Source: Meilimao Electronic News

Author: Single thick

Ke Wenzhe sent people to the people's party department on May 2nd. It is expected that the president will be registered on May 8th.It will be determined to be called Hou Youyi or Guo Taiming.

The Kuomintang not only nominated the layout of the president, but also has not seen the planning of the overall election so far.When Lai Qingde nominated on April 12, the Democratic Progressive Party proposed the two major election goals of "Presidential High Vote and Half Half of Congress". Ke Wenzhe has also continued to emphasize the concept of "United Government" recently. On the other handThere are almost no depictions in the election.

Next year's election is the "two -in -one" president and legislators. The two not only affect each other, move, and bonuses, but also form a imagination of Taiwan's future.The president of Lai Qingde was elected and the Legislative Yuan was more than half of it. He wanted to shape the momentum of "full governance", which drove the enthusiasm of the supporters of the green camp.At present, the people's party has only five legislators. Even if the multiple grows, it is not 1/10 of the Legislative Court. Ke Wenzhe's "United Government" is disinfected in advance to persuade the public. Even without a few legislators, the government can operate normally.

On the other hand, the Kuomintang has only been concerned about the presidential nomination. No one cares about the layout of the legislators election.Speaking of enthusiasm, driving momentum, and depicting future governance.

The Legislative Yuan has 113 legislators, and the threshold of more than half is 57.In the 2020 legislators elections, the DPP won 61 seats, more than half alone, and then calculated that Chen Baiwei, Lin Yizuo, Zhao Zhengyu, and Su Zhenqing of the Kidan Party had 65 seats, which were more than half of the strength. In addition, there were three times of power.The friendly army of the seats, Pan Green accounted for 60.7 % in the Legislative Yuan; the Kuomintang won 38 seats (another blue -free legislator of Fu Kunzheng and Gao Jin Sumei) and five seats for the people.

In the past three years, after Chen Baiwei was fired, Lin Jingyi won the second election. Cai Peihui won the original Nantou seat of Xu Shuhua and the Huang Guoshu in Taichung's Huang Guoshu retired from the party.After the continuous fighting of the times, the election may be foam next year. The DPP may have some room for growth without partition. In addition to the three seats of Huang Guoshu, Lin Yizuo, and Su Zhenqing, the DPP will reach the "half alone" in Lai Qingde's mouth.The loss of the loss cannot exceed eight seats.

On the Kuomintang, Fu Kunzheng returned to the Kuomintang through the "same -boat plan". Wang Hongwei won the original Jiang Wanan's seat. Nantou Xu Shuhua was taken away by the DPP.The seat is 20 seats away from half of the distance.However, in recent years, the people's party has swallowed the foundation of some Blues. The Kuomintang has repeatedly shouted "blue and white". The boundaries between the two have become more and more blurred.

Perhaps because the gap is too large, no one dares to call the legislator election so far. The Party Central Committee, Hou Youyi, and Guo Taiming have all turned a blind eye. Pretending that the legislator election is not his own responsibility and has nothing to do with himself.However, the president and legislators are the "two -in -one" election. The two will have affected each other. Candidates for legislators are not only the front line of the presidential candidate Army, but also the basis for the Air Force confrontation.

From the perspective of the 2020 election, Tianlong Kingdom -Taipei Eight seats, the Kuomintang only won four seats, the DPP and Lin Yizuo are also four seats; New Taipei City is even more miserable.Blue is greater than the green Taoyuan, and the Kuomintang only won three seats of six seats; Taichung City only won two seats in the eight seats and Changhua only won one of the four seats.These counties and cities above are large -blue ticket warehouses. They must win to make up the shortcomings of the south.

Taking Hou Youyi's natal area -New Taipei City as an example, if the Blue Army can only win three or four seat legislators, is it possible for Hou Youyi to win the presidential election?But with the current action and preparation of Hou Youyi, does Blues support the atmosphere that makes Blue Army feel that New Taipei may win or win?Hou Youyi did solve the controversy of some primary elections, but in other constituencies in New Taipei, the Kuomintang also did not seem to have any dazzling lineups.

This situation not only happened in New Beibei, but in almost every corner of Taiwan. The Kuomintang grabbed his head and played in the absolute advantage area, but some of the areas of evenly matched areas lack of people and did not see the Party Central Committee.Or intentionally to ask for any arrangement or layout of the big position.

Today, the Kuomintang Central Committee, Hou, and Guo only paid attention to the presidential nomination. No one was willing to stand at a more comprehensive perspective to look at the "two -in -one" election.In mid -to -late May, no matter who Hou Youyi or Guo Taiming qualify, it is not a political leader with strong personality and charm. It is not only a little bit worse than the past Ma Ying -jeou, Korean Yu or Chen Shui -bian, and Tsai Ing -wen.And capital.

With the popularity of Hou Youyi or Guo Taiming, you can do not need to think about the warm scene of "hen with a chicken". Maybe it may not be fell to "hen lift the chicken", but the chicken is not enough, can it be with the presidential candidate and the presidential candidateWhen people pull up each other, the impact on the election must be great.It is conceivable that if the comprehensive combat power of the Kuomintang's "two -in -one" campaign is not as good as the Democratic Progressive Party, the results of the election will inevitably be not optimistic.

The differences in the layout of blue and green legislators are related to the power structure of the two parties.Lai Qingde is both the Democratic Progressive Party and the presidential candidate. The layout of the opposition committee naturally has a great dominance. On the other hand, the presidential candidate of the Kuomintang, because his nomination is unbearable, naturally inadvertently cares about the layout of the legislature, and even more afraid of triggered the trigger.The association of infringing the power of the party's chairman; the Party Central Committee also dare not be too strong, and can only do everything in accordance with the chapters. It makes himself like a german dealer.

In the past, Guo Taiming, whether it is Hou Youyi or a half -way monk, is not enough for the care of the party's layout, and there is no ink to the "military power" of the overall election.In the future, the nominated person must make up the lesson quickly, and propose a complete blueprint in the shortest time. After all, it is himself, not Zhu Lilun and the Party Central Committee.On the day of the Kuomintang nominated, the presidential nomination could not shout out "more than half of the Congress" like Lai Qingde, giving the Blue Army a "full governance" vision, and the momentum would be lost by half.