Author: Wu Chonghan (Associate Professor of the Department of Foreign Affairs of the University of Political Science), Weng Luozhong (Assistant Professor of Political Department of Texas Sam Houston State University), Chen Guanwu (PhD student at the University of Political Department of South Card University)
With the new crown epidemic spread in the United States, Trump, who faced the pressure of re -election, fought against the Chinese cards to transfer the criticism of poor epidemic prevention.Even if this is the focus of Trump wants to transfer, it is difficult for Americans to have much goodwill even if they hate Trump.
The latest survey of the Pew polls in the United States shows that as high as 73 % of Americans do not like China, but for American society, is anti -China be equivalent to standing?Even though the Federal House of Representatives of the Asia -Pacific Group Republican Chief Member of the Federal House of the House of Representatives, You He, who proposed to prevent Taiwan from being invaded, many people still believe that the bill is not available.Battle in Taiwan?
Many people think that the United States has only started with Trump, or thinks that only Trump will resist resistance. Therefore, it is advocated that Taiwan should support Trump, but in fact, Washington's position on mainland China hasIt can be seen that the Indo -Pacific strategy of returning to the Asia -Pacific to Trump can be seen that the Huafu elite has already got rid of the friendly position that fully embraced China.
Compared with the checks and balance methods adopted by several presidents in the past, Trump ’s anti -emotional diplomatic diplomacy has made the allies that have always rely on the United States in the past to re -consider how to deal with Trump’ s United States.In fact, from the perspective of Washington's strategic prevention layout in China, officials of the US State Council led Chinese policy, even if they want to adopt a stronger position, will never include war priority.Frankly speaking, if the White House owner is not Trump, who does not follow the cards, even if the American people disgusted to China again, I am afraid that no one will guess Washington wants to have a military conflict with China.
The mainstream public opinion of the United States has come to oppose the US military's involvement in overseas disputes, let alone a small Asian country that has no direct benefits in the hearts of the American people.Taking the Chicago Chamber of Commerce in 2019 as an example, only about 35 % of the Americans supported the departure of troops to intervene in the Taiwan Strait dispute, and the proportion of dislikes to China was as high as 60 %.It can be seen that hate that China and support for troops to prevent Taiwan have no correlation.
In the past, there were also many debates in the academic circles, thinking that arms sales or warfare should be discussed separately.Even scholars and officials of Tingtai School believe that Washington must make clear policy differences between military sales and military defense defense.The United States does not need to deploy heavy soldiers in the Taiwan Strait. As long as it sells weapons to Taiwan, it can control Beijing's expansion and maintain regional stability.Once the Taiwan Strait has a war, it can also avoid the loss of US military damage with military sales.In short, the sales of the Taiwan military do not mean that the United States has the obligation to send troops to defend Taiwan.
The US President of Taiwan and the United States basically raised the Taiwan President through the sale of weapons.Even the American academic community has always had a lot of voices. Washington should avoid giving Taiwan too clear military security commitments. Otherwise, once the two sides of the strait wipe the guns, the United States will still be actively involved in military disputes.From the perspective of the United States, only selling defensive weapons to declare the determination of Taiwan's democracy, so that Taiwan and the United States have face.On the other hand, the United States sells guns without life and earns a lot of money.
Nowadays, because the epidemic has caused the American people to be disliked to China, some people are highly looking forward to Trump's big steps to take part in Taiwan.The problem is that the two polls show that the high rising public opinion and supporting the departure of troops are not integrated.In addition, Ruo Trump's former national security consultant Polton is true. Trump, a businessman, may be more expected to pay money than anyone else and solve cross -strait differences peacefully!
