(Hong Kong News) Some Chinese scholars believe that under the context of a comprehensive confrontation, the crisis control mechanism of the two countries is suspended. Once the soldiers of the two sides meet at sea, it is likely to cause the gun to get angry.

The Hong Kong Ming Pao published an exclusive interview with Wu Shicun, the president of the Nanhai Research Institute of China Think Tank yesterday.Wu Shicun pointed out that the United States' factors in the South China Sea this year are highlighted, and they say that the United States uses the South China Sea issue to contain China and provoke the relations between China and Asia's Diandan.

Wu Shicun, who studied the problems of the South China Sea History and Land, Marine Planning, International Relations, and Regional Security Strategy for more than 20 years, said: After the 2016 South (China) Sea Arbitration Case, the situation in the South China Sea experienced a relatively long period of stable and controllable for a long time.This year is a turning point.

Ming Pao quoted public information that in July this year, the U.S. military held two double aircraft carrier exercises in the South China Sea; according to the statistics of the South China Sea strategic situation perception plan, the United States dispatched a total of 67 reconnaissance planes in that month, reaching the offshore of China many times.As of the end of August this year, the US ship broke into the South China Islands Reef Sea seven times.Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said at the Foreign Minister of the East Asian Summit in September that in the first half of this year, the United States sent nearly 3,000 military aircraft and more than 60 submarines to the South China Sea.

Facing the frequent actions of the U.S. military, the Chinese Ministry of Defense once said that the United States in China ’s Haixing style in South China will only make China more firm and break the waves, defend sovereignty and security, and safeguard the peace and stability of the South China Sea.

Wu Shicun mentioned that other sovereignty of the South China Sea used the opportunity to use the Sino -US game, and the window period before the negotiation of the South China Sea Code of Conduct, to maximize their respective interests.The Foreign Minister of the Philippines stated in September that Asian'an and China will negotiate in November or before.

Wu Shicun believes that the current regular consultation and review mechanism of the China -US crisis control has been suspended. Once the frontline soldiers of the two sides meet at sea, any party fails to comply with existing rules, which may cause disaster.You break the rules or the practice of formation in the past, then the countermeasures that China may take is more intense, and it is possible to (wipe the gun and fire).This depends on the United States; if the United States takes more provocative actions, it will be difficult to predict the consequences.

He also said that the current goals of both China and the United States are clear and the bottom line is blurred. China's goal is to safeguard the propositions of the South China Sea rights and regional peace and stability. The goal of the United States is to maintain its maritime hegemony in the South China Sea and even the Western Pacific.

Regarding the bottom line, Wu Shicun speculated that the United States may want China not to continue to expand the construction of the Huayang reef, or to set up a defense identification zone; the bottom line of China may not try to approach its islands and reefs, and it cannot be on the Chinese maritime police ships and militia ships.Do it.

However, he also believes that China has not had much bottom line to be tentative. Because of the seven artificial islands controlled by China, the U.S. military has entered.