Mr. Li, who lives in Shanghai Pudong, just signed a house purchase agreement for second -hand housing in April this April this year, but now he decided to destroy a deposit of 200,000 yuan (RMB, the same below, about S $ 37,000);During the month, the price of other housing in the same community has reduced the price at least 60,000 to 700,000 yuan.
Mr. Li told Lianhe Zaobao that he belongs to the old -fashioned improved buyer.After selling old houses in March this year, in order to avoid rising house prices, a new house was immediately reserved."I did not expect that the house prices not only did not rise, but also have been falling. The average price per square meter in the community in the community has dropped from 8,500 yuan to 75,600 yuan.I plan to look at it before buying. "
In addition to Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen's second -hand house prices also fell in May.At the same time, the second -hand houses sold for sale continued to increase.In the first -tier cities with the most strong housing prices, the second -hand housing that has never been worried about selling is rare to the buyer's market, showing that the pessimistic expectations for the overall economy are impacting the property market, which will make large number of house owners be sold out at the expense of price reductions.
The sales price of 70 large and medium -sized cities released by the National Bureau of Statistics last week shows that the property market will be cold again after the first quarter of this year.Among them, the price of new houses has increased for two consecutive months, and the price of second -hand housing has ended the rise in the previous three months, and fell 0.2 % in May.
The price of second -hand housing in four first -tier cities fell 0.4%, higher than the overall decline.Among them, Shanghai's second -hand housing prices have slipped 0.8 % month -on -month, down the largest of 70 cities; the price of second -hand housing in Beijing and Shenzhen has also fell for the first time this year.
On the other hand, a report released by the Shanghai E -House Real Estate Research Institute on Tuesday (June 20) shows that Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Nanjing, and Wuhan have 13 second -hand housing listing volumesIt reached 1.99 million units, an increase of 25 % over January, of which the largest increase in Shanghai, and the Shanghai -listed second -hand housing increased by 82 % within five months.
At the same time, the average exfoliating cycle of second -hand housing (ie, the sales cycle) of the above cities increased from 10 months in the first quarter to 15 months in the second quarter, which means that the main time of the house can take more time to sell real estate to sell real estateEssence
Yan Yuejin, the research director of the Easy House Real Estate Research Institute, reviewed that in the past, second -hand housing was in the stage of "not worry about selling". In the second half of 2020, many key cities even had a "house shortage" situation that was difficult to find in second -hand houses.In the past year, second -hand housing has a strong willingness to sell second -hand housing, but housing has surged due to market transactions.This reflects the situation where the conflict between supply and demand in the market and the blockage of transactions.
严跃进说：“从各地反馈情况看，一些中介公司近期二手房带看量和签约量都明显下滑，经营压力骤然增大，焦虑情绪明显增加。此类下滑对于房主而言，Increased the psychology of 'sorrow "."
Huang Tao, general manager of Guangzhou Central Plains Real Estate Project, pointed out that the second -hand housing prices in first -tier cities reached the peak in mid -2021, and the current sales price fell about 20 %.Except for a few scarce real estate without discounting or even premium transactions, most of the low -end real estate with a price of less than 6 million yuan must be sold at least for at least 20 % off.
Huang Tao analyzed that buyers with strong home buyers have basically shot at the end of last year and early this year; due to poor economic outlook, most people are currently watching.The rigid and improved buyers who are "clamored" must be sold to the original property to buy new houses, so they are forced to cut off the price and sell second -hand houses.
Compared with factors such as data lag and price limit, the second -hand housing market data is closer to the real market state compared to factors such as data lag and price limit.Yan Yuejin warned that the number of second -hand housing listings surged. It is the third financial risk issue after the risk of "guaranteeing the property" and the risk of real estate companies, and it needs to get attention.If the second -hand housing policy is not in place and simply focusing on the easing policy in the new housing market, the policy may be "weighing and light."
Bloomberg quoted people familiar with the matter last week that as the existing policy failed to effectively promote the recovery of the property market, the Chinese government was discussing a package of measures to further support the real estate market, including reducing the proportion of housing down payment in some large cities and reducing real estate transactionsIntermediary fees, further relax the residential purchase restriction policy, and provide more financing support for the "insurance delivery building" through policy financial instruments.
The People's Bank of China downgraded the loan market quotation interest rate (LPR) as expected on Tuesday to boost the weak economy, especially the weak property market.However, insiders predict that before the overall economy is heated, the fatigue of the second -hand housing market will continue at least until the third quarter of this year.
Huang Tao said that the current property market is still dominated by pessimistic expectations. In addition, it is also the off-season of the summer vacation in June-August. It takes some time to wait for the policy to work hard and buy back."Everyone is waiting for the government to rescue the market, but from the current situation, the country is unlikely to pass the 'big move' at one time, but will gradually stimulate the market through policy superimposed.The seller will continue to reduce the price and sell the property. "
Although he was fortunate that he was sold out of the real estate before the second -hand house was cooling, Mr. Li was still optimistic about the long -term appreciation of Shanghai's real estate.He said: "Most of the people who are out of sale now are those who are anxious to use money, and more people are still watching, maybe the house price will rise again."
