Comment: Indias population is the most critical organic in China to become the w

Source: Ming Pao

The United Nations released the latest prediction analysis. The Indian population reached 1,425,782,975 people last Friday (14th), which overwhelmed China to become the most populous country in the world. It is expected that India's population will continue to increase to around 2064It reaches the peak of 1.7 billion.This trend is likely to benefit India, a South Asian country to maintain the vigorous development of the economy with the "demographic dividend", rise in consumption power, affects the development of global industries, and expand its influence on international affairs, and even major changes in global order and geopolitics.However, there are also reports that India's population growth model is hidden in crisis. If there is no appropriate policy, the increase in labor population may lead to an increase in unemployment rate and exacerbate economic and social risks.

Since the United Nations has estimated the population in the 1950s, China has always been the most populous country, and India has lived second.The total population of the two countries now accounts for about one -third of the 8 billion people around the world.In order to curb the expansion of the population, China -India has implemented decades of fertility plans, but India's decline is inferior to China.When China recorded for the first time in the 60 years in 2022, the population of the first 60 years of atrophy, indicating that it entered the "era of population negative growth". Population statistics experts last year have predicted that India's population is fast this month.most.The World Bank also estimates that before 2041, India's South Asian labor population will be higher than other regions.Irfan Nooruddin, director of the South Asian Center at Atlantic Council, said: "We are in the turn of the largest population transfer in 200 years. The world's focus has been transferred for a while, but it will be more consolidated."

Experts: The focus of the world's focus will be more consolidated

India now has a population of more than 1.4 billion about 4 times the country's 70 years ago, while the 65 -year -old population accounts for 7%of the total population, and the population under the age of 25 is over 40%.India is 28 years old. In comparison, China is 39 years old and the United States is 38 years old.According to the Pedu Research Center, about one -five -year -old population under the age of 25 is in India.The United Nations estimated last year that every 100 laborers in India in 2023, the number of adopters (non -labor population such as the elders, children, etc.) was 47. 187 countries were sorted from young to most, and India is currently ranked 43rd.Ascended to 23rd; China fell from 30th to 146.This means that India ’s labor force is large and social burden is less than China.

India is expected to become the third largest economy in 2029

The fifth largest economy in the world, India, has a low population and low raising rate, and is in the period of "demographic dividends", which can bring overwhelming economic potential.India's largest Indian National Bank (SBI) outlook that the country can surpass Germany in 2029 and be promoted to the third largest economy in China and the United States.

However, the World Bank reported in March that although India has improved in supporting economic transformation, it still lags behind other emerging economies.The Wall Street Journal described on Friday that India's current situation is still in China in many aspects of China 30 years ago.

Insufficient education and medical investment in youth labor, insufficient medical investment

Indian youth's labor force has grown rapidly, and it has attracted a number of foreign companies to enter the development of new production lines, such as Apple and Foxconn, but the overall infrastructure is backward and the investment rules are cumbersome.Insufficient education and medical investment have also been criticized.According to the last 2011 census data, only 40%of the academic qualifications for the whole school were increased by 5%in ten years.The employment rate is low due to learning opportunities and traditional concepts.

The country's economic structure has not completely transformed from agriculture to manufacturing.In the past ten years, although more than 100 million people have invested in the labor market, and several million people have left the countryside to find jobs in the city, but the employment positions have grown at a net zero -growth period during the same period.Lack of job opportunities and low wages in rural migrant workers in rural areas will increase slums and patients.

UNPFA (UNPFA) published last year's harvest of the Indian demographic dividend report, stating that India's low labor participation rate, education and health issues will "erode human capital".Essence economic and social risks. "

The official data published by India in January this year, the educated youth unemployment rate reached 18%, about 24 million.Many young people are disappointed with gray.Last year, there were two states that more than 10 million people applied for 35,000 railway positions to have more monks and less porridge, and violent demonstrations broke out.