The shocking instant video and photos that blew up in Kaicheng's South Korea and North Korea contact office are the consistent style of North Korea's big move to attract international attention.
June 19, 2020
Since the end of May this year, North Korea has gradually upgraded its pressure on South Korea on the grounds of dissatisfaction with the dissatisfaction with the North Korea border, including comprehensively cutting off the communication hotline with South Korea, strengthening anti -South Korea propaganda, bombing the South Korea and North Korea liaison officeAnd threatened the army re -deployed the army in the Non -Divine Military Region.Among them, the videos and photos of the shocking instantaneous moment that exploded in the Kaicheng's contact office were publicly available, which is the consistent style of North Korea's big move to attract international attention.This shows that North Korea has sacrificed North Korea ’s leaders Kim Jong -un and Wen Zaiyin’ s biggest diplomatic achievements in the past two years to evoke the attention of US President Trump, which is poor at the crown disease and economic crisis at this moment.
From North Korea conducted nuclear tests and intercontinental ballistic missile tests, the United States enhanced the international sanctions against the North Korea, and then seeking the US -DPRK reconciliation, showing that North Korea's desire to find a breakthrough under the international surge of Kim Jong Un.Now that North Korea has pushed the dangerous marginal policy, it shows that Kim Jong -un's patience about the reconciliation of the United States and North Korea has been exhausted.
North Korea conducted six nuclear tests, three of which were concentrated in 2016 and 2017.Western countries believe that North Korea already has nuclear weapons.Since Trump took office in early 2017, the US and North Korea's confrontation trend continued to upgrade. North Korea said that he launched a missile attack on Guam in the United States. The United States threatened to attack North Korea's nosebleed operation. The Korean Peninsula fell into a crisis of war.At the beginning of 2018, the dawn of the Korean Peninsula appeared. North Korea participated in the South Korean Winter Olympics, and the United States and North Korea held a summit in Singapore in June.In 2019, the United States and North Korea held two another summit, but no agreement could be reached.After the Banmen store meeting, North Korea gradually resumed foreign provocation. Last December, it threatened to give Christmas gifts to the United States.
Since the beginning of this year, the world has fallen into a vortex of crown disease.Although North Korea has repeatedly denied cases in the country in the country, North Korea relies on the black market transactions with China to relieve economic pressure, and there are reports that it is not surprising that the crown disease epidemic in North Korea has a crown disease in North Korea.On the other hand, Kim Jong -un showed fewer appearances this year, causing guesses of health problems; his sister Kim and Zheng's exposure increased greatly, and it obviously dominated the recent pressure on Han.The successor, or joining the ruling group, must deter the internal alien and establish a strong movement of the tough leaders.
North Korea faces international sanctions, crown diseases, the health status of Kim Jong -un, and successor issues. The economic conditions and systems are facing greater pressure.North Korea has always obtained resources from the Chinese black market transaction, but the epidemic has caused China to closely block the city for more than two months. China is too busy, and the resources that North Korea can get from the other side of the Yalu River has naturally dropped.The changes in various situations since the first half of this year have forced the North Korean rule group to be more urgent to find breakthroughs.
North Korea's pressure on South Korea was to fight cattle across the mountain, which intended to attract Trump's attention.After Trump was president, he adopted non -traditional policies to deal with geopolitics. Kim Jong -un was able to take a steel cable between China and the United States to try to get benefits from both sides.In 2018, the trade war broke out in China and the United States. To win Kim Jong -un, Trump became the first US president to negotiate with North Korean leaders.Trump took a toll tactic afterwards, and the negotiations in the United States and North Korea fell into a deadlock.Trump's election at the end of this year faces severe challenges. If it is defeated, it means that North Korea will face more uncertain the United States, and it is more difficult to obtain US -DPRK reconciliation and relieve international sanctions.As a result, the less bad the situation in Trump, the more anxious Kim Jong -un will reach a certain agreement with Trump.However, it is a dangerous manner to attract Trump's attention to what extent it is to provoke.Unless it tests that it is sufficient to reach intercontinental ballistic missiles in the United States or conduct nuclear tests, and directly tiger, Trump will not put too much energy on Kim Jong -un at this time.
Kim Jong -un has always been around the gap between the Sino -US game.But now, North Korea obviously does not have the initiative to the United States, and it may tend to China next, becoming a pawn in the game of China and the United States.In fact, China also faces more and more internal and external challenges, including slowing economic growth, the threat of the second wave of epidemic, and the upgrading of the Sino -US game.Become a bargaining chip for the game.However, once these gunpowder barrels are reduced to geopolitical chips, the risk of crossing red lines or wiping guns is very high, which is not conducive to regional peace.
