Author: Chen Jianzhong
Prior to the end of the summer vacation, the Minaman Federation of Hong Kong's opposition launched the 831 parade, but was opposed by the Hong Kong police, and the convener Cen Zijie was violently attacked.They were arrested; at the same time, the establishment of the Hong Kong Government and the private groups called on the Hong Kong Government to start the emergency law and extended the street struggle for more than 2 months.Loser's bad tail.The problem is that Beijing has always been good at fighting for a long time. Once the Hong Kong chaos, the US -China trade war, and the Taiwan Strait deadlock are connected to the triangle consumption, who will obtain the advantage of controlling the final situation?
Because the opposition struggle has been converted from an example of the anti -fugitive, it has transformed into an anti -one country, two systems, dual -selection, and even the comprehensive anti -Chinese demands of Hong Kong independence.Including the Beijing authorities, the Hong Kong institutional faction, and the police and civil society groups, they believe that the most serious problem in Hong Kong is to stop street violence and fight against fighting.The violence and non -cooperative resistance are characterized by riots.
Since the outbreak of demonstration in early June, Hong Kong's economic damage.The increase in tourists from Hong Kong was rising from positive and negative after June, and the decline in early August reached 31%. The total trade volume traded from Hong Kong Airport was as high as 42%. The airport paralysis had a great impact on the Hong Kong economy.The performance of the most impactful tourism and retail industries fell sharply, and re -entered the rapid depression in 2014.
After several head -and -face characters were arrested, the opposition was worried that the arrest operation would expand, and the five demands had not been responded to the Hong Kong government. It was impossible to capture it.Although the Hong Kong Police opposed the 831 parade, the oppositions such as the Minzandan may still go to the streets and ignite it all the time, and continue to plan to launch a strike, strike in September, and work hard to the end with the Hong Kong government.
However, the situation is moving quietly.Since June, the opposition has launched more than 40 violence impacts, which has seriously affected the normal operation of the economy. After the closing of the merchant closing, the stock market's heavy decline, the decline in housing prices, and the decline in tourism and tourism, it damaged the consortium that really governed Hong Kong under the tableBenefit.Including Li Ka -shing and other heavyweight business leaders have stated their opposition to street violence; especially after the violent confrontation of Kwun Tong and Tsuen Kwai Tree demonstrations, the establishment factions and impactful folk operators require the Hong Kong government to offer emergency control situation.
Coincidentally, the mainland army in Hong Kong was replaced on a large scale in the early morning of the 29th. For the Hong Kong -made member or business community, it was better to implement an emergency law instead of being directly involved in the Beijing Central Committee.In the case, the emergency law can be implemented without the legislative Council, and the opposition is prohibited from using the Telegram, Lian Deng and other network programs that are widely used in the struggle.Including life imprisonment.
The problem is that Hong Kong is a transit station for foreign trade in mainland China and a funding pool that absorbs international capital to absorb international capital.It is more difficult to deal with the US -China trade war, which hurts both one country, two systems, but also affect cross -strait relations.
How to end the fight?Beijing, Hong Kong Government, oppositions, and external forces that have been promoted behind the scenes are headaches for the Lord or Lord, but if the resistance continues to deteriorate and becomes Hong Kong independence, Beijing will be undefeated.
(The author is senior media person)
