Economist: Treating a chain effect on the Russian and Ukraine War or the global econom

● Ukrainian war

Posenon, director of the Peterson Institute of International Economic Research, said that in the past 30 to 35 years, there are often predictions about the division of the human world and national state, andHe has always believed that these predictions were exaggerated.But "I think this time is true."

(Washington Comprehensive Television) Analysts believe that the Russian and Ukraine War and its chain effects may split global economy into several sectors.Russia will seek out of the global economy to protect the country's economy, and other countries may be forced to choose a border station.

Poson, the director of the Peterson Institute of International Economic Research, said in an interview with the Strait Times that in the past 30 to 35 years, there are often predictions about the division of the human world and the nation -state.EssenceBut "I think this time is true."

Shortly after Russia invaded Ukraine more than a month ago, the West began to confiscate the wealthy assets close to Russian President Putin.

The West also prohibits Russian aircraft from entering its airspace, limiting Moscow to obtain import technology, and even frozen Russian central banks' reserve assets, and excludes Russia to global finance, including all foreign banks and international currency funds,Outside the infrastructure.

The value of the ruble plummeted.Western public opinion and fear of sanctions have forced western companies to evacuate collectively.

Poson said: "Because the geopolitical turning point has strengthened some of the trends that are happening -from the US's own political issues and conflict between the United States and China -we are reaching the point where I don't think it will be reversed, and it isIt will accelerate.

In addition, Poson wrote in foreign affairs magazines this month: "Russia's current economic contraction shows that it is difficult for countries that have no economic interdependence to develop.Minimize the fragility you noticed.

"In addition, Russia tries to make itself economical independence, which is actually more likely to be sanctioned, because the West does not have to risk such risks to impose sanctions to sanctions to impose sanctions on sanctions.EssenceBut this will not prevent many governments from trying to return to different corners, hoping to protect themselves by withdrawing from the global economy."

But he concluded that the power of the US dollar should not weaken.

All countries may choose to choose a border station

Another other, Countries may have to choose a side station. In the interview, Person said: "The more we are in the military, or the farther the road of national security conflicts, the more people think that even if the United States is in many waysUgly, but China is getting ugly."

He said," I am not from the perspective of a relative political scoring, but from the perspective of investor.If you don't want to be sanctioned and faced with any delusion of the United States, I can understand it -but do you really want to face the facts of Chinese President Xi Jinping and arbitrarily arbitrarily?I do not think so."

The President of BlackRock, a global asset management company, bluntly said that the crown disease epidemic in the past two years has led to all countries, enterprises, and even people and people.The connection is in tension, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine has ended the globalization that countries around the world have experienced in the past 30 years.