The Taiwan election campaign began for 100 days from Thursday (October 5). The favorable situation of wild integration is being lost.
Taiwan will hold the presidential and legislators elections on January 13, 2024. Many polls show that more than half of the people hope that political parties will rotate.With the recent fascination of people who lack of eggs and imported eggs, the poor administration has shaken the favorability and support of the DPP government.
Taiwan has been in the eight -year governance of blue and green since 2000, reflecting that the people tend to support supervision and checks and balances, and avoid long -term governance monopoly resources.However, the current power of the wild is divided into three, and the DPP (green) candidates and current vice president Lai Qingde led in various polls in various polls.
The Kuomintang (Blue) candidate, the mayor of New Taipei Hou Youyi and the people's party (White) candidate, and stepped down as Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe's polls are difficult to divide up and down.It is left and right.Guo Taiming, which was announced independently on August 28 and launched a citizen co -deployed on September 20, was hovering up and down.
Seeing that the presidential election campaign entered the four -corner battle from the triangle war, the voices of "blue and white harmony" rose, and the Blue Camp first proposed to Baiying to give the legislators seats and organize the joint cabinet to promote the "Hou Ke match"; But Ke Wenzhe is obviously reluctant to be able to stand up to the deputy, which caused the emerging parties to be established for four years to be swallowed up by the century -old shop in the decline. They are even more worried that the people's party has no other presidential candidate to lift and rely on the party's supporting tickets.Rush high.
Faced with the questioning of blue and white in the face of every day, Ke Wenzhe temporarily decided to visit the United States twice on October 1 to conduct a five -day flash itinerary for the West Science and Technology Industry.It is hoped that the polls will be raised again to improve the chips of the blue and white negotiations.
According to the regulations, the presidential and vice presidential candidates must register between November 20th and 24th, which means that Blue and Bai must decide whether to cooperate before November 24th and start a one -on -one battle with the Green Camp.
Ke Wenzhe's recent speech on Lan Baihe was soft and hard. First, he rumored that in the internal meeting. If he criticized the Kuomintang, he would "go to death if he was no better than polls and insisted on letting Hou Youyi choose.When he was jointly interviewed by a reporter, there was no rumor.After that, he appealed in the deep Blue Army.
Before visiting the United States, Ke Wenzhe threw out a plan for each other's polls and losers to retreat, countering the Kuomintang insisting on Hou Ke with Hou Youyi.When interviewed in the United States, he also said that if his polls are high, the Kuomintang can choose vice presidential candidates, but people with the strongest polls should be positive.
Attorney Ning Zexun, a professor and director of the Department of Advertising at the University of Culture, wrote an analysis. Ke Wenzhe was selling at the price. The Kuomintang could go straight to a straightball and proposed to show his sincerity to bargain with him.Selected, and the comprehensive strength of polls and the comprehensive strength of political parties accounted for half of the countermeasures.
The Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun often responded on Wednesday (October 4) that blue and white are necessary and the people's orientation.The DPP, which is not righteous, caused the fierce battle between the Taiwan Strait and the eight -year disadvantages of the Taiwan Strait.He also emphasized that the connection with Chairman Ke Wenzhe has never stopped. In the future, he hopes that the blue and white candidates will soon meet and communicate the concept.
Zhang Deng, deputy dean of the Humanities and Social College and professor of the Department of Humanities and Society of Taiwan University, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the union in the wild has long been favorable for the people's party for a long time, but the green and white co -governance is short and long.Once the Green Camp has been in power for a long time, the Blue Camp is declining, and Baiying will also be difficult to escape the green camp attack; in the future, the United States may not fully trust the emerging Baiying and Beijing will not tolerate the green camp of the "two countries".Relying on the Green Camp, which has been governed for 12 consecutive years, it has been relying on the anti -Zhongbaotai.
Zhang Deng said that the key to blue and white is the main battle faction in Blue Camp and Baiying. He believes that as long as the legislator seats have increased and the second child is the second, he can be invincible.He said that when blue, green and white started the two sides at the same time, the blue and white fighting each other had to be green again, and the result was of course to win the green.
He said that the Green Camp due to poor governance, which leads to half of the support, but split and mutual consumption in the wild forces will send the green camp to the garbage time of victory. In the future, there will be unable to supervise and check the ruling party.policy.
Scholars interview
Jiang Yanqin, a professor at the Department of Journalism of Shixin University, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the favorable situation of wild integration is being lost, and voters under the dragging shed will only feel burnout and political alienation, and lack the voting motivation.
He emphasized that everything was "difficult/male", the three key men's Hou Youyi, Ke Wenzhe and Zhu Lilun must meet and talk as soon as possible."The problem must be solved, and there must be the first knife. As long as you can sit down and start talking about cooperation, you can stabilize the hearts of supporters. It is easier to find it from scratch.Meeting will make everyone feel that it is just a false story. "
Jiang Yanqin believes that the negotiations of Lan Baihe should be carried out within a week after Ke Wenzhe's visit to the United States. If it is dragged over mid -to -late October, I am afraid that the election campaign is over.
He bluntly stated that Lan and Baihe is a difficult political engineering, and even described as a political heart electric shock defibrillation. Whether you can save the election depends on this negotiation.Ready to "wait for death".He said that the biggest significance of Lan Baihe is to allow the opposition to survive and maintain the democratic vitality of Taiwan after the election. The other party cannot thrive, but the other party is declining.