中国流行病学专家曾光研判，这次The epidemic is aggressive, and the infection rate of crown disease in Beijing may have exceeded 80%.
According to Phoenix Finance and Economics, Zeng Guang, chief scientist before the epidemiology of the China Disease Prevention and Control Center, pointed out at the 2022 Phoenix Network Finance Summit on Thursday (December 29)It is particularly violent, mainly based on the strong transmission of strains and the high incidence of respiratory diseases in winter.
Zeng Guang believes that according to the past experience of flow brain communication, the first wave usually infected with 30%of the people, but the increase rate of the infection rate of the crown disease exceeded expectations. "We did not preview this timeThe first wave came fiercely, even more than 50%, 60%, 70%, or even 80%of the infection rate. "
Zeng Guang pointed out that Beijing's infection rate may have exceeded 80%. "Now we have no precise statistics, but I think this number can be estimated. The number of infected people may be in Beijing in Beijing.More than 80%, and it may even be higher. This is my judgment. "
Since the first wave of epidemic storms in Beijing is so large, will the second wave more dangerous? Zeng Guang responded to this.Having said that the first wave of storms are relatively large, indicating that the second wave is very low, "because dry wood is almost burned."
The year is approaching. The majority of netizens are most concerned about whether they can rest assured to go home for the New Year this year.In this regard, Zeng Guang said, "It's impossible to rest assured, or it's better to be attentive." Because, even if the immune immune barrier is relatively strong in the short term, there are other infectious diseases such as influenza and pneumococcus.At present, it is concentrated in the prevention and control of crown diseases, and there is no energy to study how many other infectious diseases are mixed with.
