Aiwa Demin —— Workers' voters handed the Republican Party to Trump.And ensuring that he continues to own this party may be those conservatives who have received college education.
Among this increasingly blue -collar party, voters with university qualifications are often ignored. However, in a continuous Republican Cold War around abortion, foreign policies and cultural issues, these people are still the core.
These voters have long been skeptical of Trump for a long time, and they quietly promoted his amazing political recovery in this party -this turning point has occurred in the past year. At the same time, Trump was criminalThe case was accused of 91 felony.
Although the Republican Primary Election Public Opinion Survey before the Aiwa Party Meeting Meeting on Monday, just one year ago, Trump still lagged behind Florida Governor Ron De Setti in some investigations a year ago.Sri Lanka -this gap is mainly due to the weakness of the former president's voters who have received college education.De Santis's consultant believes that the education level in the Republican Party is a potential starting point for his nominated nomination.
Then, Trump's rolled soil came back, and he united every corner of the Republican Party, including the white artificial salary class.However, reviewing the public opinion surveys of various states and national opinions in the past 14 months, we can find that among Republicans' various strata, the reversal of conservatives of college education is the largest.
This phenomenon contrary to the vigilance of Republicans who have been educated by college for many years, and they have eager to controversy with Trump's lie in the 2020 election and him seemingly eager to controversy.
Interviews with more than 20 Republican voters who have been educated by college show that their support for former presidents seems to be mainly due to response to the current political climate, rather than suddenly requesting to join the "Retreatment to the Great Relief of the United States".The ranks.
In the interview, many Republicans who have been educated in college expressed anger against Trump's criminal cases and claimed that they were unfair.Doug Mills/The New York Times
Many people doubt what they call excessive and unfair legal investigations they call the former president.Some people also said that they felt that De Santis couldn't afford to play, and believed that Trump was more likely to win than former governor Nikki Nicheli, a former governor of South Carolina.Some people think that Trump is a more acceptable choice because they want to give priority to domestic issues, not diplomatic relations, and dissatisfaction with high interest rates.
"Now I tend to Trump"
Trump is the most likely to be nominated by Republican presidential candidates, which will make him the first Republican to be nominated for three consecutive times.But a year ago, few people felt that this was inevitable.
In the mid -term elections in 2022, he failed to help supporters realize the red wave he promised.In the next few weeks, he proposed to terminate the constitutional system, and because of the infamous white suprematicist, Nick Furns who denied the Holocaust, and the rapper who was widely condemned for his anti -Jewish remarksKanye West has been criticized with dinner.
Republican voters immediately strongly opposed this.
At that time, a polls conducted by the University of Safecc and the United States today showed that 61%of Republican voters said they still support Trump's policy, but hoped that "Republican nominated another presidential candidate."76%of the Republicans who have been educated by college agreed, this proportion is surprising.
This month, data from the same poll agency show that Trump has received 62%of Republican voters, of which 60%have a college degree.
Other surveys also reveal similar trends.
According to the public opinion survey of Fox News, Trump's support among the white Republicans who have been educated in college rolled up last year, reaching 60%.
After the Republican primary election, whether Trump can maintain the unanimous support of the education of the party's education may be essential for his political future.
According to an investigation by the Associated Press Votecast, more than 110,000 voters, in the 2020 presidential election, he lost 9%of the support of Republicans, and these people voted to other candidates.Some campaign consultants said that these rebellion caused him to lose his second term, especially considering that Biden had lost only 4%of Democrat votes.
According to the analysis of data from the New York Times, 56%of the college educators have not been voted for Republican voters who have not voted for Trump.
65 -year -old Luzan Chenney is a retired nurse in Euka Ecuador. She said that after considering whether there is a "younger and more dynamic person" in the Republican PartyShe decided to support Trump.
Retired real estate agent from Lexwood, California, and 94 -year -old Jonoda Gotoris expressed a similar point of view.Her state will vote on March 5th.
"I know there are many problems in Trump," she said."But many of them are fictional."
Guglez learned education in college. She said that she had voted twice to Trump, but she has always tended to De Santis because she likes him to be the governor of Florida andThe Republican Party needs a younger leader.
"But now I tends to Trump because the Democratic parties are trying to do everything in prison," she said.
"It's like a rebellious boy"
Republican Party's change in Trump's support can almost be traced back to the moment last year -March 30, 2023, due to the role of the sealing fee to porn star, a major jury in Manhattan decided to decideProsecution for him made him the first former president to face criminal charges in the United States.
At that time, in most polls, Trump's preliminary support rate was less than half. For a few months, he has been in such a disadvantage.
But after four days of prosecution in Manhattan, Trump's support rates exceeded 50%, and according to the national average polls maintained by FiveThirtyeight, his support rate has been on the rise since then.As of Saturday, Trump received about 60%of the party's support.
54 -year -old Lisa Kisley has two flooring companies near Dallas. She said she still wants to support Desantis. She thinks Desanis is more educated and not so romantic.But she also said that in her "Super Tuesday" primaries in her state, she is more and more likely to support Trump.
She pointed out that last month of the Supreme Court of Colorado made a ruling to prevent the former president from participating in the preliminary voting (the US Supreme Court is currently considering this ruling), it may be this moment that she decided to support her support.Trump.
"It's a bit like a rebellious teenager, some of my thoughts, maybe I should support Trump because everyone tells me notDo this, "Kisley said." I still think: Why are they so scared?"
"Because they can't control him," she said.
Worry to "waste votes"?
Some Republicans who have studied university said that because of worry about foreign conflicts, they went back to Trump and returned to Trump.
Different Heili, as Trump's most powerful challengers at present, they oppose providing more assistance to Ukraine to resist Russia's aggression.They like Trump's tough remarks on Chinese issues.
"I like Niki Heili, if I think she can defeat him, I might vote for her," said the 72 -year -old Missouri Republican Linda Fallal said that the state will be on March 2ndHold the presidential party group meeting."But the most important thing is national security."
Falla said that she hopes to nominate a presidential candidate who can project a strong image to the world, which is an expression of position.
"I'm just afraid of China and those things in the border, who are coming in," she said."This really scared me. China is really taking over everything -they are penetrating from the inside."
Others mentioned concerns about the economy, and longing for the market to be as powerful as Trump's three years before taking office.
Many people are like 46 -year -old George Asia -Roman information technology professionals, Qipu Xiao, and feel that De Santis's campaign is very unsatisfactory. They think that it is a "waste of votes" to any candidates other than Trump.Essence
"According to the current trend of polls, I feel like this. My ticket is equal to drifting water," Xiao said."This country is smooth under his hands. I think the economy is much better -at that time, it would be six dollars that I would not buy a box of eggs."
Ruth Igielnik and Alyce have contributed to this article.
Michael C. Bender is a political reporter in Times, reporting Trump, the "Let the United States restore the Great Glory" campaign, and other federal and state election news.
