(Bloomberg, New York) Bloomberg commented that the global energy market has been severely tested under the influence of the global energy market in the past year under the influence of crown disease epidemic, climate change, Russia and Ukraine war, and energy output.Energy price.To make matters worse, as the northern hemisphere enters the hot summer, the power supply in short power will increase, and the power outage may be more frequent.
Asia is being attacked by heat waves, and the air temperature in parts of South Asia is enough to cooked the salmon of the raw.Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Myanmar have a few hours of power outage every day, and 300 million people suffer from power -off. In India, more than 700 million people in the country in the country must face two to 10 hours of power outage every day.
Scientists: At least 12 states are facing power outage threats this summer
The United States has just ushered in the hot summer early this month. Soon after, the power supply from six power stations in Chengzhou was available.Scientists predict that the United States will be very hot in the next few months. As the home and enterprises have lowered the temperature of the air -conditioning, the electricity consumption will definitely surge. At least 12 states in the United States will face the threat of power outage.
China and Japan's power supply is expected to eat tightly; South Africa's power -offs this year will be expected to be a new high; Europe is also at stake. If Russia cuts off natural gas supply to the region, some European countries may have a power outage.
Bloomberg New Energy Financial Analysisist Yamana Tatu said: "War and sanctions have disrupted supply and demand, plus extreme climate and economic recovery after the epidemic increased power demand.When are these all happens at the same time? "
Under the hot climate, if the poor, the elderly and the people of the equator are lost, the possibility of illness and death will increase.Long -term power outage also means that tens of thousands of people may not be able to get clean water, and merchants may not be able to do business, which has a huge impact on the economy.The current power shortage of multiple states in India was almost as serious as 2012. At that time, the large -scale power outage of India was estimated to lead to about 5%of the total domestic production value loss.
The rise in electricity bills will also oil inflation.After the large -scale downtime of the US Texas Power Grid, Houston's wholesale electricity price once exceeded $ 5,000 per hour, which was 22 times higher than the average cost of Peak and Lotus on the day.
Analysis: If a large power outage occurs this year or causes unprecedented humanitarian crisis
Eurasia Group analysts of Political Risk Consulting Corporation pointed out that the world is busy responding to the "global supply chain disorders that have lasted more than two years due to the epidemic, the negative impact of the Ukrainian war continued to spreadAnd the extreme weather brought by climate change. "" The main risk is that if there is a large power outage outside the above problems this year, it may cause some form of humanitarian crisis, especially in terms of food and energy shortage, and the scale will be dozens of dozens of dozensI have never seen before. "
