The suspense of the presidential campaign seems to continue until the last moment. The last round of polls of the New York Times and the Syuna College showed that Vice President He Jinli showed new advantages in North Carolina and Georgia. Former President TrumpShe wiped her lead in Pennsylvania and maintained an advantage in Arizona.

? This is the first time in polls in polls for decades. In polls, so many states in the sun and rust belt are so glued.As the campaign enters the last moment, the fierce competition means that there is still great uncertainty in the election.

polls show that He Jinli is currently leading in a weak advantage in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Trump is leading in Arizona.They are evenly matched in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania.But the results of all seven states are within the scope of sampling errors, which means that the two candidates have no clear lead in any state.

It is assumed that the polls do not seriously underestimate the support rate of one of them, and both candidates have a variety of ways to obtain 270 electoral votes required for victory.In such a commonly matched campaign, even a small systemic votes error may also make the campaign results decisively tilt to a side.

But there are signs that people who make decisions later are supporting He Jinli: among 8%of voters who have recently decided to vote, she wins 55%of the advantage of 44%.(As the election day approaches, 11%of voters have not made decisions or have not been persuaded, lower than 16%about a month ago.)

According to data from the University of Florida's election, more than 70 million Americans have voted.

New York Times and Siena conducted public opinion surveys in seven states showing that about 40%of the respondents said they had voted.According to polls, He Jinli won these voters with eight percentage advantages.Trump has an advantage among voters who claim to vote but have not yet voted.

Trump's support in Pennsylvania has been rising.Since He Jinli participated in the campaign, she has led four percentage points in all New York Times/Siena College polls in the state.At present, the two sides are evenly matched, indicating that the state's competition is becoming increasingly fierce, and the strategists of the two sides campaign camps believe that this may affect the election results.

In North Carolina, the proportion of early voting is particularly high, and more than half of the voters say they have voted.He Jinli won the state's early voters with an advantage of eight percentage points, which may be one of the reasons why she led three percentage points in the state's survey.Although Hurricane "Helen" recently caused damage, more than 90%of North Carolina voters said that storms and their consequences have no effect on their voting capabilities.

In the investigation of voters who claimed to be voting, the only thing to Trump was Arizona.There were 46%of voters that had voted, and Trump won this group with 50%to 46%.

polls also show that in the final stage of the campaign, the problem of priority considerations of voters has changed.Economy is still the most concerned issue for voters, but in Wisconsin and other states, where He Jinli has always occupied the advantage, abortion is now almost the most concerned about the economy as the economy.In Trump's leading Arizona, immigrants have continued to become a key issue that affects voters' choices.

The survey showed that Trump continued to grasp the core group that supported him in the past two presidential campaign -white voters and men who had not been in college, and expanded his young, non -white and new votersSupport rate.His votes in Arizona and Michigan exceeded 2020 performance, and he lost these two states four years ago.

Compared with President Biden's performance in the 2020 election, He Jinli performed poorly among young voters, black voters (especially black women) and Latin American voters.But since Biden withdrew from the election in July, her support in these groups has increased compared to Biden's performance at the time.

In all seven states, the gender gap is still very large. He Jinli is favored by women, and Trump is favored by men.For women and young voters, abortion has now surpassed the economy and has become the most important issue for promoting voting.

Senate dispute

With the development of the presidential campaign, the competition for the control of the Senate has also become increasingly fierce.In the three northern "blue walls" states, the Democratic Party's advantages were significantly weakened in the last few days of the campaign.

In Pennsylvania, Democratic Senator Bob Casey led five percentage points, below nine percentage points below September.In Wisconsin, Democratic Senator Tami Baldwin led four percentage points, below eight percentage points below September.

In the competition of the short -term seats in Michigan, the Democratic Representative Eliz Sloggin and her Republican opponent and former member Mike Rogers did not distinguish.

Democratic candidates occupy greater advantages in the campaign of the sun, Arizona MP Ren Greego led Carly Reke with five percentage advantages, Nevada Senator Jay RosenLeading the Republican challenger Sam Brown with nine percentage points.

The performance of all Democratic Senator candidates exceed He Jinli, which shows that some of the most critical voters may be voted to Trump and the State Democratic Senator candidate.

Republican Georgia Mikora von Fastenrecht, a Republican from Phoenix, said that she had not only voted Trump and Greng, because she did not like Republican candidate Reke.

"This woman's brain is abnormal. Ruben Gareig was a member of the United States Navy's Marine War, serving our country.Stenrech said."He may not do everything right, but compared to her, I would rather entrust him to him. She didn't care at all."

Democratic Party currently has a majority of 51 seats in the Senate, but after the retirement of Senator Joe Manchin III, the Republican Party will get a seat in West Virginia.Manchin III was an independent person, but participated in the Democratic Party's party.

If the Democratic Party wants to keep the control of the Senate, it must keep its seats in all five campaigns, and at the same time, the Republican challenger will be repelled in Ohio and Montana.According to the average polls of the two states in the New York Times, the current Democratic Senator Jon Tetter lags behind in Montana.Recent polls show that Democrats may have the opportunity to defeat the Republican Senator at the Choszas, Ted Cruz, although their candidates and members of Corin Ourrad are still behind their campaigns.

In North Carolina, the Democratic Governor Candidate Josh Stan led opponents and published many of the Republican Deputy Governor Mark Robinson of Republican Governor of the offending remarks.

Topics of abortion in elections

In Arizona and Nevada, most men and women support the amendments to the abortion rights into the state constitution.

This measure has obvious more support in Nevada, and 64%of voters have expressed support for the amendment to the state of the state.In Arizona, 55%of voters support similar amendments.

Since the Supreme Court has overthrown the Luo Verid Wade case, the decision of the constitutional rules of abortion has been established, and all seven states in the election have reflected the abortion problem in the election. Voters support the abortion right.

Although the more conservative states such as Kansas and Kentucky, voters support abortion rights, but in these states, the support rate of these measures has never exceeded 60%.

The 46 -year -old Nevada Henderson real estate agent Linda Gujia said she supported the state's abortion right amendment.But she also voted to Trump, and she thought Trump was stronger in economic issues.

"For the current concern, this is not the main point of my family. I have a son, do you know?" She said in mentioning the abortion right."So this is not important, But I understand and understand the rights of other women, and I really respect this right."