Han Yonghong: What can a centen old Kissinger visit Hua can resolve?

Centennial elderly and legendary diplomats, Kisisinger, suddenly visited Beijing this week, which attracted a lot of attention in the international media and Chinese folks.

In just one month, four American dignitaries have set foot in China with their former government. Their qualifications are older than one old.Kissinger.Many Chinese people have a lot of emotions about Kissinger who still went to China to promote the improvement of Sino -US relations in the year.Some Chinese friends were amazed: "The elderly are all 100 years old, and they still have a plane to Beijing ..."

In the West, Kissinger was described as an American diplomat who "opened the door to China."However, compared with the visit to China more than half a century ago, the symbolic significance of Kissinger's trip was probably greater than the substantial significance; to promote misunderstandings in China and the United States, his difficulty also exceeded the year.

In that year, the United States was in a hurry to get out of the Vietnam War, and the relationship between China and the Soviet Union worsen. Both leaders hoped to make bilateral relations normally through shelving. Kissinger was the secret visit of President Nixon in this space -time background.magnificent.In contrast, he has left politics for many years today and has limited influence on the Bayeon government. He even needs to repeatedly use public places to scream. For example, in May this year, he just warned that if the "Second Cold War" really broke out.Even if global civilization is not destroyed, it may go back for decades.

Although the senior officials of China and the United States seem to be densely exposed on the surface, they are full of doubts and wishes that are full of each other.Various cases have proved that the United States lacks motivation to correct bilateral relations, and China has no confidence in the United States. After all, it has said one set when it has tasted the US visitor more than once, and the performance when returning home is another set.China and the United States have claimed not to seek decoupling and opposition, but the United States is still decoupled, and China is also preparing for being decoupled.

The United States has not relaxed the restrictions on China in economy and technology. The Bayeng administration has not yet revoked the tariffs on Chinese goods for Chinese goods.Process chip export restrictions.Chinese ambassador to the United States Xie Feng publicly warned this Wednesday (July 19) that China will definitely retaliate against it.

In this atmosphere, what role can a civilian Kissinger play in China?

The first attractive plot of his trip was that Kissinger saw Li Shangfu, a Chinese defense minister sanctioned by the United States after arriving in Beijing.As the United States is unwilling to terminate sanctions, the two countries' defense ministers and meetings have always been interrupted.

Earlier, Kissinger rarely met with the defense chief when visiting China. This time, I believe that he took the initiative to see Li Shangfu.Analysts guess that Kissinger will lobby Li Shangfu to restore the dialogue between the United States and China, while China releases a strong signal to the outside world through the high specifications of Kissinger: China still looks forward to letting Sino -US relations return to the right track.Do not forget the "old friend" that contributed to the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States that year, but Beijing will never give up on the issues of the core interests such as principles and Taiwan, and Li Shangfu will not meet with government members who impose sanctions on him.

After meeting with Li Shangfu and Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China and the director of the Central Foreign Office, Kissinger met with official China and China on Thursday (July 20).

Check the past records. Before the epidemic, Chinese officials met with Kissinger many times, including in Beijing in 2013, 2015, 2016, 2018, and 2019.The Hall of the Great Hall of the People.This is also the second day when Kisinger's secret visit to China in 1971, then the same place at the time of Chinese Prime Minister Zhou Enlai talks with Kissinger.Since 52 years ago, Chinese leaders have borrowed the meeting venue to convey to American dignitaries, and the consensus on Taiwan issues is the basis for the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States.Since then, Chinese leaders have met with high -level locations in the U.S. government, and they are often familiar with the Fujian Hall.

This time, the venue of Chinese officials and Kissinger was selected in Building 5 of the Diaoyutai State Hotel.This was the place where Kissinger secretly visited China at that time. When the Chinese official talks with Kissinger on Thursday, the background is Chinese paintings that are painted on the wall of Diaoyutai State Hotel.

Kissinger's arrangement for the Chinese side also led the gods. In the opening speech, he said: "Thanks to the Chinese official chairman for choosing to meet me at the No. 5 Diaoyutai State Guest House of China in my first visit to China."

This is the sense of history of China. I hope that the United States will also look at Sino -US relations with a long -term perspective of history, that is, China's official "strategic vision", or "diplomatic wisdom" and "political courage" referred to by Wang Yi, and Wang Yi.That is, not fear of resistance and not being tied by short -term political interests to promote improvement of Sino -US relations.

However, the United States may not be aware of today's perspective. The fundamental reason is that American political leadership and the United States will not obtain great or key interests from the improvement of Sino -US relations.Therefore, the United States does not want Sino -US relations to be too bad, but it does not need to be much good for Sino -US relations. The actions of the United States have become "building a guardrail to establish a guardrail."

China is also known to this, and Sino -US relations have become tools and chips for the struggle between the United States.Although Sino -US cooperation may achieve mutual benefit and win -win results, the United States cannot see how China's rise meets the core interests of the United States.Perhaps, one day with different challenges or pressures, Sino -US relations will usher in the opportunity to really improve, but it is not now.Therefore, Kissinger's visit to China, in addition to returning to China in the future, is only historical remembering and symbolic significance.