(New York Composite Electric) Although the Russian mutiny crisis quickly calmed down, the analysis believed that the mutiny showed that the status of President Putin was eroded. His current control of power is the weakest for more than 20 years.
The New York Times analyzed that the leader of the mercenary organization of the leader's mercenaries, the leader of the Wagner Group, has been questioning the management issues of the Ukrainian war for several months.The public objection was puzzled, and it was guessing whether he encouraged Perigo to do so for his political purposes.
But by Saturday (June 24), both the White House and the national security agency believe that Pleigon has caused major harm to Putin.After the launch of the soldiers in Parig, all reasons for Putin to launch the war, that is, this invasion is a legitimate response to Russia's threat to deal with Ukraine and NATO.
In addition, Putin compared the situation to 1917 after the mutiny. In 1917, the last Tsar government collapsed in a defeat war. This comparison deepened people's impression of Putin's loss of control of the country.Putin threatened to reach an agreement with him for a few hours, and strengthened a fact with him: he was no longer the only person in Russia who controlled control of force.
Polykova, chairman of the Washington European Policy Analysis Center, said: "It is very clear: Putin looks very weak." But she also said that the collapse of the Putin government will bring danger.Ukraine, at the same time, plans for all possible situations, including the collapse of Putin regime, and being replaced by a great rightist of the Ukrainian war and unjust. "
Analysis: Putin lowered Prigo Ren is like a previous underestimation of Zerren
Karachev, an independent political analyst at Russia, told AFP that this mutiny weakened Putin's position."Putin underestimated Pricigen, just like he underestimated (President Ukraine) Zelegiski. He could have called Porigen to stop it all, but he did not."
Cara Chev also pointed out that when the Wagner forces evacuated Rostov, civilians applauded them, and Russian leaders should worry about it.
The reconciliation of Moscow and Pleigo is the White Rose President Lukashenko, who is regarded as a secondary partner, and the Washington Think Tank Institute believes that Putin embarrassed."Lukashenko contributed to short -term solutions, not long -term solutions; Perigo's rebellion exposed serious weaknesses in the Kremlin and the Russian Ministry of Defense."
The consequences ofThe consequences of the mutiny brought opportunities and dangers to President Biden and US policy makers.Just as the long -awaited counterattack launched by the Ukraine, Russian civil strife could lead to failure of the Russian operations, but if Putin felt fragile, his unpredictable and nuclear weapons made Washington officials nervous.
Fakas, officials of the first five -horn building, said: "It is good for the United States that the Russians' attention will be scattered, which will weaken their military operations in Ukraine and make them unlikely to continue to ignite the wind in Syria and other places."
U.S. officials are particularly concerned about Russia's nuclear arsenal, but a senior government official said that the government did not find any changes in the deployment of Russian weapons and did not change the nuclear situation in the United States.
Midea is worried
Reuters pointed out that the situation that US officials are now worried about may be that if Pritigon's alternation has once again triggered the differences in Russia to launch the Ukrainian war.Decision -making ability of nuclear weapons.
Huffman, a senior official of the Central Intelligence Agency, said that the United States and its League Congress wanted to know how to use these new regimes to use these weapons."This is the ability to extort to the West what you want. They may not follow Putin's same rules." He pointed out that although Putin threatened the West to support Ukraine, he did not put it into action.