Lianhe Zaobao Middot; Speaking June 27th published the crossroads of the Chinese economy of former Australian Prime Minister Lu Kewen and Rong Ding Consulting, Rong Da Nie, the article mentioned that since 2013, many reform policies launched by China have been unreasonable.As a result, serious.
The analysis of this article focuses on the gains and losses of China's economic reform policy in the past seven years.; Second, China's mistakes in the early stages of anti -epidemic made the original increasingly low international reputation worse; 3. Hong Kong's National Security Law has violated human rights and will lead to foreign companies in Hong Kong to leave Hong Kong;Economic achievements have continued to grow for a long time.
As the world's second largest economy and Asia's largest economy, the prosperity of China's economy directly affects the prosperity and development of Asia.China's recent economic reform and trend are naturally related to us.However, I also want to put forward a view of more macro and analyze the evolution of China's economic evolution from a historical perspective, and share it with readers.
In ancient China, there was a salt and iron theory. It is relatively non -absolutely not absolute to describe the pros and cons of the patent of state -owned enterprises.According to my observation, today China's economic construction is two types of economic systems and three capitals:
Power grid, heavy machinery manufacturing.
2. The market economy system of private enterprises: Responsible for light industry production, automobiles, electric vehicles, home appliances, mobile phones, computers, electrical appliances, small machinery, medical equipment, education, entertainment, telecommunications, logistics, e -commerce, commercial, banks, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insurance, insuranceWealth management and other service industries are open to Chinese and foreign private enterprises.
3. Foreign companies in China such as mobile phones and home appliances in the United States and South Korea; cars and medical equipment in Germany, France, Japan, various industrial products, textiles, sneakers, motors, including all family necessities, all of which are manufactured in Chinese factories in ChinaTo enjoy various investment offers, you can export and enjoy China's 1.4 billion population market.
China enjoys the reputation of the world factory. After 40 years of development, it is the world's highest efficiency, the most complete, cheapest, and fastest supply chain in many industries.The reason is that China is large, many people, and a lot of things. There are many engineers.Today's Vietnam, the industrial productivity of a country is only equal to the scale of one Dongguan City, Guangdong Province.
The degree of participation of China's economic development model, industrial structure, private enterprises and foreign companies may be different from the European and American economic systems, but after all, it is still self -contained, which has generally supported China's rapid economic growth in 40 years.Experts in China will explain that this is a market economy with Chinese characteristics, and it also confirms that as long as it is caught, black cats and white cats are good cats.
The rise of China today should be said to have a close relationship with the history of 5000 years in China.Chinese history has been said since ancient times. From then on to the middle of the Qing Dynasty, China's GDP (GDP) accounted for 30%of the world's GDP.It is a pity that the Empress Dowager Cixi retracted herself. The Manchu government ignored the first and second industrial revolution of human beings, and then the Chinese National Games declined and was infringed by the Western Eight -Power Allied Forces.Following the Opium War, China has been in a slump and compensates for land.This century -long humiliation has been deeply imprinted in the hearts of several generations of Chinese people. It is still the content of the historical subjects of Chinese students.
China will lead the fourth industrial revolution
The first industrial revolution of human beings was that the British Wed invented the steam engine in 1767 to mechanize human production.The Second Industrial Revolution was the invention of electricity in 1861 to make human production electrification.The two industrial revolutions prompted the rapid economic development of Europe and the United States in the 19th century, providing a strong economic strength for the future of empires and colonial countries.Since the 16th century, the European Empire had colonial aggression on Africa, Asia, and America, seizing territory and plundering resources.In the later period, China was also one of the victims.
The third industrial revolution of human beings was that Americans invented microelectronics in 1946 and derived Digital and Analog, which produced computers and telecommunications.In the 1970s, the simulation and digital were successfully merged into one, and the Internet was generated, and then a portable computer and mobile phone were derived; while mobile phones were continuously optimized, producing 1G, 2G, 3G, 4G.At present, Huawei, China leads 5G technology, has Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu and other private companies leading information technology.This shows that today the Chinese nation is recovering the world status of the strong Han Dynasty more than 2000 years ago.
Today humans have begun to enter the fourth industrial revolution.The past three industrial revolutions were based on a single power technology, and this time it contains eight technologies: artificial intelligence, new materials, new energy, quantum communication and computing, genetic engineering, nuclear fusion, blockchain.The Chinese have been leading the world in four technologies, and the other four technologies can be aligned with the United States.
All of the above explained that in the past 40 years, China's economic construction has been effective and very successful.Today is the world in China, but the world needs China.The world's economic globalization has been successful in the past 70 years, mutual benefit and win -win.In the 1980s, the four small dragons in Asia, the four little tigers in the 1990s, and the 21st century China all showed that the global economy was conducive to the economic development of most countries and regions.
