On January 13 next year, the presidential and legislators elections will be held. As the presidential candidates of the party are about to surface, the relevant parties will visit the United States on the grounds of transit.Guo Taiming visited the United States.Cai Ma is not a candidate, but the party they belongs to the two different directions of Taiwan's foreign relations respectively.The third forces challenged the two major parties.Guo Ke recently visited the United States. On the one hand, he showed the ability to communicate with the United States politicians. On the other hand, he intends to separate the Kuomintang mayor, Hou Youyi, who is most likely to call for president, and Hou Cong without foreign affairs.As for the Democratic Progressive Party Chairman Lai Qingde, he was so good that he was about to board the election pitcher.
This election is not only the three camps of Taiwan Blue, Green, and White, it will be a battle for the political territory again. It will also be a competence and reorganization of the relationship between the United States, China, and Taiwan.The current US -China confrontation relations upgrade and the Taiwan Strait's cross -strait relations are tight, and the Taiwan election will inevitably produce a strong spillover effect.If Lai Qingde wins, he will continue to continue Tsai Ing -wen's pro -American anti -anti -mid -line line, close to the United States and strengthen confrontation with the mainland government; if Hou Youyi is replaced by it, he and the Kuomintang will guide Taiwan to adjust in a relatively balanced direction.Change, but it will strengthen and communicate; as for Guo Taiming / Ke Wenzhe, if you win, he will also be equal to the same pro -beauty.
If they are running for the president, Lai, Hou, and Guo all have the opportunity to win, Ke will have the influence of the election bureau.According to the latest presidential polls announced by the Meilimao Electronics News at the end of March, if the blue -green duel, Lai Qingde's support is 43.4%, and the Xiaoying Hou Youyi 41.3%; if the triangle competition, Lai Qingde will lead by 38.4%of support, Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi and Hou Youyi withKe Wenzhe received support of 26.2%and 20.3%, respectively.As for Guo Taiming, he is not a member of the Kuomintang now. He once said that waiting for the Kuomintang to "take a set of methods" and give him the opportunity to represent the Kuomintang to run for election.The Kuomintang's mind has been decided, and it is difficult to recruit candidates other than Hou Youyi.Therefore, if Guo insists on running, the most convenient way is to represent the party's party, and Ke is the deputy. This combination also has considerable public support and can fight.
In order to carry out the political development path of the people's party, Ke Wenzhe has announced the presidential election. Unless Guo Taiming is willing to put on the people's party shirts, he is difficult to dispel the will.He is lacking in interest so far.Guo Taiming launched a 12 -day "Science and Technology Economic Pioneering Journey" at the end of March. In addition to going to Huafu to visit important financial sources, this trip will also go to the Brukins Society of the US Think Tank to communicate to the preparation of the president.One of his advantages is that the United States has a wide range of connections.
In terms of the current political resource allocation, the power of the Democratic Progressive Party is far from that of the Nationalist Party and the People's Party.Although the Kuomintang has the absolute advantage of local governance, government financial resources, power distribution, personnel arrangements and major policies are all in the hands of the DPP. They have always been good at applying government resources to their own elections, and they have always been united.The Kuomintang has not only been unable to integrate the non -green camp, but even his own internal disgusting, and even ghosts with ghosts and competing for each other.
In terms of candidates, the DPP has already been set in one. Vice President Lai Qingde's performance and character -in -law have good reviews and complete experiences.Chairman of the party.His preparation state is the most prepared. What is often discussed is that he has publicly declared in the Legislative Yuan that he is a "pragmatic Taiwan independence worker".Many people are worried that if he as a president is biased and provoked the risk of war.
Lai Qingde has this alertness. Recently, Cai Yingwen's "four persistences" are not left: adhere to the constitutional system of free and democracy, adhere to the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China that they are not affiliated with each other, insist on sovereignty and swallow, and insist on the Republic of China Taiwan.The future must follow the will of all the people of Taiwan.These four persistences are considered implicitly expressions of "Taiwan and China". It is different from the clear independence of Taiwan's independence, and the public is highly acceptable.Although the mainland government has deep doubts about him, and the United States has doubts, he is determined to be cautious after the presidential election, intended to eliminate people and the United States and China.It can be certain that he is observing the Tsai Ing -wen route and can be trusted by the United States. After being elected, he will continue to operate the US -Taiwan relations. As for the relationship between China, he will take the policy as the upper limit.
Hou Youyi is the only candidate for the current victory in the Kuomintang.He used to work in the police department for a long time, with his achievements and reputation.Twelve years ago, Zhu Lilun was appointed as the deputy mayor of New Taipei City. He was diligent and practical, and was loyal and affectionate.He has recently performed well in various polls.Because Hou Youyi was just re -elected as the mayor of New Taipei, he was not too early to take the initiative to choose to choose the president.
The relationship between Hou Youyi and the Kuomintang has always been out of the same way, the color is not pure, the color is not strong. The advantage is that there is no need to bear the burden of the Kuomintang, but it cannot attract the passion of the traditional Kuomintang supporters.His pity is that the experience of politics is limited to the police and mayor. Only with merits, no transliteration, no controversy, but the scope of experience is not enough. He seems to be a cup of water. Although there is no impurities and odors, the taste is relatively monotonous.He rarely speaks to issues other than police and municipalities. In key issues such as international and diplomacy, cross -strait relations, economic development, energy policies, and finance, it has almost never expressed a clear position. Although it can be avoidedThe blueprint of the country is limited, and it is not doubt about whether he becomes a bamboo.He has never expressed his statement about the key issues of cross -strait, independence, and US -China relations, but the local color is strong, and his position should be closer to the DPP. However, there is no Taiwan independence in Taiwan.As for whether he can resolutely resist the unified offensive of the mainland government, he has to state his position and countermeasures.
If Hou Youyi is elected president, it will not be completely dominated by personal will. The Kuomintang team is likely to be in power.However, the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan still believes that the United States is the most powerful for Taiwan's defense security. The current leadership of the Kuomintang is also observed. Therefore, if Hou Youyi is in power, it is impossible to adopt the Yuanmei Middle Route.
Standing in the United States, Lai Qingde's pro -American line is the most certain and thorough. Guo Taiming / Ke Wenzhe will also have no doubt; as for Hou Youyi and the Kuomintang, they will be acceptable, but they are not very intimate.Standing on the mainland government's position, Hou Youyi has the highest acceptance. The second is Guo Taiming / Ke Wenzhe, and Lai Qingde and the DPP are the most difficult to accept. The only advantage is that they can create conditions and mouth for attracting war.
In any case, this election of Taiwan this election is the most geopolitical and extensive election. The relevant parties are very concerned and will also try to apply influence in the manner of no trace. The key is how Taiwanese people maintain the main position.A leader who is sufficient to ensure sustainable development in Taiwan.
The author is the former chairman of the Central News Agency and a senior media person in Taiwan
