Current affairs perspective

Four years have passed, and the Taiwan elections have gown again.The offensive and defensive gathers are scattered, and a table mahjong is rubbed again.

As a follower of cross -strait relations, the past elections have also affected the author's heart.However, recently, it is increasingly felt that in the entire Greater China, elections in Taiwan have a trend of evolution to the storm in the teapot.

This is first due to the observation of Taiwan's politics in the past four years.On the evening of January 16, 2016, the results of the Taiwan elections were released and Tsai Ing -wen won.Hearing her speech on the stage on the stage, saying that the people expect a political party that can bring Taiwan to the new era.Old thinking, welcoming the advent of new politics In the term of office of the next four years, I will do my best to fulfill my promise, promote Taiwan's promotion to advanced countries, and launch various necessary software and hardware construction.

At that time, she was curious how she would bring Taiwan to the new era, how to get rid of political fighting, and how to start the necessary software and hardware construction.As a result, the past four years have passed, the times seem to have no new, the fighting does not decrease, and the software and hardware construction has no highlights.

In terms of economy, Taiwan ’s GDP (GDP) increased by 1.4%in 2016, 2.8%in 2017, and 2.6%in 2018. It can only be regarded as barely.The GDP in 2018 was about 3900.04 billion yuan. In China, it retired from the last year.

Secondly, the four years in the past proved that although the DPP was unwilling to modify the Taiwan independence party, Taiwan independence's disturbance mdash; mdash;The Democratic Progressive Party has been fully governed. In addition to the de -Chinaization of education and cultural fields, engaging in the US thighs and restricting some cross -strait exchanges, there are no major actions of Taiwan independence.This is not that it doesn't want to, really dare, can't.It often uses polls to show how to resist unification of the people in Taiwan, and further guide the people of Taiwan to resist unification, but those actions, in addition to consolidating their governing status, are at best to add some blocks to the mainland.

Recently, the so -called anti -repair demonstration in Hong Kong has made Tsai Ing -wen ’s happy place. After a while, it is said that Hong Kong today, Taiwan tomorrow, to incite the island to refuse one country and two systems.It is said that the situation in Hong Kong has raised Cai's polls. Many people think that she has picked up a gun or even a gun.

However, even if you pick up the cannon?In my opinion, one thing can explain that the mainland's assessment of Taiwan has undergone profound changes: this incident is suspended from August 1, 2019 to suspend the pilot pilot of the mainland residents of 47 cities to Taiwan.

Why?

The reason for the suspension of the mainland to Taiwan is a personal tour. The reason why the Cross -Strait Tourism Exchange Association said is in view of the current cross -strait relations.Although the observer has made various interpretations, one thing is actually more noteworthy, that is, the mainland's assessment of cross -strait relations in the mainland.In the past, the mainland hoped that through the exchanges between people on both sides of the strait, to improve mutual awareness and enhance the feelings of both parties.

During the administration of Ma Ying -jeou, the open personal tour was also a blessing to the Kuomintang and the support of the people in Taiwan's tourism economic chain.Now suddenly stop, the Taiwan ruling authorities will definitely manipulate this topic, and the tourism people will have a rebound and resent the mainland.It is impossible for the mainland to consider these consequences, but the mainland still stops decisively and suddenly.

At least two information is released here: First, because the DPP has broken cross -strait relations, we call it to stop personal travel.Second, you rebounded, and there is no way. The mainland is not worried.

Since the trip to the ice break in 2005, the mainland has worked hard in increasing people's exchanges.Each year's winter and summer vacations, the mainland is delicious, live, and entertain, attract Taiwanese students to communicate in the mainland. Various civil exchange groups are on the way.However, more than ten years have passed. Although there are certainly there must be Taiwanese people to understand the efficacy of the mainland, it seems that there is no obvious acceleration effect on peaceful unity on both sides of the strait.

From the recent situation, it is certainly not possible to unify the DPP. Over time, people have also seen more and more clearly that unification with the Kuomintang is equally hopeful.

The main head of the Kuomintang is not as good as Ma Ying -jeou's feelings than Ma Ying -jeou, and polls show that the people in Taiwan do not want to unified people. Under the influence of voting supremacy, the Kuomintang has neither willingness nor this guts to do it.In conducive to unity, Wu Dunyi even called Hong Xiuzhu's one in the same thing as evil.

Therefore, no matter who came to power, it seems that there is not much hope in a short time (the small parties such as the new party are not likely to come to power).Therefore, the suspension of personal tour in Taiwan, the author speculates that it should contain the judgment of such a situation: peace and unity, and hopeless recently; Taiwan independence, or too much too much, is too much to forgive you.

Therefore, whoever chooses to the stage in Taiwan is actually just a storm in the teapot in the island.The key to the mainland is to do your own business. The stronger it is, the more the storms in this teapot cannot impact the mainland.The timing is mature, and there are always ways to let Taiwan put national righteousness first.

The author is a professor at the School of Humanities of Shenzhen University