China's anti -epidemic policy is indeed suspected of mistakes in the early stage.However, when Beijing realized the severity of the epidemic, he adopted extremely severe blockade and isolation policies.From the perspective of various epidemic data, China has controlled the epidemic in April.After the opening of May and June, China's economy has also been quickly recovered.Judging from the number of people and deaths in the United States and China today, China's resistance to disease should be effective.
The current popular topic is that US President Trump actively promotes the United States to adopt economic globalization policies to try to isolate China to curb China's rise and follow the hegemonic position.Based on this, I think it is necessary to analyze the economic structure that China has established in the past 30 years to see if the US enclosure strategy will be successful.
According to the industrial classification of the United Nations, today only China has the most complete industrial system of industrial and commercial doors, and has the most complete and efficient industrial industry chain and supply chain.This is because China has tens of millions of outstanding engineers, as well as hard work teams, efficient logistics systems, artificial intelligence economy ecology, high -efficiency governments, law -abiding society, and high -quality education.China trains 7 million college students each year, of which 60%are engineering students.
China will be the fourth -time industrial revolution in the future.There are four reasons: 1. China has a domestic demand market with a population of 1.4 billion, of which the 300 million people in the eight major coastal cities are already consumer groups in the middle and above; 2. China ’s infrastructure is the latest and most effective facilities in the world;With the world's most enthusiastic business, finance and industrial talents; Fourth, China also has the most sound banking system, the most abundant national treasury, and the richest resources.
The conclusion is that after the 70 -year -old economic globalization system, the human economy is melted into one. You have me, you have you, China needs the world, and the world needs China.Similarly, China needs the United States and the United States also needs China.
The economic structure of the United States is 80%of the service industry and only 13%of the industry.The US GDP is US $ 21 trillion, and industrial output value accounts for 13%of GDP, about $ 2.7 trillion; and China's GDP is US $ 16 trillion, with industrial output value of 50%, which is 8 trillion US dollars.This is enough to show that the banking industry is dominating the world today. The US dollar is the most powerful international currency, and China's advantage is industry.Therefore, China and the United States should be complementary and there is no need to confront.Economy is not good for global humanity.
Sino -US confrontation to the Sino -US war?
Another popular topic is: Will China -US confrontation lead to the Sino -US war?
Whether the Sino -US Association starts to watch the United States' willingness, but entrepreneurs must have a sense of risk to prevent it.
Since the Second World War, the United States has set up a world police to set up a number of military bases around the world, and set up 11 aircraft carrier battle groups. The annual defense expenditure has reached 800 billion US dollars, so that national bonds have reached 3 billion US dollars so far.A total of 1500 billion US dollars, Treasury bonds, the national budget of the national budget is nearly $ 2 trillion.
The crossroads of the Chinese economy believe that the national security law in Hong Kong has violated human rights and will lead to the departure of foreign companies in Hong Kong.Hong Kong's main economic focus is as an international financial center, and it is a service window for foreign investment to enter the 1.4 billion large population market in China.
If the world is optimistic about China, the window of Hong Kong is needed.HSBC and Standard Chartered Bank in Hong Kong are Hong Kong's currency issuers. Is this special status value geometry?In addition, many international banks, insurance, finance, leasing, investment banks, funds, funds, business, accounting, consulting, lawyers, taxes and other service industries in Hong Kong. Its main business targets are the mainland market with 1.4 billion people and the Southeast Asian market. These foreign companies will meetIs it out of Hong Kong?
Many western countries that maintain Hong Kong's human rights today seem to forget the dark history of the British forcing the Chinese business and selling opium in the Qing Dynasty.The British must have self -knowledge and shame human rights to the Chinese people.
The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government has been restrained for more than a year. In the face of thugs, the police have been patiently persuaded. The police were beaten and still endured.Public facilities and economy have been severely damaged for more than a year, and they are now forced to promote the National Security Law. This move has been welcomed by the majority of society.
On the other hand, when the races of colored people marched on the streets and protest racial discrimination, Trump described these people as thugs, and mobilized military police to suppress on the sixth day.Before the demonstration in Hong Kong, attacked the police, and arson the black man who injured people, the US authorities called them a free warrior.The dual standards of European and American countries, hypocrisy and domineering, are really outrageous.
The article finally recommends that China is best to follow the operation of the Western capitalist market to continue to move forward.I don't worry at all.The Chinese are easy to learn. Confucius said that the three people must have my teacher.In 1987, Deng Xiaoping's first step in deciding the opening of the policy was to send more than 30,000 college students to study in Western countries. The average of 600,000 international students outside each year was as high as 600,000, and the total of more than 10 million more than 10 million in more than 30 years.The annual learning fee paid billions of dollars, but Trump said that Chinese people stealing their technology are not logical.
In any case, the Chinese people should recognize the contribution of Western educators to China. We should also accept the suggestions of Lu Kewen and Rong Da Nie to learn from the West.
The author is the founder of Indonesia Libao Group
