The first joint military exercise between Indonesia and Russia will debut for a week.Analysis states that the new Indonesian President Plabovo intends to show Indonesia's non -ally, and the exercise is expected to not affect the security trend of the region.
The exercise will be held on Monday to Friday (November 4th to 8th) at the Java Sea near the Surabaya Naval Base in East Java.Since the two sides announced the joint performance last month, all walks of life interpreted the initiative of Indonesia and Russia.Although Ya'an had a multilateral joint military exercise with Russia in 2021, the Russian and Indian Navy had also conducted simple drills such as communication and peers in the past, but a certain scale of bilateral exercises suffered the first one.
Indonesia has always maintained an independent and positive diplomatic policy, and refused to choose the side stations in the Russian -Ukraine conflict and the Sino -US game.However, in the face of Western countries' pressure on Jakarta's officials, Plabowavo went against it and advocated a closer relationship with Moscow.
Plabovo visited Russia in early July this year to meet with Russian President Putin in the Kremlin.Plabovo expressed his intention to deepen his relationship with Russia at the time, and said that Russia was a "good friend."
Rahman Yaacob, a researcher at the Southeast Asian project of the Institute of Foreign Policy of Australia Foreign Policy.Performance shows that Plabowava intends to show Indonesian unsololy foreign policy.
Cooperation with historical factors still influence in Southeast Asia's defense
Historical factors behind Russia and India cooperation."Jakarta officials have maintained close defense relationships with Moscow since the Cold War. Even after the invasion of Ukraine in Russia, there is still a military officer in Moscow.The United States is prohibited from entering his memories of this part of history.
According to Agence France -Presse, although Indonesia stopped importing military reserve from Russia after the Sanctions against Russia, the total trade value of the two countries reached billions of dollars.Indonesia reached a total value of US $ 1.1 billion (about S $ 1.46 billion) in 2018, and the agreement to buy fighters from Russia has not ended.
Indonesia's weapons and equipment include amphibious tanks, helicopters, missiles and fighters from Russia.Interviewed analysts told AFP that the two sides conducted joint performances to allow Indonesia to "build the ability to obtain ability" and "exchanged ideas" with Russia for maintenance of existing Russian arms.
Although there are reports that the Russian and Indo -India players are expected to attract US attention, and the United States has always tried to be isolated from Russia in diplomacy, Yohanes Sulaiman, associate professor of General Ahamidiani University, pointed out in the United Morning Post.Russia and India's coordinates do not have a substantial impact on regional security.
"If (Garuda Shield in the United States and Indonesia), this exercise is not a big deal. Indonesia just releases a signal of friendship to everyone, and I don't think Plabovo will be true.Want to destroy the relationship between Indonesia and the United States ""
Raman also pointed out that Russia still has influence in Southeast Asia's defense.Russia has close defense relationships with Laos and Vietnam, maintaining defense contact with Brunei, and is also one of the main sources of supply of military and reserve supply of the Myanmar military government.Malaysia and Indonesia also intend to join the BRICS countries led by China and Russia.
"This shows that Moscow is not as desperate as Western expected. Indonesia and Russia's military exercises will not have much impact on the regional situation."