According to the United Morning Post, the United States and the Philippine leaders decided to further upgrade military cooperation on May 1, which was interpreted by the outside world as the threat of the two countries to strengthen the checks and balance of China in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. Military experts also believed that the United States was building"East Asia NATO".Since the Philippines is one of the member states of the sub -security, this is probably challenged to the "Asian Diandan Core" pursuing the "Asian Diandan Core" pursued by Asia in the long run, and further compress the space that Aya can run in the gap between the Sino -US game.
As a political student who has been paying attention to regional current affairs for a long time, I am worried about it.
Recently, the situation between the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea has been heating up one after another, and the fight between China and the United States in regional security issues has become more intense.Taking the recent actions involving the South China Sea as an example, the Philippine President President President Macco and the Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang almost fell on the eve of the collision of the China -Philippine Maritime Police Ship, and agreed to alleviate the tension of the South China Sea.After the situation is heating up, the Philippines announced that it has improved military cooperation with the United States, which has no positive effect on eased regional tensions.
This reminds me of the game theory in social science theory, and is often used by scholars and experts to understand the game behavior in international relations.From the perspective of the recent interaction between China and the United States, China and the United States are suspicious of each other on the basis of lack of mutual trust, leading to the higher risk of military game.When facing the choice of cooperation with China or the United States, the Philippines chose to take the national sovereignty interests as a consideration to enhance cooperation with the United States, but ignored the potential impact of this move on Asia's peace.
In February this year, the Chairman of the Asian Wheel Value of the Aya Dan Run, Guo India, President, proposed to further promote the long -standing Southern China Sea Conduct negotiation.Huang Yonghong, the Minister of Defense of Singapore, recently reiterated that he hopes to accelerate the implementation of the rules; the Foreign Minister Venci also recently expresses the expectations of Southeast Asian countries to hope to establish mutual trust in China and the United States.Asia Danan has issued a statement of maintaining regional peace and stability for the hot topic of the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea many times.However, at this time, the Philippines announced that it will increase its military cooperation with the United States, which will only deepen the military game and distrust between the two major powers of China and the United States, or will indirectly deepen the tension of the region.
Asianan has long pursued the strategy of standing in autonomy.Although the member states have different national interests, it depends on the main axis of the strategy to follow the strategy, which promotes regional peace and stability.The Philippine senior diplomat Elizabeth P. Buensucesso's book of Asean Centrality mentioned in the written book that Asia Simpan adopted the principle of standing autonomy when facing the game of the great country, so as not to choose the side station to take it.Improve the importance of sub -security.This is also one of the elements of the world's unique regional organization.Even though Yajia'an has no right to interfere with the internal affairs and foreign policy of member states, the Asian Constitution that passed in 2007 clearly states that member states must bear collective responsibility for strengthening regional peace, security and prosperity.As an effective legal document, the charter enhances the effectiveness of the independent strategy of the Asian Simpan.
However, in the context of the increasing Sino -US game, Southeast Asian countries will inevitably take their own national interests when facing regional hot topics.How to maintain a neutral principle and not to choose the side station have become one of the challenges.
If Ya Jian'an abandons neutral foreign strategies, it will directly weaken the effectiveness of as a regional organization in Southeast Asia, and the significance will be questioned.
I think, Yaxian is facing a watershed whether to re -review the new strategy of current geopolitical wrestling or adhere to the long -standing neutral principles, which will test the wisdom of Yajia'an and leaders of various member states.I believe that the Southeast Asian people do not want to be in the tragedy of the military conflict of the country in this region. Only the regional countries are united and reached basic consensus on hot topics inside and outside the region as soon as possible.Essence
The author is a student of the School of Humanities and Science, National University of Singapore
