Yang Danxu: Promoting the Chinese economy depends on public opinion?

The year is approaching, and the annual Central Economic Work Conference In the past two days, it is held in Beijing to analyze the current economic situation and deploy economic work next year.

This year is the beginning of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and it is also the first year after China officially came out of the epidemic.Thinking back to the beginning of the year, although China has experienced the turbulent epidemic in the rising policies of the epidemic prevention, many people still feel relieved, hoping that the economy will get better after surviving the wave of epidemic.

However, a year later, the Chinese economy did not rebound strongly as expected.Especially in the second half of the year, various macro data are not satisfactory, the corporate confidence is insufficient, the market vitality has weakened, and consumers have also covered their wallets. The outside world is not optimistic about China's economic prospects.

, the senior management of China held a meeting of the Politburo of the Communist Party of China last week. One of the important issues is to analyze and study the economic work next year.The Central Economic Work Conference subsequently appeared this week to deploy next year's macroeconomic policy.

The Central Economic Work Conference has made an objective summary of the difficulties and challenges faced by the current Chinese economy, including insufficient effective demand, overcapacity in some industries, weak social expectations, and hidden risks.Points, the complexity, severe nature, and uncertainty of the external environment have increased.

The meeting also proposed that next year's economic policy "must adhere to the general tone of stability, progress, stabilize, and break first and break."

Although "starting first and then break" is not the first time that it appears in a high -level meeting, but this year, it emphasizes this, showing that high -level hopes to make structural adjustments more stable and orderly in the current economic environment, and striveAvoid the pain of rapid transformation.

Last week's Politburo Meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference in the past two days also mentioned a new requirement of direction, that is, "to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation."

From the report from Xinhua News Agency, this requirement can be decomposed to include two levels: on the one hand, it is necessary to strengthen the coordination of various policies, including economic and non -economic policies to ensure that the policy is in the same direction. This is the same.It is believed that it is necessary to prevent multiple politics, and different policies are "fighting" with each other; on the other hand, "strengthening economic propaganda and guidance of public opinion."

Xinhua News Agency's report shows that the Central Economic Work Conference also put forward specific deployment of public opinion with economic work, requiring "singing the theory of light of China's economic light."This believes that in recent years, official media reports have disclosed such a clear request for public opinion in the meeting of high -level seniors in discussing economic work.

Speaking of which, "singing China's economic light theory" and traditional economic tools such as fiscal policy and monetary policy are placed together. At the annual economic work conference, there are some sense of disobedience.This shows that the official has now regarded public opinion to the positive momentum of the Chinese economy, and it is one of the necessary means to revitalize the economy. What is revealed behind it is that Beijing clearly sees the problem of lack of market confidence and is deeply concerned.Currently expected to be low.

Chinese officials have always guided the Chinese media to report positively in China, but compared to politics and diplomacy, it was relatively loose before the discussion environment of economic issues.However, the official has increased the intervention of the unfavorable statement of the Chinese economy in the public opinion field.Following Hong Yan and Wu Xiaobo, well-known financial scholars who often commented on the Chinese stock market Recently, it has also been exposed in social media. .According to reports, the financial "big V" recently criticized the Chinese stock market.

Official concerns that the current public opinion is not conducive to stability.Since the second half of this year, the views of "Japanese economy Japaneseization" and "China's rise" and other views have been empty.These views reflect the pessimism of the outside world's economic prospects. In Beijing's view, the voice of "singing decline" will sing more and more, which will further aggravate the pessimistic mood, and finally lead to the reality. Therefore, it is necessary to grasp the dominance of public opinion."The theory of China's Economic Brightness" is naturally regarded as a means in economic policy.

Objectively speaking, the voice of "singing and declining" China's economy is not objective. In fact, China's huge market still has huge potential, and China's current economy is not without highlights.One of the reasons for the downturn at the moment is that many times the policy is behind the market expectations, forming a "public opinion" situation, and even the public opinion is forced, and the policy has not yet moved.It affects market emotions and leads to lack of confidence in Chinese and international investors in Chinese and international investors.

How do I boost confidence?It is not enough to sing "China's Economic Bright Theory" by official public opinion alone.Is it easy to find a job? Is there an increase in income? The business in the store is booming, There are not many orders in the factory. , every micro -market entity in China, as well as people who do business in China, have their own experience.The personal feelings of people and enterprises.

In fact, there are still many options in the official policy toolbox.The Central Economic Work Conference has proposed to expand domestic demand, deepen reforms in key areas, and open up high levels of opening to the outside world.It laid a solid foundation for confidence; and this is believed to boost the actual assistance brought by the economy than the development of the "light theory of China's economy".