Society: The economic situation in the United States is the key to Trumps re -el

Industrial and Commercial Times Society

U.S. President Trump returned from Japan in late May, and immediately faced the political crisis of the Russian case, and this was also the super -unsteady bomb of his re -election.Tong Russia's special prosecutor Robert Mueller said that the only public conversation before the resignation of resignation at the end of May stated that if we obviously have no confidence in the president, we will say (quot; if we have well confidence that the preSIDENTClearly Did Not Commit a Crime, we would have said so.quot;).Since the investigation report was submitted to the National Assembly in March, the Justice Minister William Barr had held a press conference to say that President Trump did not collude with Russia and did not hinder justice.This special prosecutor's resignation of words was sent with words and was extremely cautious, so that the Democratic Party had to grasp more than half of the House of Representatives, would it be a room for impeachment to the president.

As early as February of this year, the House of Representatives Picocei clearly stated in an interview with the Washington Post: I do not support impeachment (President Trump) because he is not worth it; and unless it is very convincing, overwhelming, and obtaining two twoThe reason for the party's branch, otherwise the impeachment will cause the country to split.However, for the budget of $ 2 trillion, she and the Democratic Senate leader Chuck Schume and Trump's discussions and Trump said again and again, and disappeared.It stated on the 22nd that Trump intervened in the Congress investigation and participated in the cover (ENGAGED in A Cover-Up).

Whether the Tong Russia case will be another new battlefield for the House of Representatives to impeach Trump, and thus becomes one of the election strategies that the Democratic Party must think.Pei Luosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives, believes that the impeachment will cause the country to split unless both parties support; especially the governing Republican Party currently has 53 seats in the Senate, but the impeachment presidential case needs to receive two -thirds of support.In this regard, for the Democratic Party at this stage, even if there is a assistant to the Russian case, constitutional lawsuits may not be able to do so.More importantly, if the impeachment -impeachment as the main battlefield and ignore the price of people's livelihood economic issues, I am afraid that the political reality that Democrats who are willing to ask President Ding must consider.

In fact, Trump's speeches in the 80 -minute National Love Consultation in February this year have already drawn a re -election blueprint.George Asia and Alabama's legislation are increasingly strict abortion control, both of which have shown their political horizons as president.In addition to the abortion issues concerned by women's groups and Democrats, the policies focusing on the security of the border of Mexico at the time were undoubtedly a major issue for the most complex diversified and involved in domestic and international political, economic and social.

On the last day of May, Trump announced through Twitter that from June 10, a 5%tariff on Mexico products continued to the Mexican government to prevent illegal immigrants from entering the US -Mexico border to enter the United StatesSo far; it will not even be ruled out that tariffs will be increased to 25%in October.For Trump, the illegal immigration problem of the US -Mexico border is a political issue; not a human rights issue, not just a social issue.The people's livelihood economy, black gun drugs, public security prevention, and even long -term support for the shared social welfare impact of the Democratic Party Latin voters have been raised to the level of national security.

Since the US Department of Labor announced the unemployment rate of 3.6%in April this year, it is the best achievement in the past half a century. However, even if this blessing allows him to fight the Sino -US trade war is more confident, can the economic prosperity continue until next year until next year.Prior to November, it was still in an unused day.Therefore, although there are more than 20 people who have participated in the Democratic Presidential primaries, Trump is still waiting to work.In particular, the Democratic Party's seniors still mobilized Trump's procedures for whether to launch an impeachment of Trump in Russia, and the political space won the time for the policy portfolio to show the time.

In addition, except for abortion, it covers almost the major issues that he discussed by the National Intelligence Counseling this year.Since Trump took office, it has always been the core issue of his and Democratic Party's barriers. Even if the government will lose and cause the federal government to close, signing administrative orders to allocate the wall of the US -Mexico border, his firm policy position has never changed.EssenceIt is the so -called 2M dollar infrastructure construction that forms a strong contrast, which has always heard that the stairs have sounded. After the Democratic Party obtained the majority of the House of Representatives last year, each time because the two sides were on the other political issues, they went away.The fetus is dead.

On the road of re -election, Trump's preference for policy portfolios is undoubtedly trade and diplomacy (Sino -US trade war) and immigration policies related to the two.Although the Tong Russia's case should be his most worried issue, if the Democratic Party wants to fight the impeachment case, it must start in the second half of this year, and it must also wait for the party nominated presidential candidate to be officially launched at this time to determine the election of the election.It is determined by the main axis. Therefore, Trump is currently able to be angry. However, the biggest obstacle of his re -election is still whether the US economy during the next year and a half will be affected by the follow -up tariff war.