The mainland Chinese military in September strengthened the preparations against Taiwan and broke through the "imaginary enemy" encirclement; the latest national defense report in Taiwan also revealed that the PLA is expanding the naval airports and deploying the aircraft carrier battle group to break through the United States and allies.Blocking.Faced with pressure on the mainland, the Taiwan army was ready to enter the urban war and strengthened the asymmetric combat power of precise ammunition.
According to the report of the Ministry of National Defense of Taiwan, from 6 am to 6 am this month, 68 military aircraft of the PLA entered the Taiwan Strait; within 24 hours from 6 am on the 17th, 103 sub -military aircraft entered the Taiwan Strait.Two times each had 40 military aircraft across the Taiwan Strait.
The Taiwan National Defense Minister Qiu Guozheng described that "the enemy is quite abnormal recently."In addition to the abnormal number of military aircraft and warships, drones, rockets, and remote rocket launchers have also increased their drills. The PLA East and Southern theater also dispatched naval groups to exercise in the eastern part of Taiwan. The aircraft carrier Shandong ship played the "imaginary enemy" for the southern theater. The eastern theater zoneThe navy and air force exercise the defense zone.
Comprehensive Taiwan side and experts research and judge, the PLA launched a low -key exercise, and did not add more publicity. The main purpose was believed to strengthen the preparation of war and break through foreign aid during the traditional September training.On the 27th of this month, the Mainland National Taiwan Affairs Office said in an inquiry that the PLA trained around the Taiwan Strait in order to "crack down on the arrogance and conspiracy of the split forces of Taiwan independence."
The national defense report released by Taiwan on September 12 also emphasized the general trend of the PLA's preparation and breakout exercises against Taiwan.This two -year, also the latest national defense report since the Russia -Ukraine War and the Taiwan Strait crisis last August last year, fully explained military threats, regional situations, and response strategies with 188 pages.Analysts are more described that it "honestly and cruel" depicts the war situation that may be faced by the two sides of the strait.
According to the assessment of the Taiwan Army, the PLA's combat target against Taiwan is to make the Taiwan fighter aircraft unable to fly and the warship cannot be out of the sea.The report states that the PLA must seal control of important ports, airports, military facilities and channels of Taiwan, to achieve the goal of "machine -making, ship making in Hong Kong", and cut off Taiwan's foreign and air traffic routes.
Facing the extreme pressure on the mainland, the national defense report stated that it will be pragmatic to prepare urban warfare and improve asymmetric combat power, including buying more "mobile, small, human portable and wisdom (AI)" weapons and equipment, no oneThe machine and its defense system, and make good use of defensive axis, such defensive axis, such defensive terrain, architecture and important target protection to "form a heavy layer of deep counterattack ability to increase defense density and force enemy and criminals to fail."
TheReport also mentioned that the PLA has continuously strengthened the combat and combat training of Taiwan through targeted strategic layout and planned practical training, and highlights the two major threats to Taiwan's development to Taiwan:
First, the PLA expands the military airports closest to Taipei in three coasts. It is a normal deployment of drones and new military aircraft to enhance the air power to suppress the coast of Taiwan, and strive to master the Taiwan Strait air excellence during the war.The three airports are located in Longtian, Hui'an and Zhangzhou in Fujian, respectively, respectively, 135 nautical miles (about 250 kilometers), 173 nautical miles (about 320 kilometers) and 248 nautical miles (about 459 kilometers) from Taipei.
The second is that the third aircraft carrier in the mainland, Fujian ship, is expected to serve in 2025. It is prepared to break through the US and allies and get out of the western Pacific waters.The current two aircraft carriers Liaoning and Shandong ships are continuously improving the ability of navy and air forces cross -islands.
TheReport revealed that once the Fujian ship completed the sea trial dialing service in the next year, the three aircraft carrier battle groups of the PLA will be more complete in fighting against foreign forces to "reflect and regional refusal".Comprehensive scholars analyzed that after the three aircraft carriers were in place, in addition to the large -scale assembly of combat power, the PLA could also divide the soldiers in northern, eastern and southern in Taiwan to cut off ammunition and supplies.Essence
Professor Ding Shufan Ding Fan, the director of the Taiwan High Policy Research Association, pointed out in an interview with the United Morning Post that in the face of the PLA step by step, if the Taiwanese side wants to strengthen the scare power of local operations,None of it must be abolished.He said that the mainland coastal airport is close to Taiwan, "theoretically Taiwan's missiles can be played."
Ding Shufan also pointed out that in order to help improve the Taiwan army's land war, the U.S. Army is sending special instructors to Taiwan to train, and also arranged for the Taiwan Army to regularly go to Guam Base to train and coordinate each other's command control communication system.
The new version of the national defense report challenges Taiwan to "continue to use military exchanges, strengthen combat commonality and combine regional joint defense mechanisms", and declare that it will strengthen cooperation with the United States and allies to cope with the PLA threats.
However, in response to the regional joint defense mechanism, military scholars' Jie Zhong wrote that Taiwan must operate cautiously. After all, there is no common defense treaty after Taiwan -US in 1979, and there is no longer a joint combat architecture, planning and command system.If Beijing determines that Taimei crosses the red line, I am afraid that it will not be able to observe the accelerated attack.
When talking about the threat brought by the expansion of the airport on the mainland, Ding Shufan analyzes that the PLA is preparing to deploy a large number of drones at the coastal military airport, including the TB-001 reconnaissance/attack drone with a battery life of up to 35 hours."Group oppression" will pose a real threat to Taiwan, because "the cost of drone is low, difficult to defend, and it is more difficult to cope with artificial intelligence."
Regarding the role of the Fujian ship, Ding Shufan believes that it is a new flat aircraft carrier, with a larger volume of bullets and combatants, which will strengthen the breakout power of the mainland aircraft carrier group.Neutral land -to -ground missiles.The medium -range missile with a nuclear warhead can reach 3,000 kilometers.
But he also pointed out that in the face of the United States and allies exercise in different seas, deploy 18 military bases in the mainland, and test many new attack tactics, can Fujian ship deploy in the deep sea of the Western Pacific, hanging overseas and obtainingIt is enough to observe the protection of air excellence.
The former Chief of Staff of Taiwan, General Li Ximing, generally said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the asymmetric combat thinking accepted by the Ministry of Defense is consistent with the overall defense concept he has advocated for many years.
The war situation of the national defense report is preparing to fight urban warfare, "the whole people are all soldiers, and everywhere is a battlefield" attracted criticism. He said that strengthening the island's defense capabilities is a key ring.With long -range attack capabilities, Taiwan's defense strategy cannot be extravagant to rely on long -range strikes and decisive battles alone. The key is to establish a highly survived troops, so that the enemy's army cannot be destroyed from a long distance, and once it landed on the sea, it will be bad.
However, the experience of the Russian and Ukrainian war that has been fighting for seven months has been shown, and preparation for war cannot avoid the war or the war can not stop the war.War.
Therefore, Li Ximing emphasized that Taiwan must "hold a big stick in a big stick", and in accurately preparing for the war, developing asymmetric combat power, in order to obscure the mainland's dare not to easily move martial arts, the overall defense strategy must also try to work with the mainland.Establish mutual trust with the United States at the same time, that is, it will not promote unified harm to the interests of the United States at this stage. At the same time, ensure that no Taiwan independence division, emphasize the facts independence of the facts, and avoid harming the interests of the mainland and national emotions.The way.
