Early
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Notes on the stage
Xia Liyan, vice chairman of the Kuomintang of Taiwan, ended his visit to Taiwan on Friday (February 17), and successfully completed the three major goals of this trip — the people who are concerned about the people on the mainland, the grassroots public opinion, and the involved in the mainland involved in the mainlandPeople who communicate.The Democratic Progressive Party who rulled Xia Liyan and others "promoted the Communist Party to the Communist Party" and because they insisted that the mainland must follow the existing contact mechanism, which caused a number of mainland officials to not come to Taiwan to participate in the gift of Master Nebula.Exchange opportunities.
With the ease of the epidemic, mainland China actively contacted relevant people in Taiwan earlier this year, and took the initiative to call on Taiwan to recover from the current four of the airpoints to 16 major airlines, and announced that 63 Taiwanese companies including Golden Wine lost their food for food.Taiwan has also opened up small three -way links and resumed Hong Kong and Macao passengers to Taiwan to travel freely. Political parties and industrial and commercial groups went to Lu to visit Luo to visit, as if smelling the taste of spring on both sides of the strait.
But during the visit of Xia Liyan, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Mainland said that he would help Taiwan's agricultural products to sell to the mainland.The Democratic Progressive Party accuses the mainland of political operations with economic and trade, dividing the united front of Taiwan, "stuck first and then benefit", deliberately made the ball to the Kuomintang; the Kuomintang emphasized that the DPP can doIf the DPP believes that this is the "surrounding government" by the Communist Party of China, why not abolish the Kuomintang period and signed the Straits Cross -Strait Economic Cooperation Architecture Agreement (ECFA)?
The DPP once pointed out that ECFA was sugar -coated poison in the wild. After governing, it was clear that the ECFA's importance to Taiwan's economy was not interrupted.When the newly appointed deputy chairman of the mainland committee, Liang Wenjie, when he served as a member of the Taipei City, said that if the CCP's military aircraft disturb the platform, the Taipei and Shanghai Shuangcheng Forum should be suspended;"The statement of dual standards caused Facebook to be burst and closed urgently.
Cross -strait relations have always been affected by Sino -US relations.After the US President Biden met with Chinese officials in November last year, the relationship between the two sides was slightly warmed.On November 26 last year, the Democratic Progressive Party's "Nine -in -One" local election was defeated. Lai Qingde, the vice president of the party chairman, changed the "anti -China -China" to "Peace Baozai".From the New Year's Day conversation to the Spring Festival with Taiwanese businessmen in early February, Tsai Ing -wen expresses the sincerity of communicating with the mainland.
Unexpectedly, after the US -China balloon incident, the Bayeng government had a policy on China due to the influence of domestic political struggles.The DPP was also forced to return to the old road of "Anti -China Baozai", which caused a hint of warmth at the beginning of the year.
In the context of Tsai Ing -wen in the context of strong confrontation between the United States and China and Hong Kong's anti -repair cases in 2020, it set a record of 8.17 million direct votes for the "Anti -China Baozai".However, from 2020 to January 2023, the folk's evaluation of Cai Yingwen's proposition of cross -strait relations has dropped steeply.
The Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation in the middle of January shows that people who are satisfied with Cai Yingwen's handling cross -strait relations have fallen from 71.5%in February 2020 to 38.5%in January this year;49.5%.The polls of the Democratic Culture and Education Foundation also showed that 46.7%of the public supported the premise of "1992 Consensus" to restart cross -strait exchanges and dialogues, allowing cross -strait relations to return to normal, 35.8%opposed.The 21st Century Foundation held the Taiwan Strait Safety Forum on Friday to announce the results of the latest polls, showing that 52.6%of the people were dissatisfied with the Cross -Strait policy of the Cai Yingwen government.
Especially in early 2022, the Russian and Ukraine War, and the time to visit Taiwan, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, led the mainland to conduct military exercises in Taiwan.The Tsai government has extended military service, so that the people of Taiwan have seriously doubted that "anti -China" can "protect the Taiwan", and it is not willing to become the second Ukraine. More and more people expect cross -strait exchanges and communication.
Because the "1992 Consensus" has become the option of re -thinking in Taiwan, the Kuomintang has quietly picked up the "92 Consensus" that once declared the period of time to complete the phased function.
In August last year, Perosi visited Taiwan, which caused a stir.Xia Liyan was on the pressure of strong public opinion, and resolutely visited the land. Including the Kuomintang, there were objections for local elections. Former DPP Chairman Xu Xinliang did not agree with the DPP's attitude of hunting.
Shi Shi was easy. At this time, the Tsai government was in the state of retreating Valley. In order to obtain the support of the United States, it was necessary to cooperate with the US policy.However, the internal public opinion in Taiwan has changed significantly. The Tsai government must not only appease the people's hearts of peace on both sides of the strait, and to consolidate the basic masses of their independence. It is often a contradiction between the government and the DPP.
The mainland has taken the initiative to attack after the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and actively communicates with relevant people in Taiwan.The United States also hopes that the Taiwan Strait will dismiss the restrictions on civil exchanges as soon as possible and try to restart the official communication channels.If the Cai government does not want to acknowledge the "1992 Consensus", the official contact channels on both sides of the strait will be hopeless.
There are general elections in Taiwan and the United States in 2024. The newly established US -China Strategic Competition Special Committee of the United States House is intending to hold a hearing in Taiwan this spring.The rumors are very arrogant, and there will be a huge impact on cross -strait relations.If there is no way to establish a communication pipeline and control mechanism between the two sides of the strait, the consequences are really difficult to imagine.
