The South Korean Cultural Daily pointed out that Christmas will be the first watershed in North Korea and the United States.If North Korea does not launch a missile, Kim Jong -un's speech on January 1, 2020 will be the second watershed of North Korea -US relations.
Jiang Guiying Seoul Correspondent
South Korean public opinion believes that North Korea may fire intercontinental ballistic missiles on Christmas, and Christmas will be the first watershed in North Korea -US relations, and relations between the two countries may fall into a deadlock again.
North Korea issued a pair of aesthetics last week, saying what Christmas gifts to want, depending on the actual action of the United States.After that, North Korea announced on the 8th that a very important test at the missile launcher in Dongcangli, Ping An North Road.
In this regard, US President Trump said on the 3rd that he hopes not to be (martial arts for North Korea), but if necessary, the United States will move martial arts.On the 8th, he issued a text warning that if Kim Jong -un was hostile to the United States, he would lose a lot of things, and he might actually lose everything.
The Chairman of the North Korea ’s Asia -Pacific Peace Council, Kim Youngzhe, strongly refuted yesterday that Trump knows that North Korea knows too little, and North Korea has nothing to lose.Trump's remarks are disappointing, showing that his heart is very anxious.
He also said that if the United States continues to act, Kim Jong -un's view of Trump will also change.At the end of the year, spending time considering the fierce contradictions, the solution of fierce contradictions is more wise than the letter of the letter and the mouth.
South Korea's foreign junction generally believes that as the North Korea has actually fallen into the game of the Chicken Game, North Korea is very likely to launch intercontinental ballistic missiles by the end of the year.If North Korea launch missiles, Trump will strengthen sanctions on North Korea and take limited military operations.
The South Korean Cultural Daily pointed out that North Korea has mentioned Christmas gifts last week, so North Korea may fire intercontinental ballistic missiles on Christmas, and Christmas will be the first watershed in North Korea and the United States.If North Korea does not launch a missile, Kim Jong -un's speech on January 1, 2020 will be the second watershed of North Korea -US relations.After that, North Korea will gradually enhance the threat through launching short -range ballistic missiles. However, if the United States strengthens sanctions on North Korea, North Korea may launch intercontinental ballistic missiles or conduct nuclear tests.
Another analysis believes that until the U.S. election in November 2020, North Korea may implement a dual -track strategy of dialogue and pressure on the United States.However, North Korea and the United States have the willingness to dialogue. The special representative of the United States' policy on North Korea will visit South Korea in the middle of the fundamental month.
Former South Korea ’s unified minister Zheng Shizhen believes that North Korea may launch an intercontinental ballistic missile with solid fuel in Christmas, and may propose to negotiate in Northeast Asia in the United States, Russia, and China.In other words, North Korea should negotiate with nuclear countries, instead of discard nuclear negotiations with the United States.
However, Park Renhui, a professor at Lihua Women's University, believes that North Korea does not seem to want to break the current pattern of Chaomi negotiations. In order to avoid crossing the red line of the United States, North Korea may not fire intercontinental ballistic missiles or conduct nuclear tests.In the future, the North Korea and the United States will continue. By next year, they may get a bad agreement (Bad Deal), and the two parties will still not be able to reach a consensus on North Korea's abandonment of nuclearization.
Li Xiyu, a professor of Chengjun Pavilion University, also believes that because North Korea has crossed the red line of the United States, he cannot return to the negotiating table. For North Korea, it has a lot of burden.In particular, if North Korea crosses the red line, China and Russia cannot mediate between North Korea and the United States, and China will not tolerate this.Therefore, it depends on China and Russian diplomatic support, and North Korea will not cross the red line for the time being.
