Source: China Times

Author: Cao Junhan

Hong Kong ignited the demonstration of demonstrations from the removal of the Chinese movement on June 9. It still could not see signs of extinguishing for 4 months.The entire society has been paralyzed after destruction, arson, and road blocking. The subway is stopped, the merchant snooze, the students' strikes, and the ball race are closed.The man in black went to the streets to protest the ban on the ban on the face and shouted the revolution of the times. The helpless Hong Kong residents seemed to live in a tragic world in the French Hugo Pen.

The Revolution of the Times is a fashionable and glorious democratic slogan. However, the era of demonstrators who want to pursue, can't answer themselves, and the life of the revolution is ignorant.The demonstration day is unlimited, and the actions are unlimited. This is really a fool's riots.However, we have to ask, how can the situation develop to this point today?What about the final result?

In 1997, Hong Kong returned to the embrace of China for 100 years from British colonial rule.However, this is just a legal return and the return of sovereignty, but it is not a return of culture and the return of the soul.There is no belonging of a trace of country in thinking, but it is unlimited in the two systems, looking for or blessing the residual value of colonial life, and continues to confront their motherland in psychology, culture and belonging, and even embark on the backbone of rebellion.Deng Xiaoping's great invention of one country and two systems did not get the deserved respect and cherishment, and Deng Xiaoping did not expect that they used the one country, two systems to pursue the Hong Kong people and the Chinese in a gap.

If the demonstration beacon is a time to create a Hong Kong people, this is a very strange slogan, because it does not exist, and it is impossible to ask for demands.Any doubt.Mainland President ... In the 70 -year speech of the founding of the Communist Party of China, he also said: united the Chinese children at home and abroad to continue to struggle for the unity of the country.We must continue to maintain long -term prosperity and stability in Hong Kong and Macau under the system of one country and two.The shouting of the demonstrators has actually been veto.

Under the current situation, there is no tendency to see the demonstration, and the Beijing Central Committee does not plan to use troops to solve the deadlock.According to foreign scholars, ... in a speech at the Central Party School on September 3: Economic development is a golden key to solve all issues in Hong Kong today. Politically, it will be a non -returning path.The current situation is quite credible.However, in the short 4 months, you can see that Hong Kong's investment is facing stagnation. The deposit has been seriously moved. The amount of only transfer to Singapore has reached 4 billion US dollars.

The Beijing authorities this policy has at least two ominous signs to the riots in Hong Kong: 1. Demonstrate actions continue to be infinitely outline, social order is paralyzed, and economic development has moved from prosperity to depression.Those who gradually increase their opposite situation and move from sticks to bullets, causing huge casualties. Hong Kong may enter the comprehensive chaos of society and even disintegrate.If the situation is stronger than people, under the loss of patience and restraint, Beijing will probably no longer be confident and have to go to this disapproval of the dispatch of the army.As for the internationally negative impact, it is also on.

Another alert phenomenon is that outsiders misjudge the development of the situation in Hong Kong.Under the deadlock in Sino -US trade negotiations, it was thought that the Hong Kong incident could send a chess piece for the US negotiations and used the bargaining chip to restrain the CCP.In fact, this is not enough to understand the decisions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China.During the 70 years of governance of the Communist Party of China, it was absolutely unwilling to have diverse thoughts, and they did not accept challenges to authority.That is to say, solving the Hong Kong issue still requires the construction of the Hong Kong people's own governance. Otherwise, the Beijing authorities are the only way to solve it.

(The author is a lecture professor at the University of Culture)