Former US President Trump accepted inquiries in the Manhattan District Court of New York on April 4, becoming a headline incident in the United States.Trump, who never spared people, refused to plead guilty after the question, and issued a strong counterattack statement, insisting that he was "the only crime he committed to defend the country to avoid those who tried to destroy it to destroy it."Human infringement" expresses his grievances and anger to the public.
As the first former president in American history, Trump's embarrassment can be imagined.However, without this question, he may have to struggle in political difficulties.In the mid -2022 election, due to the defeat of many Congress candidates who pushed, the Republican Party failed to win the expected victory. Trump was questioned and criticized by many in the party.Senator Timmy from Pennsylvania admitted that Trump's influence on elections was going downhill.Wall Street Journal's editorial is even more polite, saying that Trump is the largest loser in the Republican Party.
Under the haze of politics, even if the president was announced as soon as the mid -term election was over, Trump did not show a strong momentum.Instead, De Santis, who won the victory in Florida, did not officially announce the election, but he stood over Trump for a while.A number of polls released earlier this year showed that Trump has fell into the wind in his one -to -one assumptions.
At this time node, Trump, who is undoubtedly shaken by the political status, has brought a turnover.Although his overall support in the United States is not high, as far as the criminal investigation is concerned, more than three -quarters of Americans believe that it is a political motivation, and more than 90 % of the Republicans holding this view.In this sense, Trump is considered to be treated with unfair treatment for criminal investigation, but has gained more sympathy, which can take the opportunity to reverse his previous political decline.
At present, legal professionals generally believe that if prosecutors cannot issue iron certificates, Trump's felony name will be difficult to establish.Trump has experienced many investigations during his term. He has both an independent investigation of the Russian Ministry of Justice and two impeachment investigations initiated by the House of Representatives, including the background review of the pre -routine of the president.Assuming that Trump really has a handle, those surveys should have been discovered for a long time.
According to US law, although Trump is facing criminal charges, he can still participate in the presidential election.Therefore, for him, criminal investigation and allegations are a double -edged sword.On the one hand, the judicial process from prosecution to conviction is relatively long, and it may last for several years. This will take Trump, which is busy with the candidate at the same time, spend a lot of time and energy to cope.On the other hand, Trump will also increase the exposure and obtain the media's reporting resources for free. At the same time, he can highlight his "political persecution" and can win the support of more anti -system people and expand the election activities of the election activities.Influence and attractiveness.
Therefore, for general politicians, accepting criminal investigations basically means the end of political career, but for Trump, which has repeatedly broken the political iron law, it is far from the last straw that overwhelms the camel.The latest poll data shows that after accepting the question, Trump's support in the Republican Party has not risen, and the leading potential competitors De Santis are 26 percentage points, opening the distance in one fell swoop.Within half a month after the question, his presidential campaign was raised for $ 15.4 million (about S $ 20.5 million), which was seen by the Republican basic support for him.
Looking back, Trump also has experience in adversity.In 2016, at a critical moment of the election, he broke the "locker room speech" incident insulting women, causing a stir.For a while, the pressure of public opinion came over, and the Republican colleagues came out to condemn, allowing his campaign journey to fall into an unprecedented dilemma.Rao is so, he can still turn danger into peace, and eventually enter the White House.
The Republican senior officials who love and hate, because of the fear of his current political influence, did not dare to cut it completely with him.The Speaker of the House of Representatives, McCarthy, bluntly stated that the investigation belongs to the abuse of power and is the Democratic Party's judicial "weapon".Trump's competitor He Li sent a tweet, saying that his prosecution against him was to fight revenge rather than judicial justice.Even De Santis, who has recently been bombarded by him, claimed that criminal prosecution Trump did not meet the American spirit and said he would not assist in judicial investigations.
In short, unless there are major changes, in the 2024 Republican presidential pre -selection, Trump is still dominant political force. Only Desanteis can hold his wrist with him. Other candidates may just play the accompanying running.Role.After all, Trump failed to win re -election in 2020, just because he lost more than 40,000 votes in Swing State.If he has the opportunity to confront Bynden, the Republican Party hopes that the result of this time may have variables.
The author is a doctoral student in Beijing University of Foreign Studies (mainly studying American politics and Sino -US relations)
