Russian President Putin met with Mongolian leaders on Tuesday. This was the first time since the International Criminal Court arrested in March 2023, and he launched a state visit to member states of the International Criminal Court for the first time.

Before the visit of Putin, the International Criminal Court stated that the Mongolian state was obliged to arrest Putin, but because the country was seriously dependent on Russia in terms of fuel, it was believed that Mongolia was very likely to arrest Putin.

Putin was not arrested, but instead received a red carpet in the Central Plaza of Mongolia's capital Ulanbato.

Before he visited, the Kremlin palace was unaware of the possibility of arrest.

"There is no worry, we have a good conversation with friends in Mongolia," the Kremlin spokesman Dimitri Peskov told reporters on Friday and pointed out that "all aspects of access have been done well.Full preparation. "

Putin was welcomed by the guard of honor of Mongolia at the airport, and spent the night in the capital Ulanba, which shows that he is not nervous at all in the country.

Tuesday's interview ignored the arrest warrant of the International Criminal Court, and it was invited by Mongolian President Uhrahhuma Such, which shows that although this southern neighbor is trying to find a hedge, Russia still faces it to itHave strategic influence.

Alexander Gabayev, director of Berlin Carnegie Russia's Eurasian Center, said that through this visit, "Putin will definitely achieve a symbolic victory." He said that for Mongolia, this visit shows that this visit shows thatThe need for maintaining relations with Moscow exceeded the country's commitment to the country's promise made in 2002 when signing the Roman Period and joining the International Criminal Court.

He also said that "Putin was rejected and rejected by the international community, as long as the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for the country that approved the Roman Statistics, he would be arrested.""".

The International Court of Headquartered in the Netherlands in the Netherlands issued a arrest warrant against Putin last year, accusing him of committing the crime of war, kidnapping and expelction of Ukrainian children.The court also arrested the Russian Children's Rights Commissioner Maria Lavova-Belova.

The International Court of Criminal Court does not have the ability to execute.The countries that signed the rules should arrest those who arrested the arrest warrant.Russia is not the signing country of the court and has always ignored its authority.

Mongolia is an inland democratic country that is sandwiched between Russia and China. It maintains a balance between two powerful neighbor countries and adopts a cautious political position.This also includes a neutral position on the Ukrainian war.

Although Mongolia tried to sought some geopolitical pressure from the West, it received politicians such as French President Macron, U.S. Secretary of State Brillin, and British Foreign Minister Cameron, but the country still relied on a much -scale neighborhood.country.

The boundary between Mongolia and Russia is 3,400 kilometers, and 95%of fuel depends on this large natural gas production country.It tries to maintain a stable relationship with Moscow to help balance the relationship with Beijing. Beijing also has a considerable influence on Ulan Bato by purchasing almost all commodities of Mongolian commodities.

Independent geopolitical analysis persons and Monherian Lamanland Bialhagwa, who had worked at the National Security Council of Mongolia, said, "the political system of Mongolia" is "the easier to manage Putin, which is easier to manage.Good and predictable relationship with Moscow. "

"Ulan Bato chose to maintain an foreseeable relationship with Moscow, and then stop the loss," Bayerhagwa said. "After all, the geographical location cannot be changed."

Bialhagwa pointed out that because members of the International Criminal Court ignored the precedent of the Roman Period in the past, Mongolia is likely to think that Putin's visit will not cause too much rebound.In 2015, South Africa's then President Omar Bashil refused to arrest him during his visit to Johannesburg, although he was considered by the International Criminal Court of Criminal Court of Criminal Courts although he was suspected of committing racial extinction and war in Darfur.Last year, Johannesburg requested the obligation to exempt Putin from the International Criminal Court, so that he could participate in the BRICS Summit, but the request was not approved, and Putin chose the absence of the summit.

The Mongolian People's Party, which is ruling, has a close connection between Russia. This relationship can be traced back to a century ago. At that time, the People's Party helped to establish a socialist republic with the support of the Soviet Red Army.Even after the Mongolian democratic revolution in 1990, the relationship between the Mongolian People's Party and Russia is still an important source of its political legitimacy.

Bialhagwa said that the public purpose of Putin's trip was to commemorate the 85th anniversary of the Soviet and the Mongolian army defeating the Japanese army in the Battle of the Halaha River, providing the Mongolian People's Party with "ideological driving force" for the Mongolian People's Party.Essence

In a written interview with Mongolia's largest daily newspaper today, Putin tried to emphasize the role of his country as a Mongolian protector. He pointed out that "for Mongolia's freedom and independence, more than 10,000 Red Army soldiers and commanders areLife in this battle "

It is expected that the two parties will not issue a statement on the "Siberian Power 2" natural gas pipeline in the proposed.The pipeline will help Russia to transport natural gas originally supplied to Europe through Mongolia to China.In August of this year, the Mongolian Parliament voted decided not to incorporate this pipeline into the budget of the next four years. Observed sources said that this shows that Mongolia's expectations are unlikely to build this pipeline.

A Western diplomat who required anonymous because of the sensitivity of the issue said that the Mongolian government summoned the cause of Western diplomacy and explained the reasons for Putin's visit to Mongolia.This includes the need to ensure more fuel and power supply from Russia, so as to prevent the shortage of shortages as last winter.

The diplomat said that the West requested Mongolia not to provide Putin with a platform for publicity in Ukrainian war.