tension caused by Tsai Ing -wen's transit.For the first time, the Biden government was for the first time by the Asia -Pacific Secretary of State Kangda to make a briefing to the media for the "Taiwan transit the United States", and this briefing was twists and turns, from delay, cancellation, to re -held, fully displaying the high sensitivity and complexity of the incident.
Kangda said that the fact that the transit facts are clear, it is also a convention, in line with the unofficial relationship between the United States and Taiwan, and it is in line with the "one China" policy that is unchanged in the United States, and the "one -time interview of the current status of the status quo will not force the US government to change our long -term assistance to our long -term assistance"Turbish approach".Kangda conveyed two messages: trying to appease Beijing, the policy of the United States unchanged; and warning that the mainland must be restrained, and the United States will not succumb to pressure.
Undelerating the situation of misjudgment Beijing response
Cai Mai will have been fried, but the United States and Taiwan and McCarthy have never talked about details. Whether the talks are held, adopted open or closed door, and the content of dialogue will determine the degree of countermeasures in the mainland. At presentKeep low -key and mysterious, making the whole incident look particularly paradoxical.
Cai Yingwen's visit is still continuously developing, and the future is full of variables, but it has exposed the decision -making thinking of the Cai government's diplomatic team is too narrow and subjective, and the superstition of the United States and Taiwan relations is unprecedented and friendly.The restrictions on the triangle relations of the Land and Taiwan and the US -China strategic competition structure.
Due to the unprecedented situation of tension in the United States and China, the strategic mutual trust is fragile, and the impact of the Taiwan issue cannot be afforded, Cai Mai will put all parties into the dilemma of uncompromising and concessions; in addition, the Bayeng government is actively trying to restore the communicationpipeline.Biden has twice publicly stated that it is expected that he can talk to Xi Jinping soon. The State Council fully resumes State Secretary of State Brillin to visit the mainland. Beijing has not responded positively. Now it is necessary to wait until Cai Yingwen's dust will be settled.In the process of repairing relations with Beijing, the variables in Taiwan have appeared, and the operation of the Cai government should be more delicate to avoid affecting mutual trust between the two parties.
Cai Yingwen's event after arriving in New York has gradually become low -key, accepting the "Global Leadership Award" by the U.S. Think Tank "Hudson Institute", and has not been made public to the public. Now all parties also avoid the Cai Mai meeting.question.The head of the head of state that advertises the two goals of "deepening democracy and the development of common prosperity" has lost focus. This is the result of reality and excessive operation.Tsai Ing -wen transit the United States to deepen the tension between the United States and Lutai. At the same time, Ma Ying -jeou, who was visiting mainland China, promoted cross -strait exchanges and dialogues. Shuangying's visit to each other stirred up with each other.
